The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Hearts v AS Monaco

2026-11-26 17:45 UTC — UEFA Europa Conference League

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hearts (Local)

Prediction 19.96%5.01fair odd
EV -1.19%
Edge -0.240%
Kelly -0.301%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.11%20.06%19.94%21.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.254.624.624.9523.53%21.65%21.65%20.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

AS Monaco (Visit)

Prediction 58.23%1.72fair odd
EV -5.66%
Edge -3.50%
Kelly -9.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.22%58.19%58.33%58.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.571.601.6269.44%63.49%62.70%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.81%4.59fair odd
EV -5.14%
Edge -1.18%
Kelly -1.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.25%21.75%21.73%22.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.854.174.224.3525.97%24.00%23.67%22.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Hearts (Local): 19.96%; AS Monaco (Visit): 58.23%; Draw: 21.81%. For Hearts (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.01. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.95, with an expected value of -1.19%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
NordicBet🎯4.95I 20.20%NM 19.25%EV -1.19%E -0.240%K -0.301%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.83%EV -5.66%E -3.50%K -9.14%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.91%EV -5.14%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-10 09:15
Betsson🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -2.19%E -0.446%K -0.560%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.87%EV -6.83%E -4.27%K -11.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -6.23%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-10 09:25
1xBet🎯4.83I 20.70%NM 19.11%EV -3.58%E -0.742%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.05%EV -7.41%E -4.66%K -12.56%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 22.85%EV -11.90%E -2.95%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-10 08:44
Marathon Bet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -4.18%E -0.871%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.49%EV -7.41%E -4.66%K -12.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -8.41%E -2.00%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-10 12:10
Pinnacle🎯4.74I 21.10%NM 19.94%EV -5.38%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.34%EV -5.66%E -3.50%K -9.14%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.73%EV -5.14%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-10 09:30
Unibet (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.74%EV -6.83%E -4.27%K -11.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -7.32%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-10 09:28
ReBet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.59%EV -7.99%E -5.06%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -10.60%E -2.58%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.9%2026-11-10 09:25
Unibet (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 19.29%EV -12.17%E -2.77%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 58.94%EV -16.15%E -11.21%K -36.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.76%EV -14.96%E -3.83%K -5.16%G +0.000%17.8%2026-11-10 09:30
Betway🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -13.56%E -3.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.50%EV -6.83%E -4.27%K -11.38%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -5.58%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-10 16:49
Betclic (FR)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 20.33%EV -15.16%E -3.57%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 57.22%EV -12.07%E -7.99%K -23.67%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.44%EV -16.05%E -4.17%K -5.63%G +0.000%15.7%2026-11-10 09:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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