The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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FK Borac Banja Luka v KuPS Kuopio

Kickoff: 2026-10-22 19:00 UTC

Final: FK Borac Banja Luka 2–0 KuPS Kuopio

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FK Borac Banja Luka (Local)

Prediction 61.50%1.63fair odd
EV -3.45%
Edge -2.20%
Kelly -6.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.01%61.48%61.47%62.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.521.521.5769.44%65.90%65.79%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

KuPS Kuopio (Visit)

Prediction 16.34%6.12fair odd
EV +2.13%
Edge +0.341%
Kelly +0.406%
Growth +0.009%

assuming max odds 6.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.00%16.35%16.31%17.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.675.726.2520.00%17.62%17.47%16.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.16%4.51fair odd
EV -0.266%
Edge -0.059%
Kelly -0.076%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.26%22.17%22.22%23.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.154.184.5027.03%24.10%23.95%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FK Borac Banja Luka (Local): 61.50%; KuPS Kuopio (Visit): 16.34%; Draw: 22.16%. For KuPS Kuopio (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.12. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.13%.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.78%EV -7.14%E -4.73%K -14.00%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.17%EV +2.13%E +0.341%K +0.406%G +0.009%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.05%EV -4.70%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-22 18:50
Coolbet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.86%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.15%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.77%EV -0.322%E -0.053%K -0.063%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.37%EV -0.266%E -0.059%K -0.076%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-22 18:55
Pinnacle🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.95%EV -6.53%E -4.29%K -12.55%G +0.000%6.06I 16.50%NM 15.79%EV -0.976%E -0.161%K -0.193%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.26%EV -0.266%E -0.059%K -0.076%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-22 18:55
ReBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.09%EV -4.68%E -3.02%K -8.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.04%EV -1.96%E -0.326%K -0.391%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.87%EV -2.48%E -0.564%K -0.730%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-22 18:55
DraftKings🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.39%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.15%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.91%EV -1.96%E -0.326%K -0.391%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.70%EV -2.48%E -0.564%K -0.730%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-22 18:55
picklebet_au🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.15%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -1.96%E -0.326%K -0.391%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -6.91%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-22 18:55
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.15%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -1.96%E -0.326%K -0.391%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -6.91%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-22 18:55
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -8.99%E -6.07%K -18.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -1.96%E -0.326%K -0.391%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -4.70%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-22 18:50
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -7.76%E -5.17%K -15.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -1.96%E -0.326%K -0.391%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.13%E -2.23%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-22 18:54
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -7.76%E -5.17%K -15.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -1.96%E -0.326%K -0.391%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.13%E -2.23%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-22 18:53
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -11.45%E -7.95%K -26.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -1.96%E -0.326%K -0.391%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -11.35%E -2.84%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-22 18:50
1xBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.44%EV -6.53%E -4.29%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.97I 16.75%NM 15.90%EV -2.45%E -0.410%K -0.492%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.67%EV -2.93%E -0.668%K -0.866%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-22 18:55
Betsson🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.55%EV -7.76%E -5.17%K -15.51%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.65%EV -3.59%E -0.608%K -0.733%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.80%EV -10.24%E -2.53%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-22 18:47
NordicBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.55%EV -7.76%E -5.17%K -15.51%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.65%EV -3.59%E -0.608%K -0.733%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.80%EV -10.24%E -2.53%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-22 18:47
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.72%EV -3.45%E -2.20%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.58%EV -6.04%E -1.05%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.70%EV -6.91%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-22 18:47
Unibet (NL)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.34%EV -5.30%E -3.44%K -9.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -6.04%E -1.05%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.23%EV -5.81%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-22 18:35
Unibet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.34%EV -5.30%E -3.44%K -9.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -6.04%E -1.05%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.23%EV -5.81%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-22 18:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.49%EV -6.53%E -4.29%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.26%EV -6.04%E -1.05%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.91%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-22 18:55
Bet Right🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.16%EV -6.53%E -4.29%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.17%EV -6.04%E -1.05%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -9.13%E -2.23%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-22 18:55
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.80%EV -7.76%E -5.17%K -15.51%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -6.04%E -1.05%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -6.91%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-22 18:55
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -7.76%E -5.17%K -15.51%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -6.04%E -1.05%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -9.13%E -2.23%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-22 18:47
BetOnline.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.57%EV -4.68%E -3.02%K -8.51%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.74%EV -6.86%E -1.20%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69%EV -2.48%E -0.564%K -0.730%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-22 18:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.57%EV -4.68%E -3.02%K -8.51%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.74%EV -6.86%E -1.20%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69%EV -2.48%E -0.564%K -0.730%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-22 18:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.24%EV -6.53%E -4.29%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.33%EV -6.86%E -1.20%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -8.02%E -1.93%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-22 18:51
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.57%EV -4.68%E -3.02%K -8.51%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -10.13%E -1.84%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -6.91%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-22 18:47
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.57%EV -4.68%E -3.02%K -8.51%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -10.13%E -1.84%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -6.91%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-22 18:47
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.57%EV -4.68%E -3.02%K -8.51%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -10.13%E -1.84%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -6.91%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-22 18:46
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -7.76%E -5.17%K -15.51%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -10.13%E -1.84%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -4.03%E -0.932%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-22 18:55
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -10.13%E -1.84%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -11.35%E -2.84%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-22 18:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -10.13%E -1.84%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -11.35%E -2.84%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-22 18:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -10.13%E -1.84%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -11.35%E -2.84%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-22 18:50
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -10.13%E -1.84%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -11.35%E -2.84%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-22 18:50
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -7.76%E -5.17%K -15.51%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.13%E -1.84%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -6.91%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-22 18:55
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.75%EV -3.45%E -2.20%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.37%EV -11.76%E -2.18%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -9.13%E -2.23%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-22 18:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -7.76%E -5.17%K -15.51%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.81%EV -11.76%E -2.18%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -11.35%E -2.84%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-22 18:47
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -7.76%E -5.17%K -15.51%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.81%EV -11.76%E -2.18%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -11.35%E -2.84%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-22 18:47
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -7.76%E -5.17%K -15.51%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.81%EV -11.76%E -2.18%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -11.35%E -2.84%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-22 18:47
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.15%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -14.21%E -2.71%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -11.35%E -2.84%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-22 18:47
Betclic (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 59.85%EV -8.37%E -5.62%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.99%EV -14.21%E -2.71%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.16%EV -14.67%E -3.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-22 18:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.43%EV -9.60%E -6.53%K -20.43%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.08%EV -15.03%E -2.89%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.49%EV -12.46%E -3.15%K -4.22%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-22 18:55
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -7.76%E -5.17%K -15.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -18.30%E -3.66%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -15.78%E -4.15%K -5.64%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-22 18:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 59.46%EV -10.83%E -7.47%K -24.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.24%EV -18.30%E -3.66%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.30%EV -18.00%E -4.86%K -6.67%G +0.000%16.0%2026-10-22 18:47
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.30%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.61%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%0.6%2026-10-22 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.30%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.61%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%0.6%2026-10-22 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.30%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.61%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%0.6%2026-10-22 18:50
Matchbook◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.30%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.61%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%0.6%2026-10-22 18:47