Lingua:Italiano
FC Lugano v Red Star Belgrade
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
FC Lugano (Casa)
Previsione 45.06%2.22quota equa
EV -1.33%
Vantaggio -0.605%
Kelly -1.11%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.19
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.11%45.00%44.92%46.38%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.082.082.1950.00%48.19%48.08%45.66%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Red Star Belgrade (Trasferta)
Previsione 28.99%3.45quota equa
EV -0.278%
Vantaggio -0.081%
Kelly -0.114%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.44
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.81%29.01%29.07%37.43%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.253.183.203.4444.44%31.46%31.25%29.07%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Pareggio
Previsione 25.95%3.85quota equa
EV -1.37%
Vantaggio -0.361%
Kelly -0.490%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.80
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.46%25.99%26.01%27.40%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.543.553.8031.25%28.25%28.17%26.32%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: FC Lugano (Casa): 45.06%; Red Star Belgrade (Trasferta): 28.99%; Pareggio: 25.95%. Per Red Star Belgrade (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.45. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 3.44, con un valore atteso del -0.278%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.
Quote dei bookmaker (42 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ReBet🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -1.33%E -0.605%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.20%EV -7.82%E -2.46%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.95%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-15 15:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.91%EV -3.13%E -1.45%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -7.24%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -7.86%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.91%EV -3.13%E -1.45%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -7.24%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -7.86%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-15 16:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.89%EV -4.48%E -2.11%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.74%EV -7.24%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -2.67%E -0.712%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-15 16:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.00%EV -4.48%E -2.11%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.56%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.82%EV -5.38%E -2.56%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.97%EV -0.278%E -0.081%K -0.114%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.22%EV -4.75%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.73%EV -5.38%E -2.56%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.67%EV -2.89%E -0.862%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.61%EV -2.67%E -0.712%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.43%EV -5.38%E -2.56%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -1.44%E -0.423%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -6.56%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-15 16:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.36%EV -5.38%E -2.56%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.58%EV -6.66%E -2.07%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.06%EV -1.37%E -0.361%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-15 16:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.36%EV -5.38%E -2.56%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.58%EV -6.66%E -2.07%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.06%EV -1.37%E -0.361%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-15 16:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -5.38%E -2.56%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.24%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.56%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -5.38%E -2.56%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.24%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.56%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -5.38%E -2.56%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -8.69%E -2.76%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.56%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-15 16:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -5.38%E -2.56%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -5.38%E -2.56%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -5.38%E -2.56%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -5.38%E -2.56%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-15 16:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.11%EV -5.38%E -2.56%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 37.43%EV -34.78%E -15.46%K -27.82%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.46%EV -2.67%E -0.712%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 18.7% | 2026-10-15 16:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.79%EV -6.28%E -3.02%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -2.89%E -0.862%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.79%EV -6.28%E -3.02%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -2.89%E -0.862%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.69%EV -6.28%E -3.02%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -7.24%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.26%EV -8.12%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-15 16:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.80%EV -6.28%E -3.02%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.89%EV -14.48%E -4.91%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -6.56%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-15 16:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.79%EV -6.73%E -3.25%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.88%EV -1.44%E -0.423%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -6.56%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.72%EV -6.73%E -3.25%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -11.58%E -3.80%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.72%EV -6.73%E -3.25%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -11.58%E -3.80%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.72%EV -6.73%E -3.25%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -11.58%E -3.80%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.18%E -3.49%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.08%EV -2.02%E -0.597%K -0.848%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.86%EV -4.75%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -7.63%E -3.72%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -4.34%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.56%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -7.63%E -3.72%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -4.34%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.56%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -7.63%E -3.72%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -5.79%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.56%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -7.63%E -3.72%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -4.34%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -7.63%E -3.72%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -4.34%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -7.63%E -3.72%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -4.34%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.63%E -3.72%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -7.63%E -3.72%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -11.58%E -3.80%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.60%EV -7.63%E -3.72%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.11%EV -15.93%E -5.49%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.29%EV -16.95%E -5.30%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.76%EV -8.99%E -4.45%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -7.24%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.99%EV -13.05%E -3.90%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-15 16:39 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.89%E -4.94%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.79%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-15 16:38 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.89%E -4.94%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.79%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-15 16:38 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -9.89%E -4.94%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -7.24%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-15 16:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -9.89%E -4.94%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -7.24%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-15 16:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -9.89%E -4.94%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -14.35%E -4.35%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-10-15 16:39 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (3)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.94% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.95% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11% | 0.8% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.94% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.95% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11% | 0.8% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.94% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.95% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11% | 0.8% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |