The School of Odds
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FC Iberia 1999 v Mjällby AIF

Kickoff: 2026-10-22 16:45 UTC

Final: FC Iberia 1999 1–1 Mjällby AIF

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Iberia 1999 (Local)

Prediction 34.48%2.90fair odd
EV -1.73%
Edge -0.605%
Kelly -0.933%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.68%34.50%34.59%35.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.692.702.8540.00%37.24%37.04%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Mjällby AIF (Visit)

Prediction 36.57%2.73fair odd
EV -3.10%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -1.88%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.48%36.58%36.46%37.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.542.542.6542.55%39.44%39.29%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.95%3.45fair odd
EV -1.57%
Edge -0.462%
Kelly -0.654%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.81%28.93%28.95%29.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.233.253.4033.90%30.96%30.77%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Iberia 1999 (Local): 34.48%; Mjällby AIF (Visit): 36.57%; Draw: 28.95%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.45. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.40, with an expected value of -1.57%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 34.13%EV -1.73%E -0.605%K -0.933%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.84%EV -3.46%E -1.31%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV -3.02%E -0.901%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.8%2026-10-22 16:30
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.18%EV -3.45%E -1.23%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.81%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.00%EV -4.47%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-22 16:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.00%EV -3.45%E -1.23%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.33%EV -6.75%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.67%EV -3.89%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-22 16:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.00%EV -3.45%E -1.23%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.33%EV -6.75%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.67%EV -3.89%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-22 16:10
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -3.45%E -1.23%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -8.58%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.47%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-22 16:20
ReBet🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 34.49%EV -3.79%E -1.36%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.87%EV -4.56%E -1.75%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.64%EV -2.73%E -0.812%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-22 16:40
1xBet🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 34.09%EV -3.79%E -1.36%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV -7.12%E -2.80%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.47%EV -3.31%E -0.990%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-22 16:35
Pinnacle🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.63%EV -4.14%E -1.49%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.46%EV -3.46%E -1.31%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.91%EV -3.60%E -1.08%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-22 16:40
picklebet_au🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.59%EV -5.17%E -1.88%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -4.47%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-22 16:41
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -5.17%E -1.88%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -8.58%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -1.57%E -0.462%K -0.654%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-22 16:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -5.17%E -1.88%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.58%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -4.47%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-22 16:21
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -5.17%E -1.88%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.58%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -4.47%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-22 16:21
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -5.17%E -1.88%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.58%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -4.47%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-22 16:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 34.31%EV -6.55%E -2.42%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.18%EV -6.02%E -2.34%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -8.81%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-22 16:21
Betway🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -6.90%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -5.91%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-22 16:40
FanDuel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -6.90%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-22 16:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -6.90%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -6.75%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -5.91%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-22 16:41
Bovada🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -6.90%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -6.75%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -5.91%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-22 16:39
Bet Right🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.90%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -8.58%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.47%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-22 16:20
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -6.90%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -8.58%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-22 16:40
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -6.90%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.58%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -10.26%E -3.31%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-22 16:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -6.90%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.58%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -10.26%E -3.31%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-22 16:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -6.90%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.58%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -10.26%E -3.31%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-22 16:25
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -6.90%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.58%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -10.26%E -3.31%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-22 16:30
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -6.90%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -12.24%E -5.10%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-22 16:21
Unibet (NL)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.58%EV -8.62%E -3.25%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -3.02%E -0.901%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-22 16:35
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.58%EV -8.62%E -3.25%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -3.02%E -0.901%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-22 16:36
SportsBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -8.62%E -3.25%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -3.10%E -1.17%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -5.91%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-22 16:41
LeoVegas🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -8.62%E -3.25%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -6.75%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -5.91%E -1.82%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-22 16:41
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -9.31%E -3.54%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -10.41%E -4.25%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -13.15%E -4.38%K -6.58%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-22 16:24
NordicBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -9.66%E -3.69%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -4.19%E -1.60%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-22 16:40
Betsson🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -9.66%E -3.69%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -4.19%E -1.60%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-22 16:40
betano_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -9.66%E -3.69%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.42%EV -6.75%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -4.47%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-22 16:40
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -9.66%E -3.69%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.42%EV -6.75%E -2.65%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -4.47%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-22 16:40
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -10.35%E -3.98%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -4.92%E -1.89%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-22 16:40
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -10.35%E -3.98%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -8.58%E -3.43%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -10.26%E -3.31%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-22 16:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 34.59%EV -11.04%E -4.28%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.43%EV -10.41%E -4.25%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 28.98%EV -10.83%E -3.52%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-22 16:40
NetBet (FR)🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 34.75%EV -11.38%E -4.43%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.45%EV -10.41%E -4.25%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -10.26%E -3.31%K -4.88%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-22 16:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -12.07%E -4.73%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -9.31%E -3.75%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-22 16:36
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -12.07%E -4.73%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -9.31%E -3.75%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-22 16:36
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -12.07%E -4.73%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -9.31%E -3.75%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -7.36%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-22 16:35
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.35%EV -13.79%E -5.52%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.54%EV -14.07%E -5.99%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.11%EV -14.60%E -4.95%K -7.49%G +0.000%16.5%2026-10-22 16:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.58%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.09%1.1%2026-10-22 16:41
Matchbook◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.58%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.09%1.1%2026-10-22 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.84I 35.21%NM 34.82%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.09%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.09%1.1%2026-10-22 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.84I 35.21%NM 34.73%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.26%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.01%1.4%2026-10-22 16:40