The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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FC Midtjylland v Sint Truiden

Kickoff: 2026-10-22 19:00 UTC

Final: FC Midtjylland 0–1 Sint Truiden

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Midtjylland (Local)

Prediction 47.38%2.11fair odd
EV -0.969%
Edge -0.464%
Kelly -0.889%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.09

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.78%47.31%47.46%48.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.961.952.0954.64%51.05%51.28%47.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sint Truiden (Visit)

Prediction 27.57%3.63fair odd
EV +3.37%
Edge +0.899%
Kelly +1.23%
Growth +0.041%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.37%27.64%27.50%30.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.973.383.353.7533.67%29.62%29.81%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.05%3.99fair odd
EV +0.204%
Edge +0.051%
Kelly +0.068%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.74%25.05%25.05%26.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.703.714.0029.41%27.06%26.99%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Midtjylland (Local): 47.38%; Sint Truiden (Visit): 27.57%; Draw: 25.05%. For Sint Truiden (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.63. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.37%.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.93%EV -6.66%E -3.38%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.70%EV +3.37%E +0.899%K +1.23%G +0.041%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.37%EV -4.81%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-22 18:47
1xBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -8.08%E -4.16%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.46%EV +2.82%E +0.756%K +1.03%G +0.029%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.60%EV -7.06%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-22 18:55
Unibet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.98%EV -8.08%E -4.16%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.68%EV +1.99%E +0.539%K +0.739%G +0.015%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -6.06%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-22 18:47
Marathon Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.98%EV -9.97%E -5.25%K -11.08%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.00%EV -1.31%E -0.367%K -0.509%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.02%EV -6.81%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-22 18:31
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.01%EV -5.23%E -2.62%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.05%EV -2.14%E -0.603%K -0.840%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.94%EV -3.55%E -0.923%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-22 18:50
Pinnacle🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.65%EV -4.29%E -2.12%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.42%EV -3.24%E -0.924%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.93%EV -3.30%E -0.856%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-22 18:55
SportsBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.76%EV -6.18%E -3.12%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -6.06%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-22 18:47
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.60%E -3.90%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.31%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-22 18:47
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.21%EV -10.92%E -5.81%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -12.32%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-22 18:47
LiveScore Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.21%EV -10.92%E -5.81%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -12.32%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-22 18:47
Virgin Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.21%EV -10.92%E -5.81%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -12.32%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-22 18:47
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -13.29%E -7.26%K -16.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -14.83%E -4.36%K -6.18%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-22 18:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.43%EV -4.76%E -2.37%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.48%EV -4.35%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.09%EV -4.81%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-22 18:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.43%EV -4.76%E -2.37%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.48%EV -4.35%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.09%EV -4.81%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-22 18:39
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.56%EV -6.18%E -3.12%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -4.90%E -1.42%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -13.57%E -3.93%K -5.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-22 18:55
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.68%EV -2.86%E -1.40%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.14%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.18%EV -4.81%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-22 18:50
picklebet_au🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.23%E -2.62%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -7.31%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-22 18:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -5.23%E -2.62%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -7.31%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-22 18:55
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -7.60%E -3.90%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -4.81%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-22 18:40
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.60%E -3.90%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -6.06%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-22 18:41
ReBet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.04%EV -0.969%E -0.464%K -0.889%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.64%EV -7.38%E -2.20%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.32%EV -4.81%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-22 18:50
Bet Right🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.29%EV -8.55%E -4.43%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -7.65%E -2.28%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -2.30%E -0.590%K -0.794%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-22 18:55
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.71%EV -6.18%E -3.12%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -7.65%E -2.28%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -9.82%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-22 18:55
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.71%EV -6.18%E -3.12%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -7.65%E -2.28%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -9.82%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-22 18:55
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.48%EV -5.23%E -2.62%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -9.03%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV +0.204%E +0.051%K +0.068%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-22 18:50
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -7.60%E -3.90%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.03%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -2.30%E -0.590%K -0.794%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-22 18:53
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -5.23%E -2.62%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.03%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -7.31%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-22 18:55
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -7.60%E -3.90%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -9.03%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -4.81%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-22 18:47
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.60%E -3.90%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.03%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.82%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-22 18:55
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -9.50%E -4.97%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -9.03%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -9.82%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-22 18:47
NetBet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.04%EV -12.34%E -6.67%K -14.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -9.03%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.03%EV -11.07%E -3.12%K -4.34%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-22 18:47
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -5.23%E -2.62%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.41%E -3.20%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -9.82%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-22 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -5.23%E -2.62%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.41%E -3.20%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -9.82%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-22 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -5.23%E -2.62%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.41%E -3.20%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -9.82%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-22 18:50
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -5.23%E -2.62%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.41%E -3.20%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -9.82%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-22 18:50
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.60%E -3.90%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -11.79%E -3.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -4.81%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-22 18:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.60%E -3.90%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -11.79%E -3.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -4.81%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-22 18:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.60%E -3.90%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -11.79%E -3.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -4.81%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-22 18:55
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.60%E -3.90%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -11.79%E -3.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -4.81%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-22 18:55
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.78%EV -6.18%E -3.12%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -11.79%E -3.68%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -12.32%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-22 18:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.32%EV -13.29%E -7.26%K -16.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.94%EV -14.55%E -4.69%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.74%EV -12.32%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%15.5%2026-10-22 18:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.80%EV -7.60%E -3.90%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 30.07%EV -18.13%E -6.10%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -7.31%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-22 18:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.88%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.91%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.21%0.4%2026-10-22 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.88%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.91%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.21%0.4%2026-10-22 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09%0.9%2026-10-22 18:50
Matchbook◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09%0.9%2026-10-22 18:55