The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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FK Jablonec v Brighton and Hove Albion

Kickoff: 2026-10-22 16:45 UTC

Final: FK Jablonec 0–0 Brighton and Hove Albion

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FK Jablonec (Local)

Prediction 7.43%13.47fair odd
EV +11.40%
Edge +0.760%
Kelly +0.814%
Growth +0.093%

assuming max odds 15.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.18%7.49%7.31%9.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
10.0012.3913.0015.0010.00%8.07%7.69%6.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Brighton and Hove Albion (Visit)

Prediction 79.43%1.26fair odd
EV -3.09%
Edge -2.53%
Kelly -14.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.26%79.42%79.42%81.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.111.181.181.2290.09%84.93%84.75%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 13.14%7.61fair odd
EV +8.41%
Edge +1.02%
Kelly +1.16%
Growth +0.098%

assuming max odds 8.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.41%13.10%13.28%15.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.707.017.008.2517.54%14.26%14.29%12.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FK Jablonec (Local): 7.43%; Brighton and Hove Albion (Visit): 79.43%; Draw: 13.14%. For FK Jablonec (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 13.47. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 15.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.40%.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.72%EV +3.97%E +0.284%K +0.306%G +0.012%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.86%EV -8.65%E -7.52%K -57.69%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.41%EV +8.41%E +1.02%K +1.16%G +0.098%6.2%2026-10-22 16:41
William Hill🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.73%EV -10.88%E -0.907%K -0.989%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -8.65%E -7.52%K -57.69%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV +5.13%E +0.641%K +0.733%G +0.038%7.8%2026-10-22 16:40
FanDuel🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV -10.88%E -0.907%K -0.989%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -9.45%E -8.29%K -67.48%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV +5.13%E +0.641%K +0.733%G +0.038%8.6%2026-10-22 16:40
BetOnline.ag🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.31%EV -3.45%E -0.266%K -0.288%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.57%EV -6.27%E -5.31%K -34.83%G +0.000%7.85I 12.74%NM 12.11%EV +3.16%E +0.402%K +0.461%G +0.015%5.2%2026-10-22 15:45
LowVig.ag🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.31%EV -3.45%E -0.266%K -0.288%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.57%EV -6.27%E -5.31%K -34.83%G +0.000%7.85I 12.74%NM 12.11%EV +3.16%E +0.402%K +0.461%G +0.015%5.2%2026-10-22 15:45
ReBet🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.86%EV +3.97%E +0.284%K +0.306%G +0.012%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.67%EV -5.48%E -4.60%K -28.82%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.47%EV +1.19%E +0.154%K +0.177%G +0.002%4.2%2026-10-22 16:40
DraftKings🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.37%EV -3.45%E -0.266%K -0.288%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.85%EV -4.68%E -3.90%K -23.41%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.78%EV -1.44%E -0.192%K -0.222%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-22 16:40
picklebet_au🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV -3.45%E -0.266%K -0.288%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.12%EV -6.27%E -5.31%K -34.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -1.44%E -0.192%K -0.222%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-22 16:41
Betway🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV -3.45%E -0.266%K -0.288%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.12%EV -6.27%E -5.31%K -34.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -1.44%E -0.192%K -0.222%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-22 16:40
theScore Bet🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.31%EV -18.31%E -1.66%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 79.50%EV -8.65%E -7.52%K -57.69%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -1.44%E -0.192%K -0.222%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-22 16:40
Paddy Power🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 6.92%EV -3.45%E -0.266%K -0.288%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 81.08%EV -11.83%E -10.66%K -107.55%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -1.44%E -0.192%K -0.222%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-22 16:40
Coolbet🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.42%EV +11.40%E +0.760%K +0.814%G +0.093%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.29%EV -4.68%E -3.90%K -23.41%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.29%EV -4.73%E -0.652%K -0.756%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-22 16:00
Pinnacle🎯13.52I 7.40%NM 7.08%EV +0.407%E +0.030%K +0.032%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.71%EV -4.68%E -3.90%K -23.41%G +0.000%7.24I 13.81%NM 13.21%EV -4.86%E -0.671%K -0.779%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-22 16:40
1xBet🎯12.40I 8.06%NM 7.66%EV -7.91%E -0.638%K -0.694%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.16%EV -4.68%E -3.90%K -23.41%G +0.000%7.21I 13.87%NM 13.18%EV -5.25%E -0.728%K -0.846%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-22 16:38
Unibet (NL)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.40%EV -3.45%E -0.266%K -0.288%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.86%EV -3.09%E -2.53%K -14.06%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.74%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-22 16:01
Unibet🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.40%EV -3.45%E -0.266%K -0.288%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.86%EV -3.09%E -2.53%K -14.06%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.74%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-22 16:05
betfred_uk🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.30%EV -3.45%E -0.266%K -0.288%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -4.68%E -3.90%K -23.41%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.57%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-22 16:01
Unibet (UK)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.26%EV -3.45%E -0.266%K -0.288%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -5.48%E -4.60%K -28.82%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-22 16:05
LeoVegas🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -10.88%E -0.907%K -0.989%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -6.27%E -5.31%K -34.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-22 16:41
PlayUp🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -3.45%E -0.266%K -0.288%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -7.06%E -6.04%K -41.55%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-22 16:40
Bet Victor🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -3.45%E -0.266%K -0.288%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -7.06%E -6.04%K -41.55%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-22 15:49
Coral🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%EV -25.73%E -2.57%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.43%EV -4.68%E -3.90%K -23.41%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-22 15:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%EV -25.73%E -2.57%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.43%EV -4.68%E -3.90%K -23.41%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-22 15:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%EV -25.73%E -2.57%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.43%EV -4.68%E -3.90%K -23.41%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-22 15:55
Neds🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%EV -25.73%E -2.57%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.43%EV -4.68%E -3.90%K -23.41%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-22 15:55
betano_uk🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV +11.40%E +0.760%K +0.814%G +0.093%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.58%EV -8.65%E -7.52%K -57.69%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-22 16:40
Betclic (FR)🎯11.25I 8.89%NM 7.90%EV -16.45%E -1.46%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 79.39%EV -11.04%E -9.85%K -91.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.70%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.34%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-22 16:35
Marathon Bet🎯11.75I 8.51%NM 7.91%EV -12.74%E -1.08%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.73%EV -6.27%E -5.31%K -34.83%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.37%EV -8.67%E -1.25%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-22 15:55
Bovada🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.48%EV -18.31%E -1.66%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.71%EV -4.68%E -3.90%K -23.41%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -11.30%E -1.67%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-22 16:34
Bet Right🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV +11.40%E +0.760%K +0.814%G +0.093%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.05%EV -7.86%E -6.77%K -49.12%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.76%EV -11.30%E -1.67%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-22 16:01
BetMGM🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.25%EV -25.73%E -2.57%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.05%EV -4.68%E -3.90%K -23.41%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.70%EV -11.30%E -1.67%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-22 15:55
NordicBet🎯14.50I 6.90%NM 6.41%EV +7.68%E +0.530%K +0.569%G +0.044%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.49%EV -7.06%E -6.04%K -41.55%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.09%EV -13.27%E -2.01%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-22 16:30
Betsson🎯14.50I 6.90%NM 6.41%EV +7.68%E +0.530%K +0.569%G +0.044%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.49%EV -7.06%E -6.04%K -41.55%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.09%EV -13.27%E -2.01%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-22 16:30
888sport🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -3.45%E -0.266%K -0.288%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.31%EV -4.68%E -3.90%K -23.41%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -14.58%E -2.24%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-22 16:30
888sport (SE)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -3.45%E -0.266%K -0.288%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.31%EV -4.68%E -3.90%K -23.41%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -14.58%E -2.24%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-22 16:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -3.45%E -0.266%K -0.288%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.31%EV -4.68%E -3.90%K -23.41%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -14.58%E -2.24%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-22 16:30
NetBet (FR)🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 7.72%EV -14.59%E -1.27%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 78.61%EV -10.24%E -9.06%K -78.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.67%EV -14.58%E -2.24%K -2.65%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-22 16:40
Sky Bet🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.41%EV -22.02%E -2.10%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 77.46%EV -9.45%E -8.29%K -67.48%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.13%EV -17.87%E -2.86%K -3.40%G +0.000%13.2%2026-10-22 16:24
Virgin Bet🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 7.92%EV -14.59%E -1.27%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.16%EV -6.27%E -5.31%K -34.83%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.93%EV -19.84%E -3.25%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-22 16:01
LiveScore Bet🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 7.92%EV -14.59%E -1.27%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.16%EV -6.27%E -5.31%K -34.83%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.93%EV -19.84%E -3.25%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-22 16:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 7.92%EV -14.59%E -1.27%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.16%EV -6.27%E -5.31%K -34.83%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.93%EV -19.84%E -3.25%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-22 16:01
Unibet (FR)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 8.62%EV -25.73%E -2.57%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 76.26%EV -10.24%E -9.06%K -78.78%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.12%EV -25.10%E -4.40%K -5.34%G +0.000%16.0%2026-10-22 16:36
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎16.50I 6.06%NM 6.00%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.23%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77%1.0%2026-10-22 16:40
Matchbook◎17.00I 5.88%NM 5.82%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.18%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.00%1.0%2026-10-22 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎16.50I 6.06%NM 5.99%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.03%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.98%1.2%2026-10-22 16:41
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎16.50I 6.06%NM 5.99%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.03%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.98%1.2%2026-10-22 16:40