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FC Iberia 1999 v Mjällby AIF

2026-10-22 16:45 UTC — UEFA Europa Conference League

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Iberia 1999 (Local)

Prediction 26.24%3.81fair odd
EV -1.08%
Edge -0.287%
Kelly -0.390%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.03%26.30%26.12%27.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.493.503.7731.25%28.63%28.57%26.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Mjällby AIF (Visit)

Prediction 46.52%2.15fair odd
EV -2.31%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -2.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.54%46.49%46.69%49.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.971.962.1056.18%50.64%51.02%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.24%3.67fair odd
EV +2.17%
Edge +0.578%
Kelly +0.788%
Growth +0.017%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.10%27.21%27.18%28.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.423.383.7531.25%29.23%29.59%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: FC Iberia 1999 (Local): 26.24%; Mjällby AIF (Visit): 46.52%; Draw: 27.24%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.67. 3 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.75, producing a positive expected value of +2.17%.

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
betfred_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.54%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -9.29%E -4.76%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV +2.17%E +0.578%K +0.788%G +0.017%5.7%2026-10-18 13:29
SportsBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -8.17%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.02%EV -8.83%E -4.50%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV +2.17%E +0.578%K +0.788%G +0.017%6.3%2026-10-18 13:34
FanDuel🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -8.17%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -9.29%E -4.76%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV +0.805%E +0.217%K +0.298%G +0.002%6.9%2026-10-18 13:30
Unibet (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.54%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -7.90%E -3.99%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -1.92%E -0.533%K -0.738%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-18 13:29
Bet Right🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -8.17%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.52%EV -8.83%E -4.50%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -1.92%E -0.533%K -0.738%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-18 13:44
LeoVegas🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.54%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -10.69%E -5.57%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -1.92%E -0.533%K -0.738%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-18 13:34
Paddy Power🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -10.79%E -3.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -11.15%E -5.84%K -12.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -1.92%E -0.533%K -0.738%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-18 13:29
1xBet🎯3.77I 26.53%NM 25.59%EV -1.08%E -0.287%K -0.390%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.84%EV -4.17%E -2.03%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.57%EV -4.64%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-18 13:34
picklebet_au🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.17%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -10.22%E -5.30%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -4.64%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-18 13:29
ReBet🎯3.48I 28.74%NM 26.15%EV -8.69%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.40%EV -10.69%E -5.57%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.45%EV -6.28%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-18 13:29
theScore Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -8.17%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -11.15%E -5.84%K -12.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-18 13:29
Unibet (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.03%EV -8.17%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 49.21%EV -17.20%E -9.66%K -22.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.76%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000%14.2%2026-10-18 13:29
Marathon Bet🎯3.64I 27.47%NM 25.54%EV -4.49%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.95%EV -7.90%E -3.99%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.51%EV -7.91%E -2.34%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-18 13:29
Betclic (FR)🎯3.42I 29.24%NM 25.84%EV -10.26%E -3.00%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 48.02%EV -14.41%E -7.83%K -17.15%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 26.14%EV -7.91%E -2.34%K -3.33%G +0.000%13.2%2026-10-18 13:30
Pinnacle🎯3.62I 27.62%NM 26.15%EV -5.02%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.51%EV -3.24%E -1.56%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.34%EV -9.00%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-18 13:40
Bovada🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -9.48%E -2.75%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -2.31%E -1.10%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -10.09%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 13:33
NordicBet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -9.48%E -2.75%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.78%EV -3.24%E -1.56%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -10.09%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-18 13:28
Betsson🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -9.48%E -2.75%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.78%EV -3.24%E -1.56%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -10.09%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-18 13:28
Betway🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.79%E -3.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -4.64%E -2.26%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.09%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-18 13:30
Sky Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.03%EV -16.04%E -5.01%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 46.76%EV -13.94%E -7.54%K -16.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.21%EV -10.09%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000%15.6%2026-10-18 13:44
PlayUp🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -10.79%E -3.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -4.64%E -2.26%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.46%E -3.52%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-18 13:29
NetBet (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.23%EV -12.10%E -3.61%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 46.74%EV -12.55%E -6.67%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.04%EV -11.46%E -3.52%K -5.09%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-18 13:34
888sport🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.17%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -4.64%E -2.26%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -12.82%E -4.01%K -5.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-18 13:29
888sport (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.17%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -4.64%E -2.26%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -12.82%E -4.01%K -5.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-18 13:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.17%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -4.64%E -2.26%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -12.82%E -4.01%K -5.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-18 13:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.65I 27.40%NM 26.89%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.86%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.26%1.9%2026-10-18 13:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.65I 27.40%NM 26.89%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.86%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.26%1.9%2026-10-18 13:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.49%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%6.5%2026-10-18 13:44