The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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FK Kauno Žalgiris v SK Brann

Kickoff: 2026-10-22 16:45 UTC

Final: FK Kauno Žalgiris 1–4 SK Brann

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FK Kauno Žalgiris (Local)

Prediction 21.06%4.75fair odd
EV +1.07%
Edge +0.223%
Kelly +0.282%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 4.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.14%21.05%21.11%22.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.424.404.8025.64%22.62%22.73%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SK Brann (Visit)

Prediction 53.61%1.87fair odd
EV -2.44%
Edge -1.34%
Kelly -2.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.84%53.64%53.62%55.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.741.751.8260.61%57.35%57.14%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.34%3.95fair odd
EV +3.37%
Edge +0.827%
Kelly +1.10%
Growth +0.037%

assuming max odds 4.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.30%25.31%25.27%27.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.623.604.0831.25%27.61%27.78%24.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FK Kauno Žalgiris (Local): 21.06%; SK Brann (Visit): 53.61%; Draw: 25.34%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.95. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.08, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.37%.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.12%EV -5.25%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -8.33%E -4.87%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.30%EV +3.37%E +0.827%K +1.10%G +0.037%5.2%2026-10-22 13:15
LowVig.ag🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.12%EV -5.25%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -8.33%E -4.87%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.30%EV +3.37%E +0.827%K +1.10%G +0.037%5.2%2026-10-22 13:15
Coolbet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 20.23%EV +1.07%E +0.223%K +0.282%G +0.003%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.55%EV -4.58%E -2.57%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%EV -2.45%E -0.637%K -0.861%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-22 16:20
Pinnacle🎯4.46I 22.42%NM 21.51%EV -6.09%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.58%EV -4.04%E -2.26%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.91%EV -2.45%E -0.637%K -0.861%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-22 16:40
DraftKings🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.23%EV -5.25%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.96%EV -5.12%E -2.89%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.81%EV -2.45%E -0.637%K -0.861%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-22 16:40
Betway🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -8.83%E -2.04%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.35%EV -5.12%E -2.89%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.85%EV -3.72%E -0.979%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-22 16:35
betfred_uk🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -3.14%E -0.683%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.42%EV -7.26%E -4.20%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -4.99%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-22 15:55
Marathon Bet🎯4.55I 21.98%NM 20.44%EV -4.19%E -0.922%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.70%EV -8.87%E -5.22%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.86%EV -5.24%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-22 16:21
1xBet🎯4.57I 21.88%NM 20.80%EV -3.77%E -0.826%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.71%EV -5.12%E -2.89%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.49%EV -5.49%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-22 16:38
ReBet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -3.14%E -0.683%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.98%EV -2.44%E -1.34%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.06%EV -6.25%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-22 16:40
SportsBet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -3.14%E -0.683%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.19%E -3.54%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -6.25%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-22 16:41
FanDuel🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -3.14%E -0.683%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.82%EV -9.40%E -5.56%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -6.25%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-22 16:40
Unibet (NL)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.44%EV -7.35%E -1.67%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.71%EV -4.04%E -2.26%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -7.52%E -2.06%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-22 16:35
Unibet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.44%EV -7.35%E -1.67%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.71%EV -4.04%E -2.26%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -7.52%E -2.06%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-22 16:30
Bovada🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -7.35%E -1.67%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.13%EV -5.65%E -3.21%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -7.52%E -2.06%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-22 16:34
Betclic (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -15.78%E -3.94%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.18%EV -9.94%E -5.92%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.48%EV -7.52%E -2.06%K -2.84%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-22 16:40
Coral🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.14%E -0.683%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.87%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -8.79%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-22 16:40
picklebet_au🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.25%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -8.79%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-22 16:41
Unibet (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -5.25%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.58%E -2.57%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -8.79%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-22 16:41
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -3.14%E -0.683%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57%EV -6.19%E -3.54%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -8.79%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-22 16:41
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -3.14%E -0.683%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57%EV -6.19%E -3.54%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -8.79%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-22 16:40
Neds🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -3.14%E -0.683%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57%EV -6.19%E -3.54%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -8.79%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-22 16:40
Bet Right🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -5.25%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.72%E -3.86%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -8.79%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-22 16:20
betano_uk🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -7.35%E -1.67%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -6.19%E -3.54%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.79%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-22 16:40
Bet Victor🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -7.35%E -1.67%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -6.19%E -3.54%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.79%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-22 16:40
PlayUp🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -5.25%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.80%E -4.53%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -8.79%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-22 16:30
NordicBet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -7.35%E -1.67%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -7.80%E -4.53%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -8.79%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-22 16:36
Betsson🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -7.35%E -1.67%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -7.80%E -4.53%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -8.79%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-22 16:36
LeoVegas🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -8.83%E -2.04%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -11.32%E -3.23%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-22 16:41
theScore Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.89%EV -7.35%E -1.67%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.84%EV -6.72%E -3.86%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -11.32%E -3.23%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-22 16:40
888sport🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -8.83%E -2.04%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -6.19%E -3.54%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -11.32%E -3.23%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-22 16:40
888sport (SE)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -8.83%E -2.04%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -6.19%E -3.54%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -11.32%E -3.23%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-22 16:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -8.83%E -2.04%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -6.19%E -3.54%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -11.32%E -3.23%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-22 16:40
William Hill🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -8.83%E -2.04%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -6.19%E -3.54%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -11.32%E -3.23%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-22 16:40
Paddy Power🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -7.35%E -1.67%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.42%EV -8.87%E -5.22%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -11.32%E -3.23%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-22 16:40
LiveScore Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -11.56%E -2.75%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.46%EV -7.26%E -4.20%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -11.32%E -3.23%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-22 16:30
Virgin Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -11.56%E -2.75%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.46%EV -7.26%E -4.20%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -11.32%E -3.23%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-22 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -11.56%E -2.75%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.46%EV -7.26%E -4.20%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -11.32%E -3.23%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-22 16:30
NetBet (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.07%EV -11.56%E -2.75%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 53.64%EV -11.55%E -7.00%K -17.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.29%EV -11.32%E -3.23%K -4.53%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-22 16:35
BetMGM🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -7.35%E -1.67%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.43%EV -6.72%E -3.86%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -13.86%E -4.08%K -5.77%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-22 16:40
Sky Bet🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.55%EV -8.83%E -2.04%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.28%EV -10.48%E -6.27%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.17%EV -13.86%E -4.08%K -5.77%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-22 16:24
Unibet (FR)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.16%EV -17.88%E -4.58%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 50.84%EV -8.87%E -5.22%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.01%EV -18.92%E -5.91%K -8.60%G +0.000%15.7%2026-10-22 16:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.88%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.62%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.49%0.6%2026-10-22 16:36
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.88%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.62%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.49%0.6%2026-10-22 16:36
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.40%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-10-22 16:41
Matchbook◎4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.40%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-10-22 16:40