The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

KF Egnatia v Lincoln Red Imps FC

2026-11-26 17:45 UTC — UEFA Europa Conference League

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

KF Egnatia (Local)

Prediction 56.18%1.78fair odd
EV -0.559%
Edge -0.316%
Kelly -0.726%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.28%55.94%56.37%58.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.461.651.671.7768.49%60.54%59.88%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lincoln Red Imps FC (Visit)

Prediction 19.80%5.05fair odd
EV -4.96%
Edge -1.03%
Kelly -1.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.87%20.01%19.79%22.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.174.584.654.8023.98%21.85%21.51%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.02%4.16fair odd
EV -6.33%
Edge -1.62%
Kelly -2.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.95%24.05%23.85%25.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.793.803.9027.78%26.39%26.32%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: KF Egnatia (Local): 56.18%; Lincoln Red Imps FC (Visit): 19.80%; Draw: 24.02%. For KF Egnatia (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.78. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.77, with an expected value of -0.559%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.35%EV -0.559%E -0.316%K -0.726%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.46%EV -12.88%E -2.93%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.18%EV -9.93%E -2.65%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-12 17:50
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.34%EV -3.37%E -1.96%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.25%EV -6.94%E -1.48%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -6.33%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-12 18:09
1xBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.55%EV -3.37%E -1.96%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.09%EV -17.44%E -4.18%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.37%EV -9.21%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-12 17:50
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.86%EV -4.49%E -2.64%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -4.96%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -6.33%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-12 17:55
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.34%EV -4.49%E -2.64%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.23%EV -7.93%E -1.71%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -7.53%E -1.96%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-12 18:00
Betway🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -4.49%E -2.64%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -16.84%E -4.01%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -8.73%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-12 18:20
Paddy Power🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -4.49%E -2.64%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -16.84%E -4.01%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -13.53%E -3.76%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.4%2026-11-12 17:48
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -6.18%E -3.70%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -4.96%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -8.73%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-12 17:55
Casumo🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -6.18%E -3.70%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -5.95%E -1.25%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.73%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-12 18:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.37%EV -7.30%E -4.42%K -11.23%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -6.94%E -1.48%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -6.33%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-12 18:20
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -7.30%E -4.42%K -11.23%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -8.92%E -1.94%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -11.13%E -3.01%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-12 17:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.93%EV -8.99%E -5.55%K -14.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.42%EV -5.95%E -1.25%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -6.33%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-12 17:49
picklebet_au🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.70%EV -8.99%E -5.55%K -14.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -4.96%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -8.73%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-12 17:49
ReBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.62%EV -9.55%E -5.93%K -15.65%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -6.94%E -1.48%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.99%EV -8.73%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.7%2026-11-12 17:50
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 56.69%EV -10.67%E -6.71%K -18.09%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.59%EV -8.92%E -1.94%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -8.73%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.9%2026-11-12 17:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 56.84%EV -14.04%E -9.18%K -26.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.33%EV -10.90%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.83%EV -12.33%E -3.38%K -4.65%G +0.000%15.0%2026-11-12 17:48
Unibet (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 58.17%EV -17.97%E -12.31%K -39.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.87%EV -10.90%E -2.42%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.95%EV -11.13%E -3.01%K -4.12%G +0.000%17.7%2026-11-12 17:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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