The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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HNK Rijeka v Omonoia FC

Kickoff: 2026-02-26 17:45 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

39 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

HNK Rijeka (Local)

Prediction 41.28%2.42fair odd
EV -2.16%
Edge -0.909%
Kelly -1.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.18%41.21%41.33%42.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.262.252.3746.51%44.25%44.44%42.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Omonoia FC (Visit)

Prediction 29.80%3.36fair odd
EV -1.38%
Edge -0.416%
Kelly -0.597%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.58%29.77%29.76%30.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.113.103.3133.90%32.12%32.26%30.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.92%3.46fair odd
EV -3.12%
Edge -0.930%
Kelly -1.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.18%29.02%28.90%30.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.223.253.3533.33%31.06%30.77%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: HNK Rijeka (Local): 41.28%; Omonoia FC (Visit): 29.80%; Draw: 28.92%. For Omonoia FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.36. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.31, with an expected value of -1.38%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.28%EV -2.16%E -0.909%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.79%EV -7.64%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.93%EV -4.56%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 15:25
Coolbet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.20%EV -3.81%E -1.63%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.72%EV -3.76%E -1.16%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.09%EV -4.56%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-26 14:05
Pinnacle🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.63%EV -4.63%E -2.01%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.50%EV -2.87%E -0.880%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.88%EV -3.70%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-26 17:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.43%EV -5.05%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.69%EV -4.36%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.56%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-26 10:29
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.43%EV -5.05%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.69%EV -4.36%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.56%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-26 10:29
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -5.05%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -4.66%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -4.56%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-26 16:00
Everygame🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%EV -5.05%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.62%EV -4.66%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.17%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-26 17:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.20%EV -5.05%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -6.15%E -1.95%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -4.56%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-26 16:50
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -5.05%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -7.64%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 17:15
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.62%EV -5.05%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -9.13%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-26 17:10
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -5.05%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-26 10:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -5.05%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-26 10:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -5.05%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-26 10:14
Suprabets🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -5.46%E -2.38%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.56%EV -4.36%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.01%EV -5.43%E -1.66%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-26 17:37
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.79%EV -5.87%E -2.57%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.77%EV -4.66%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -3.12%E -0.930%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-26 17:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.98%EV -5.87%E -2.57%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.58%EV -2.57%E -0.786%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 30.44%EV -11.21%E -3.65%K -5.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-26 17:15
Betsson🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -5.87%E -2.57%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -9.13%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 16:45
NordicBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -5.87%E -2.57%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -9.13%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 16:45
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -4.66%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -4.56%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 17:00
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.66%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.46%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 16:50
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.64%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.56%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-26 16:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.44%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -6.15%E -1.95%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.96%EV -6.88%E -2.14%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-26 17:26
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.33%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -9.13%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.18%EV -4.56%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-26 17:20
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -4.66%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.75%EV -9.77%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-26 16:50
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.35%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-26 16:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.35%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-26 11:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.35%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-26 11:09
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.35%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-26 15:59
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.18%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -12.10%E -4.10%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -10.35%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-26 10:14
Bovada🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.28%EV -7.94%E -3.56%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.50%EV -7.04%E -2.26%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -8.90%E -2.83%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-26 17:38
NetBet (FR)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.29%EV -8.35%E -3.76%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.06%EV -9.13%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.65%EV -7.46%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-26 17:33
1xBet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 42.97%EV -8.76%E -3.96%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.69%EV -1.38%E -0.416%K -0.597%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.35%EV -3.12%E -0.930%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 17:35
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -4.66%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.46%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-26 17:30
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -7.64%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-26 16:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.64%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.46%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-26 17:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.64%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.46%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-26 17:00
Fliff🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -9.13%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -8.90%E -2.83%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-26 17:30
PMU (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.69%EV -11.24%E -5.23%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.39%EV -9.13%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -10.35%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-26 16:50
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -11.24%E -5.23%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -10.61%E -3.54%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -13.24%E -4.41%K -6.62%G +0.000%13.2%2026-02-26 16:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.84%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%0.4%2026-02-26 17:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.84%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%0.4%2026-02-26 17:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.84%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%0.4%2026-02-26 17:35