The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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FC Kairat v Panathinaikos FC

Kickoff: 2026-10-22 14:30 UTC

Final: FC Kairat 1–5 Panathinaikos FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

41 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Kairat (Local)

Prediction 16.90%5.92fair odd
EV +3.12%
Edge +0.511%
Kelly +0.611%
Growth +0.019%

assuming max odds 6.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.59%16.94%16.89%19.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.655.435.506.1021.51%18.41%18.18%16.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Panathinaikos FC (Visit)

Prediction 59.95%1.67fair odd
EV -4.68%
Edge -2.95%
Kelly -7.94%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.61%59.87%59.93%61.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.551.551.5966.67%64.42%64.52%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.15%4.32fair odd
EV -1.85%
Edge -0.436%
Kelly -0.571%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.51%23.19%23.18%24.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.994.004.2427.78%25.06%25.00%23.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Kairat (Local): 16.90%; Panathinaikos FC (Visit): 59.95%; Draw: 23.15%. For FC Kairat (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.92. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.12%.

Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.69%EV +3.12%E +0.511%K +0.611%G +0.019%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.74%EV -7.08%E -4.57%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.57%EV -1.85%E -0.436%K -0.571%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-22 14:26
Coolbet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 16.06%EV +1.43%E +0.238%K +0.286%G +0.004%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.99%EV -5.28%E -3.34%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.95%EV -2.78%E -0.661%K -0.867%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-22 13:35
betfred_uk🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.82%EV +1.43%E +0.238%K +0.286%G +0.004%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.88%E -3.75%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -7.41%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-22 13:35
SportsBet🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -0.263%E -0.045%K -0.054%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.10%EV -7.68%E -4.99%K -14.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.09%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-22 14:20
FanDuel🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.89%EV -0.263%E -0.045%K -0.054%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.26%EV -8.28%E -5.41%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -5.09%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-22 14:20
NordicBet🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.59%EV -0.263%E -0.045%K -0.054%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.52%EV -8.88%E -5.84%K -17.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.89%EV -10.88%E -2.83%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-22 14:25
Betsson🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.59%EV -0.263%E -0.045%K -0.054%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.52%EV -8.88%E -5.84%K -17.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.89%EV -10.88%E -2.83%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-22 14:25
BetOnline.ag🎯5.78I 17.30%NM 16.50%EV -2.29%E -0.396%K -0.479%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.96%EV -4.68%E -2.95%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.54%EV -6.25%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-22 13:05
LowVig.ag🎯5.78I 17.30%NM 16.50%EV -2.29%E -0.396%K -0.479%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.96%EV -4.68%E -2.95%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.54%EV -6.25%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-22 13:05
DraftKings🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.61%EV -2.80%E -0.487%K -0.589%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.08%EV -4.68%E -2.95%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.30%EV -5.09%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-22 13:15
ReBet🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.83%EV -3.64%E -0.639%K -0.775%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.33%EV -4.68%E -2.95%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.84%EV -2.78%E -0.661%K -0.867%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-22 13:35
Bovada🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.71%EV -5.33%E -0.953%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -5.88%E -3.75%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -8.56%E -2.17%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-22 14:25
1xBet🎯5.54I 18.05%NM 17.10%EV -6.35%E -1.15%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.96%EV -5.28%E -3.34%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 22.94%EV -4.40%E -1.06%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-22 14:25
picklebet_au🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -7.02%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.27%EV -5.88%E -3.75%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -2.78%E -0.661%K -0.867%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-22 13:20
Coral🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -7.02%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.27%EV -5.88%E -3.75%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -2.78%E -0.661%K -0.867%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-22 13:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -7.02%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.27%EV -5.88%E -3.75%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -2.78%E -0.661%K -0.867%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-22 14:25
Bet Right🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -7.02%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.57%EV -6.48%E -4.16%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -8.56%E -2.17%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-22 13:35
Betway🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -7.02%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -7.08%E -4.57%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -7.41%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-22 14:25
betano_uk🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -7.02%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -7.08%E -4.57%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -7.41%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-22 13:11
Bet Victor🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -7.02%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -7.08%E -4.57%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -7.41%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-22 14:15
PlayUp🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -7.02%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.71%EV -8.88%E -5.84%K -17.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -5.09%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-22 14:25
Paddy Power🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.36%EV -7.02%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.97%EV -10.08%E -6.72%K -20.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -12.04%E -3.17%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-22 14:10
Unibet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.44%EV -8.72%E -1.61%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.60%EV -5.28%E -3.34%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -5.09%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-22 14:20
Unibet (NL)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.37%EV -8.72%E -1.61%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.75%EV -5.88%E -3.75%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -5.09%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-22 14:20
LeoVegas🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -8.72%E -1.61%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.06%EV -7.08%E -4.57%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -5.09%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-22 14:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -8.72%E -1.61%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.06%EV -7.08%E -4.57%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -5.09%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-22 14:25
Neds🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -8.72%E -1.61%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.06%EV -7.08%E -4.57%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -5.09%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-22 14:25
Marathon Bet🎯5.35I 18.69%NM 17.39%EV -9.56%E -1.79%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.88%EV -5.28%E -3.34%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.73%EV -9.26%E -2.36%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-22 13:06
theScore Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -11.25%E -2.14%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -8.28%E -5.41%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -7.41%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-22 13:20
BetMGM🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -11.25%E -2.14%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -8.28%E -5.41%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -7.41%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-22 14:25
NetBet (FR)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.47%EV -13.79%E -2.70%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.39%EV -10.08%E -6.72%K -20.16%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.14%EV -10.88%E -2.83%K -3.82%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-22 14:20
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -15.48%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -5.88%E -3.75%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -12.04%E -3.17%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-22 14:06
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -15.48%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -5.88%E -3.75%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -12.04%E -3.17%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-22 14:05
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -15.48%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -5.88%E -3.75%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -12.04%E -3.17%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-22 14:06
William Hill🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -15.48%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -5.88%E -3.75%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -12.04%E -3.17%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-22 14:06
LiveScore Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV -15.48%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.55%EV -7.68%E -4.99%K -14.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42%EV -10.88%E -2.83%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-22 14:20
Virgin Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV -15.48%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.55%EV -7.68%E -4.99%K -14.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42%EV -10.88%E -2.83%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-22 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV -15.48%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.55%EV -7.68%E -4.99%K -14.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42%EV -10.88%E -2.83%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-22 14:21
Sky Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -15.48%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.82%EV -10.08%E -6.72%K -20.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.53%EV -13.19%E -3.52%K -4.80%G +0.000%13.3%2026-10-22 13:40
Unibet (FR)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 18.39%EV -20.55%E -4.37%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 57.61%EV -10.08%E -6.72%K -20.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.00%EV -16.66%E -4.63%K -6.41%G +0.000%15.7%2026-10-22 14:05
Betclic (FR)🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 19.24%EV -21.39%E -4.60%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.10%EV -7.68%E -4.99%K -14.23%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.65%EV -8.56%E -2.17%K -2.90%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-22 14:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎6.40I 15.63%NM 15.55%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.82%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.62%0.5%2026-10-22 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎6.40I 15.63%NM 15.55%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.82%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.62%0.5%2026-10-22 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎6.40I 15.63%NM 15.55%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.82%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.62%0.5%2026-10-22 14:25
Matchbook◎6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.20%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.91%1.5%2026-10-22 14:25