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FC Kairat v Mjällby AIF

2026-11-26 15:30 UTC — UEFA Europa Conference League

Resultado del partido

18 corredores (6 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

FC Kairat (Local)

Predicción 39.58%2.53momio equitativo
EV +6.08%
Ventaja +2.27%
Kelly +3.62%
Crecimiento +0.220%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.68

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.35%39.13%39.90%42.99%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.982.332.302.6850.51%42.96%43.48%37.31%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Mjällby AIF (Visitante)

Predicción 33.05%3.03momio equitativo
EV +0.463%
Ventaja +0.152%
Kelly +0.227%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.04

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.40%33.59%32.72%37.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.502.782.803.0440.00%35.96%35.71%32.89%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 27.37%3.65momio equitativo
EV -1.47%
Ventaja -0.408%
Kelly -0.564%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.73%27.28%27.38%28.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.103.373.393.6032.26%29.71%29.50%27.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: FC Kairat (Local): 39.58%; Mjällby AIF (Visitante): 33.05%; Empate: 27.37%. Para FC Kairat (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.53. 2 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 2.68, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +6.08%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (18 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
NordicBet🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.35%EV +6.08%E +2.27%K +3.62%G +0.220%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.59%EV -16.72%E -6.64%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -4.20%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-12 17:50
Betsson🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV +4.89%E +1.85%K +2.97%G +0.145%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48%EV -17.38%E -6.95%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -5.57%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-12 17:49
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.20%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-12 17:50
Betway🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.92%EV -5.79%E -2.43%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.35%EV -13.42%E -5.12%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -1.47%E -0.408%K -0.564%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-12 17:50
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.95%EV -6.19%E -2.61%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.99%EV -5.16%E -1.80%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -4.20%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-12 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.63%EV -6.19%E -2.61%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -4.20%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-12 17:50
1xBet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.81%EV -6.58%E -2.79%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.68%EV +0.463%E +0.152%K +0.227%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.52%EV -4.20%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.8%2026-11-12 17:50
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.98%E -2.97%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.80%EV -4.82%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -4.20%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-12 17:49
picklebet_au🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -8.96%E -3.90%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -4.16%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -9.68%E -2.93%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-12 17:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -8.96%E -3.90%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -4.16%E -1.44%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-12 17:49
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.96%E -3.90%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.12%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-12 17:59
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -8.96%E -3.90%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -10.77%E -3.99%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -9.68%E -2.93%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.8%2026-11-12 17:48
Marathon Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.82%EV -9.75%E -4.28%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.65%EV -2.84%E -0.967%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.53%EV -7.49%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-12 17:49
ReBet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 40.27%EV -10.54%E -4.67%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 31.82%EV -5.49%E -1.92%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 27.91%EV -10.77%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.9%2026-11-12 17:50
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -10.94%E -4.86%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -12.42%E -3.88%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.4%2026-11-12 17:50
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.59%EV -10.94%E -4.86%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.40%EV -14.08%E -5.41%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.01%EV -15.15%E -4.89%K -7.22%G +0.000%15.2%2026-11-12 18:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.01%EV -16.08%E -7.59%K -14.36%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.39%EV -8.46%E -3.05%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.60%EV -13.78%E -4.38%K -6.41%G +0.000%15.0%2026-11-12 17:48
Unibet (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 42.99%EV -21.63%E -10.92%K -22.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.40%EV -7.47%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.60%EV -12.42%E -3.88%K -5.64%G +0.000%17.5%2026-11-12 17:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Arbitraje (32 combinaciones) +2.06%NordicBet 2.68 (38.1%) / 1xBet 3.04 (33.6%) / Betway 3.60 (28.3%)Ver las 32 combinaciones
FC Kairat (Local)Mjällby AIF (Visitante)EmpateMargen
NordicBet🎯 2.68 (38.1%)1xBet🎯 3.04 (33.6%)Betway🎯 3.60 (28.3%)+2.06%
Betsson🎯 2.65 (38.3%)1xBet🎯 3.04 (33.4%)Betway🎯 3.60 (28.2%)+1.62%
NordicBet🎯 2.68 (37.8%)1xBet🎯 3.04 (33.3%)1xBet🎯 3.50 (28.9%)+1.24%
NordicBet🎯 2.68 (37.8%)1xBet🎯 3.04 (33.3%)NordicBet🎯 3.50 (28.9%)+1.24%
NordicBet🎯 2.68 (37.8%)1xBet🎯 3.04 (33.3%)Coral🎯 3.50 (28.9%)+1.24%
NordicBet🎯 2.68 (37.8%)1xBet🎯 3.04 (33.3%)Casumo🎯 3.50 (28.9%)+1.24%
NordicBet🎯 2.68 (37.8%)1xBet🎯 3.04 (33.3%)SportsBet🎯 3.50 (28.9%)+1.24%
NordicBet🎯 2.68 (37.8%)1xBet🎯 3.04 (33.3%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 3.50 (28.9%)+1.24%
NordicBet🎯 2.68 (37.7%)Marathon Bet🎯 2.94 (34.3%)Betway🎯 3.60 (28.0%)+0.903%
NordicBet🎯 2.68 (37.6%)1xBet🎯 3.04 (33.2%)Betsson🎯 3.45 (29.2%)+0.813%
Betsson🎯 2.65 (38.0%)1xBet🎯 3.04 (33.2%)1xBet🎯 3.50 (28.8%)+0.804%
Betsson🎯 2.65 (38.0%)1xBet🎯 3.04 (33.2%)NordicBet🎯 3.50 (28.8%)+0.804%
Betsson🎯 2.65 (38.0%)1xBet🎯 3.04 (33.2%)Coral🎯 3.50 (28.8%)+0.804%
Betsson🎯 2.65 (38.0%)1xBet🎯 3.04 (33.2%)Casumo🎯 3.50 (28.8%)+0.804%
Betsson🎯 2.65 (38.0%)1xBet🎯 3.04 (33.2%)SportsBet🎯 3.50 (28.8%)+0.804%
Betsson🎯 2.65 (38.0%)1xBet🎯 3.04 (33.2%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 3.50 (28.8%)+0.804%
Betsson🎯 2.65 (37.9%)Marathon Bet🎯 2.94 (34.2%)Betway🎯 3.60 (27.9%)+0.475%
NordicBet🎯 2.68 (37.5%)picklebet_au🎯 2.90 (34.6%)Betway🎯 3.60 (27.9%)+0.428%
NordicBet🎯 2.68 (37.5%)Unibet (UK)🎯 2.90 (34.6%)Betway🎯 3.60 (27.9%)+0.428%
Betsson🎯 2.65 (37.9%)1xBet🎯 3.04 (33.0%)Betsson🎯 3.45 (29.1%)+0.385%
NordicBet🎯 2.68 (37.5%)1xBet🎯 3.04 (33.0%)BetMGM🎯 3.40 (29.5%)+0.382%
NordicBet🎯 2.68 (37.4%)1xBet🎯 3.04 (33.0%)Marathon Bet🎯 3.38 (29.6%)+0.206%
NordicBet🎯 2.68 (37.4%)Casumo🎯 2.88 (34.8%)Betway🎯 3.60 (27.8%)+0.187%
NordicBet🎯 2.68 (37.4%)Marathon Bet🎯 2.94 (34.0%)1xBet🎯 3.50 (28.6%)+0.102%
NordicBet🎯 2.68 (37.4%)Marathon Bet🎯 2.94 (34.0%)NordicBet🎯 3.50 (28.6%)+0.102%
NordicBet🎯 2.68 (37.4%)Marathon Bet🎯 2.94 (34.0%)Coral🎯 3.50 (28.6%)+0.102%
NordicBet🎯 2.68 (37.4%)Marathon Bet🎯 2.94 (34.0%)Casumo🎯 3.50 (28.6%)+0.102%
NordicBet🎯 2.68 (37.4%)Marathon Bet🎯 2.94 (34.0%)SportsBet🎯 3.50 (28.6%)+0.102%
NordicBet🎯 2.68 (37.4%)Marathon Bet🎯 2.94 (34.0%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 3.50 (28.6%)+0.102%
NordicBet🎯 2.68 (37.3%)Coral🎯 2.87 (34.9%)Betway🎯 3.60 (27.8%)+0.066%
Betsson🎯 2.65 (37.7%)picklebet_au🎯 2.90 (34.5%)Betway🎯 3.60 (27.8%)+0.004%
Betsson🎯 2.65 (37.7%)Unibet (UK)🎯 2.90 (34.5%)Betway🎯 3.60 (27.8%)+0.004%

Comente este partido en odds.forum

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