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Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)
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FC Kairat v Mjällby AIF

2026-11-26 15:30 UTC — UEFA Europa Conference League

Testa a testa

18 bookmaker (6 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

FC Kairat (Casa)

Previsione 39.58%2.53quota equa
EV +6.08%
Vantaggio +2.27%
Kelly +3.62%
Crescita +0.220%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.68

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
35.35%39.13%39.90%42.99%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.982.332.302.6850.51%42.96%43.48%37.31%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Mjällby AIF (Trasferta)

Previsione 33.05%3.03quota equa
EV +0.463%
Vantaggio +0.152%
Kelly +0.227%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.04

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.40%33.59%32.72%37.59%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.502.782.803.0440.00%35.96%35.71%32.89%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 27.37%3.65quota equa
EV -1.47%
Vantaggio -0.408%
Kelly -0.564%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.73%27.28%27.38%28.30%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.373.393.6032.26%29.71%29.50%27.78%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: FC Kairat (Casa): 39.58%; Mjällby AIF (Trasferta): 33.05%; Pareggio: 27.37%. Per FC Kairat (Casa), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 2.53. 2 bookmaker offrono quote superiori a tale livello; la migliore quota disponibile è 2.68, con un valore atteso positivo del +6.08%.

Quote dei bookmaker (18 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
NordicBet🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.35%EV +6.08%E +2.27%K +3.62%G +0.220%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.59%EV -16.72%E -6.64%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -4.20%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-12 17:50
Betsson🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV +4.89%E +1.85%K +2.97%G +0.145%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48%EV -17.38%E -6.95%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -5.57%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-12 17:49
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.20%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-12 17:50
Betway🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.92%EV -5.79%E -2.43%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.35%EV -13.42%E -5.12%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -1.47%E -0.408%K -0.564%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-12 17:50
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.95%EV -6.19%E -2.61%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.99%EV -5.16%E -1.80%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -4.20%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-12 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.63%EV -6.19%E -2.61%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -4.20%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-12 17:50
1xBet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.81%EV -6.58%E -2.79%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.68%EV +0.463%E +0.152%K +0.227%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.52%EV -4.20%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.8%2026-11-12 17:50
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.98%E -2.97%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.80%EV -4.82%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -4.20%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-12 17:49
picklebet_au🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -8.96%E -3.90%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -4.16%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -9.68%E -2.93%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-12 17:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -8.96%E -3.90%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -4.16%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-12 17:49
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.96%E -3.90%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.12%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-12 17:59
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -8.96%E -3.90%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -10.77%E -3.99%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -9.68%E -2.93%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.8%2026-11-12 17:48
Marathon Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.82%EV -9.75%E -4.28%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.65%EV -2.84%E -0.967%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.53%EV -7.49%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-12 17:49
ReBet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 40.27%EV -10.54%E -4.67%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 31.82%EV -5.49%E -1.92%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 27.91%EV -10.77%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.9%2026-11-12 17:50
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -10.94%E -4.86%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -12.42%E -3.88%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.4%2026-11-12 17:50
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.59%EV -10.94%E -4.86%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.40%EV -14.08%E -5.41%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.01%EV -15.15%E -4.89%K -7.22%G +0.000%15.2%2026-11-12 18:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.01%EV -16.08%E -7.59%K -14.36%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.39%EV -8.46%E -3.05%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.60%EV -13.78%E -4.38%K -6.41%G +0.000%15.0%2026-11-12 17:48
Unibet (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 42.99%EV -21.63%E -10.92%K -22.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.40%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.60%EV -12.42%E -3.88%K -5.64%G +0.000%17.5%2026-11-12 17:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Arbitraggio (32 combinazioni) +2.06%NordicBet 2.68 (38.1%) / 1xBet 3.04 (33.6%) / Betway 3.60 (28.3%)Mostra tutte le 32 combinazioni
FC Kairat (Casa)Mjällby AIF (Trasferta)PareggioMargine
NordicBet🎯 2.68 (38.1%)1xBet🎯 3.04 (33.6%)Betway🎯 3.60 (28.3%)+2.06%
Betsson🎯 2.65 (38.3%)1xBet🎯 3.04 (33.4%)Betway🎯 3.60 (28.2%)+1.62%
NordicBet🎯 2.68 (37.8%)1xBet🎯 3.04 (33.3%)1xBet🎯 3.50 (28.9%)+1.24%
NordicBet🎯 2.68 (37.8%)1xBet🎯 3.04 (33.3%)NordicBet🎯 3.50 (28.9%)+1.24%
NordicBet🎯 2.68 (37.8%)1xBet🎯 3.04 (33.3%)Coral🎯 3.50 (28.9%)+1.24%
NordicBet🎯 2.68 (37.8%)1xBet🎯 3.04 (33.3%)Casumo🎯 3.50 (28.9%)+1.24%
NordicBet🎯 2.68 (37.8%)1xBet🎯 3.04 (33.3%)SportsBet🎯 3.50 (28.9%)+1.24%
NordicBet🎯 2.68 (37.8%)1xBet🎯 3.04 (33.3%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 3.50 (28.9%)+1.24%
NordicBet🎯 2.68 (37.7%)Marathon Bet🎯 2.94 (34.3%)Betway🎯 3.60 (28.0%)+0.903%
NordicBet🎯 2.68 (37.6%)1xBet🎯 3.04 (33.2%)Betsson🎯 3.45 (29.2%)+0.813%
Betsson🎯 2.65 (38.0%)1xBet🎯 3.04 (33.2%)1xBet🎯 3.50 (28.8%)+0.804%
Betsson🎯 2.65 (38.0%)1xBet🎯 3.04 (33.2%)NordicBet🎯 3.50 (28.8%)+0.804%
Betsson🎯 2.65 (38.0%)1xBet🎯 3.04 (33.2%)Coral🎯 3.50 (28.8%)+0.804%
Betsson🎯 2.65 (38.0%)1xBet🎯 3.04 (33.2%)Casumo🎯 3.50 (28.8%)+0.804%
Betsson🎯 2.65 (38.0%)1xBet🎯 3.04 (33.2%)SportsBet🎯 3.50 (28.8%)+0.804%
Betsson🎯 2.65 (38.0%)1xBet🎯 3.04 (33.2%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 3.50 (28.8%)+0.804%
Betsson🎯 2.65 (37.9%)Marathon Bet🎯 2.94 (34.2%)Betway🎯 3.60 (27.9%)+0.475%
NordicBet🎯 2.68 (37.5%)picklebet_au🎯 2.90 (34.6%)Betway🎯 3.60 (27.9%)+0.428%
NordicBet🎯 2.68 (37.5%)Unibet (UK)🎯 2.90 (34.6%)Betway🎯 3.60 (27.9%)+0.428%
Betsson🎯 2.65 (37.9%)1xBet🎯 3.04 (33.0%)Betsson🎯 3.45 (29.1%)+0.385%
NordicBet🎯 2.68 (37.5%)1xBet🎯 3.04 (33.0%)BetMGM🎯 3.40 (29.5%)+0.382%
NordicBet🎯 2.68 (37.4%)1xBet🎯 3.04 (33.0%)Marathon Bet🎯 3.38 (29.6%)+0.206%
NordicBet🎯 2.68 (37.4%)Casumo🎯 2.88 (34.8%)Betway🎯 3.60 (27.8%)+0.187%
NordicBet🎯 2.68 (37.4%)Marathon Bet🎯 2.94 (34.0%)1xBet🎯 3.50 (28.6%)+0.102%
NordicBet🎯 2.68 (37.4%)Marathon Bet🎯 2.94 (34.0%)NordicBet🎯 3.50 (28.6%)+0.102%
NordicBet🎯 2.68 (37.4%)Marathon Bet🎯 2.94 (34.0%)Coral🎯 3.50 (28.6%)+0.102%
NordicBet🎯 2.68 (37.4%)Marathon Bet🎯 2.94 (34.0%)Casumo🎯 3.50 (28.6%)+0.102%
NordicBet🎯 2.68 (37.4%)Marathon Bet🎯 2.94 (34.0%)SportsBet🎯 3.50 (28.6%)+0.102%
NordicBet🎯 2.68 (37.4%)Marathon Bet🎯 2.94 (34.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 3.50 (28.6%)+0.102%
NordicBet🎯 2.68 (37.3%)Coral🎯 2.87 (34.9%)Betway🎯 3.60 (27.8%)+0.066%
Betsson🎯 2.65 (37.7%)picklebet_au🎯 2.90 (34.5%)Betway🎯 3.60 (27.8%)+0.004%
Betsson🎯 2.65 (37.7%)Unibet (UK)🎯 2.90 (34.5%)Betway🎯 3.60 (27.8%)+0.004%

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