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FK Kauno Žalgiris v Riga FC

2026-11-26 17:45 UTC — UEFA Europa Conference League

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FK Kauno Žalgiris (Local)

Prediction 33.47%2.99fair odd
EV +2.08%
Edge +0.683%
Kelly +1.02%
Growth +0.021%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.87%33.24%33.63%33.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.632.782.753.0538.02%35.99%36.36%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Riga FC (Visit)

Prediction 39.35%2.54fair odd
EV -5.56%
Edge -2.31%
Kelly -3.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.72%39.71%39.15%43.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.292.342.4048.78%43.59%42.74%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.18%3.68fair odd
EV +0.560%
Edge +0.151%
Kelly +0.207%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.34%27.05%27.23%27.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.413.403.7031.25%29.33%29.41%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: FK Kauno Žalgiris (Local): 33.47%; Riga FC (Visit): 39.35%; Draw: 27.18%. For FK Kauno Žalgiris (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.99. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.05, producing a positive expected value of +2.08%.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
NordicBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.16%EV +2.08%E +0.683%K +1.02%G +0.021%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.68%EV -10.28%E -4.51%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -4.88%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-12 18:09
Betsson🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV +2.08%E +0.683%K +1.02%G +0.021%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.84%EV -11.46%E -5.09%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -6.23%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-12 18:00
SportsBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -4.61%E -1.62%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -7.52%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -4.88%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-12 17:50
1xBet🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 31.94%EV -5.61%E -1.99%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.72%EV -18.94%E -9.19%K -17.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.34%EV +0.560%E +0.151%K +0.207%G +0.001%11.0%2026-11-12 17:50
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -6.28%E -2.24%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -5.56%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.88%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-12 17:50
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -6.28%E -2.24%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -5.56%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.88%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-12 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.28%E -2.24%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -5.56%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.59%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-12 17:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.96%E -2.89%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -6.34%E -2.67%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -7.59%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-12 17:49
picklebet_au🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -7.96%E -2.89%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -7.52%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.31%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-12 17:49
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -7.96%E -2.89%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -11.46%E -5.09%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -7.59%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-12 17:48
Marathon Bet🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 33.93%EV -8.29%E -3.03%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 38.89%EV -5.95%E -2.49%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.18%EV -7.05%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-12 18:20
Betway🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -9.63%E -3.57%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -11.46%E -5.09%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -2.16%E -0.599%K -0.830%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-12 18:20
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -9.63%E -3.57%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -7.52%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -10.31%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.9%2026-11-12 17:59
ReBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -9.63%E -3.57%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 38.82%EV -7.92%E -3.38%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -10.31%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-12 17:50
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -9.63%E -3.57%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -9.49%E -4.13%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -10.31%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.8%2026-11-12 17:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 32.04%EV -11.30%E -4.27%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 41.42%EV -19.33%E -9.43%K -18.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.54%EV -13.03%E -4.07%K -5.92%G +0.000%17.8%2026-11-12 17:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.14%EV -11.97%E -4.55%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.62%EV -13.43%E -6.10%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.24%EV -13.03%E -4.07%K -5.92%G +0.000%14.7%2026-11-12 17:48
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.