The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Lincoln Red Imps FC v FC Twente Enschede

Kickoff: 2026-10-22 19:00 UTC

Final: Lincoln Red Imps FC 1–4 FC Twente Enschede

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lincoln Red Imps FC (Local)

Prediction 6.29%15.91fair odd
EV +10.00%
Edge +0.572%
Kelly +0.606%
Growth +0.061%

assuming max odds 17.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
5.46%6.48%6.26%9.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
9.5014.2614.5017.5010.53%7.02%6.90%5.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Twente Enschede (Visit)

Prediction 81.96%1.22fair odd
EV -3.29%
Edge -2.78%
Kelly -18.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.46%81.71%82.08%83.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.141.151.1890.91%87.41%86.96%84.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 11.75%8.51fair odd
EV +2.84%
Edge +0.325%
Kelly +0.366%
Growth +0.010%

assuming max odds 8.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.80%11.81%11.66%13.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.307.727.508.7515.87%12.95%13.33%11.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lincoln Red Imps FC (Local): 6.29%; FC Twente Enschede (Visit): 81.96%; Draw: 11.75%. For Lincoln Red Imps FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 15.91. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 17.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯17.50I 5.71%NM 5.46%EV +10.00%E +0.572%K +0.606%G +0.061%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.15%EV -5.74%E -5.00%K -38.30%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.38%EV -1.27%E -0.152%K -0.172%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-22 18:55
LowVig.ag🎯17.50I 5.71%NM 5.46%EV +10.00%E +0.572%K +0.606%G +0.061%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.15%EV -5.74%E -5.00%K -38.30%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.38%EV -1.27%E -0.152%K -0.172%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-22 18:55
Coolbet🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +6.86%E +0.403%K +0.429%G +0.029%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.01%EV -4.93%E -4.25%K -30.78%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.33%EV -0.098%E -0.012%K -0.013%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-22 18:40
SportsBet🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.56%EV +6.86%E +0.403%K +0.429%G +0.029%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.64%EV -7.38%E -6.53%K -56.80%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.80%EV +2.84%E +0.325%K +0.366%G +0.010%5.8%2026-10-22 18:50
betano_uk🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV +6.86%E +0.403%K +0.429%G +0.029%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.93%EV -8.20%E -7.32%K -68.36%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -5.97%E -0.747%K -0.854%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-22 18:30
Bet Victor🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV +6.86%E +0.403%K +0.429%G +0.029%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.93%EV -8.20%E -7.32%K -68.36%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -5.97%E -0.747%K -0.854%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-22 18:38
Pinnacle🎯16.76I 5.97%NM 5.69%EV +5.35%E +0.319%K +0.340%G +0.018%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.95%EV -5.74%E -5.00%K -38.30%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.36%EV -1.27%E -0.152%K -0.172%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-22 18:55
Unibet (NL)🎯16.00I 6.25%NM 6.04%EV +0.574%E +0.036%K +0.038%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.88%EV -3.29%E -2.78%K -18.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.08%EV -5.97%E -0.747%K -0.854%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-22 18:47
FanDuel🎯16.00I 6.25%NM 5.74%EV +0.574%E +0.036%K +0.038%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 82.77%EV -9.02%E -8.13%K -82.03%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -5.97%E -0.747%K -0.854%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-22 18:50
Marathon Bet🎯15.50I 6.45%NM 6.01%EV -2.57%E -0.166%K -0.177%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -6.56%E -5.76%K -46.89%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.26%EV -10.68%E -1.40%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-22 18:00
ReBet🎯15.25I 6.56%NM 6.33%EV -4.14%E -0.272%K -0.291%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.11%E -3.51%K -24.15%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.22%EV +1.08%E +0.125%K +0.142%G +0.002%3.7%2026-10-22 18:47
1xBet🎯15.20I 6.58%NM 6.25%EV -4.46%E -0.293%K -0.314%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.85%EV -4.93%E -4.25%K -30.78%G +0.000%7.98I 12.53%NM 11.90%EV -6.21%E -0.778%K -0.890%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-22 18:55
betfred_uk🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -5.71%E -0.381%K -0.408%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.68%EV -4.11%E -3.51%K -24.15%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.95%EV -5.97%E -0.747%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-22 18:55
DraftKings🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.33%EV -5.71%E -0.381%K -0.408%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.51%EV -5.74%E -5.00%K -38.30%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.16%EV -0.098%E -0.012%K -0.013%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-22 18:36
Unibet🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.32%EV -5.71%E -0.381%K -0.408%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.11%E -3.51%K -24.15%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.64%EV -11.85%E -1.58%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-22 18:47
Unibet (UK)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV -5.71%E -0.381%K -0.408%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.74%E -5.00%K -38.30%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -11.85%E -1.58%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-22 18:47
888sport🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV -5.71%E -0.381%K -0.408%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.74%E -5.00%K -38.30%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -11.85%E -1.58%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-22 13:56
888sport (SE)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV -5.71%E -0.381%K -0.408%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.74%E -5.00%K -38.30%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -11.85%E -1.58%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-22 13:56
Mr Green (SE)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV -5.71%E -0.381%K -0.408%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.74%E -5.00%K -38.30%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -11.85%E -1.58%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-22 13:56
William Hill🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV -5.71%E -0.381%K -0.408%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.74%E -5.00%K -38.30%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -11.85%E -1.58%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-22 13:56
NordicBet🎯14.50I 6.90%NM 6.39%EV -8.86%E -0.611%K -0.656%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.56%EV -5.74%E -5.00%K -38.30%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.05%EV -16.55%E -2.33%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-22 18:55
Betsson🎯14.50I 6.90%NM 6.39%EV -8.86%E -0.611%K -0.656%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.56%EV -5.74%E -5.00%K -38.30%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.05%EV -16.55%E -2.33%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-22 18:55
picklebet_au🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.70%EV -12.00%E -0.857%K -0.923%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.57%EV -5.74%E -5.00%K -38.30%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -5.97%E -0.747%K -0.854%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-22 18:47
Bet Right🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.65%EV -12.00%E -0.857%K -0.923%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.94%EV -5.74%E -5.00%K -38.30%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -11.85%E -1.58%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-22 18:55
PlayUp🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.65%EV -12.00%E -0.857%K -0.923%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.94%EV -5.74%E -5.00%K -38.30%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -11.85%E -1.58%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-22 18:55
Paddy Power🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.46%EV -12.00%E -0.857%K -0.923%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 82.23%EV -9.84%E -8.95%K -98.43%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.31%EV -5.97%E -0.747%K -0.854%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-22 18:50
Betway🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -18.28%E -1.41%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.72%EV -5.74%E -5.00%K -38.30%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.06%EV -0.098%E -0.012%K -0.013%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-22 18:47
Bovada🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.20%EV -18.28%E -1.41%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.72%EV -4.93%E -4.25%K -30.78%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.08%EV -8.91%E -1.15%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-22 18:41
LeoVegas🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV -18.28%E -1.41%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.15%EV -5.74%E -5.00%K -38.30%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -5.97%E -0.747%K -0.854%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-22 18:47
theScore Bet🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.03%EV -18.28%E -1.41%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 81.56%EV -8.20%E -7.32%K -68.36%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -5.97%E -0.747%K -0.854%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-22 18:35
Virgin Bet🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV -18.28%E -1.41%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 79.96%EV -6.56%E -5.76%K -46.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -17.73%E -2.53%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-22 18:47
LeoVegas (SE)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV -18.28%E -1.41%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 79.96%EV -6.56%E -5.76%K -46.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -17.73%E -2.53%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-22 18:47
LiveScore Bet🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV -18.28%E -1.41%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 79.96%EV -6.56%E -5.76%K -46.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -17.73%E -2.53%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-22 18:47
NetBet (FR)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 6.87%EV -18.28%E -1.41%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 81.22%EV -9.84%E -8.95%K -98.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.91%EV -11.85%E -1.58%K -1.82%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-22 18:40
BetMGM🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.44%EV -21.43%E -1.71%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.16%EV -4.93%E -4.25%K -30.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -11.85%E -1.58%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-22 18:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.67%EV -24.57%E -2.05%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.05%EV -5.74%E -5.00%K -38.30%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -11.85%E -1.58%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-22 18:55
Coral🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.67%EV -24.57%E -2.05%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.05%EV -5.74%E -5.00%K -38.30%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -11.85%E -1.58%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-22 18:55
Neds🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.67%EV -24.57%E -2.05%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.05%EV -5.74%E -5.00%K -38.30%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -11.85%E -1.58%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-22 18:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.67%EV -24.57%E -2.05%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.05%EV -5.74%E -5.00%K -38.30%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -11.85%E -1.58%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-22 18:55
Sky Bet🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.13%EV -30.86%E -2.81%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 79.10%EV -7.38%E -6.53%K -56.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.77%EV -17.73%E -2.53%K -2.95%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-22 18:30
Unibet (FR)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 7.85%EV -30.86%E -2.81%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 78.46%EV -9.84%E -8.95%K -98.43%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 13.70%EV -25.96%E -4.12%K -4.90%G +0.000%15.9%2026-10-22 18:35
Betclic (FR)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.37%EV -40.28%E -4.24%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 78.76%EV -7.38%E -6.53%K -56.80%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.87%EV -11.85%E -1.58%K -1.82%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-22 18:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎22.00I 4.55%NM 4.54%1.17I 85.47%NM 85.28%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.18%0.2%2026-10-22 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎22.00I 4.55%NM 4.53%1.17I 85.47%NM 85.10%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.37%0.4%2026-10-22 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎21.00I 4.76%NM 4.73%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.92%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.35%0.6%2026-10-22 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎21.00I 4.76%NM 4.73%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.92%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.35%0.6%2026-10-22 18:55