Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Midtjylland v Ajax

2026-11-05 17:45 UTC — UEFA Europa Conference League

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Midtjylland (Local)

Prediction 32.79%3.05fair odd
EV -3.60%
Edge -1.22%
Kelly -1.85%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.94

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.78%32.72%32.86%34.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.792.802.9440.00%35.79%35.71%34.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ajax (Visit)

Prediction 40.50%2.47fair odd
EV -3.20%
Edge -1.34%
Kelly -2.30%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.39

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.11%40.59%40.43%41.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.262.262.3947.62%44.16%44.25%41.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.71%3.74fair odd
EV -3.58%
Edge -0.992%
Kelly -1.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.03%26.70%26.71%27.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.413.403.6130.77%29.35%29.41%27.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: FC Midtjylland (Local): 32.79%; Ajax (Visit): 40.50%; Draw: 26.71%. For Ajax (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.47. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.39, with an expected value of -3.20%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 32.85%EV -3.60%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.40%EV -3.20%E -1.34%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.75%EV -3.58%E -0.992%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-26 16:45
NordicBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -4.91%E -1.69%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.51%EV -10.09%E -4.54%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.85%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-26 16:45
Betsson🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -4.91%E -1.69%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.51%EV -10.09%E -4.54%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.85%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-26 16:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.56%EV -5.57%E -1.93%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.25%EV -5.63%E -2.42%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.85%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-26 16:45
Unibet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.56%EV -5.57%E -1.93%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.25%EV -5.63%E -2.42%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.85%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-26 16:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 32.86%EV -7.21%E -2.55%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -6.85%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.72%EV -7.05%E -2.03%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-26 17:20
picklebet_au🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -8.19%E -2.92%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.85%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-26 16:44
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -8.19%E -2.92%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.85%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.19%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-26 16:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -8.19%E -2.92%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -8.87%E -3.94%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -11.86%E -3.59%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-26 16:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -8.19%E -2.92%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -8.87%E -3.94%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -11.86%E -3.59%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-26 16:44
LiveScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -8.19%E -2.92%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -8.87%E -3.94%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -11.86%E -3.59%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-26 16:44
ReBet🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 32.84%EV -9.17%E -3.31%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 40.25%EV -8.47%E -3.75%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 26.91%EV -9.72%E -2.88%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-26 16:45
SportsBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -9.83%E -3.57%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -4.82%E -2.05%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-26 16:45
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -9.83%E -3.57%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -6.85%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.52%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-26 16:49
Betclic (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -11.47%E -4.25%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.85%EV -12.92%E -6.01%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -11.86%E -3.59%K -5.16%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-26 16:44
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.22%EV -11.47%E -4.25%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.42%EV -14.95%E -7.12%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.36%EV -11.86%E -3.59%K -5.16%G +0.000%15.0%2026-10-26 16:45
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.42%EV -18.03%E -7.21%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.11%EV -10.90%E -4.95%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.47%EV -13.20%E -4.06%K -5.87%G +0.000%16.2%2026-10-26 17:43
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.