The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Brighton and Hove Albion v FK Kauno Žalgiris

2026-10-15 19:00 UTC — UEFA Europa Conference League

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Brighton and Hove Albion (Local)

Prediction 90.34%1.11fair odd
EV -4.24%
Edge -4.00%
Kelly -70.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
85.47%89.97%90.41%93.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.001.031.031.06100.00%96.98%97.09%94.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FK Kauno Žalgiris (Visit)

Prediction 2.34%42.72fair odd
EV +40.44%
Edge +0.674%
Kelly +0.685%
Growth +0.277%

assuming max odds 60.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
1.55%2.42%2.27%3.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
24.0038.0038.5060.004.17%2.63%2.60%1.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 7.32%13.66fair odd
EV +42.79%
Edge +2.19%
Kelly +2.31%
Growth +0.990%

assuming max odds 19.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
4.94%7.61%7.31%10.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.0012.9313.0019.5012.50%7.73%7.69%5.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Brighton and Hove Albion (Local): 90.34%; FK Kauno Žalgiris (Visit): 2.34%; Draw: 7.32%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 13.66. 14 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 19.50, producing a positive expected value of +42.79%.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.46%EV -6.95%E -6.75%K -231.77%G +0.000%60.00I 1.67%NM 1.60%EV +40.44%E +0.674%K +0.685%G +0.277%19.50I 5.13%NM 4.94%EV +42.79%E +2.19%K +2.31%G +0.990%3.9%2026-09-21 06:12
Coral🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.45%EV -4.24%E -4.00%K -70.71%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.85%EV -20.42%E -0.600%K -0.619%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.70%EV +24.48%E +1.44%K +1.53%G +0.375%3.2%2026-09-21 06:43
Betway🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.04%EV -6.05%E -5.82%K -151.24%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.33%EV -4.03%E -0.098%K -0.101%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.63%EV +24.48%E +1.44%K +1.53%G +0.375%4.5%2026-09-20 14:19
Coolbet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.83%EV -5.15%E -4.90%K -102.92%G +0.000%45.00I 2.22%NM 2.14%EV +5.33%E +0.118%K +0.121%G +0.006%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.03%EV +17.16%E +1.07%K +1.14%G +0.196%3.7%2026-09-17 16:11
SportsBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.13%EV -6.05%E -5.82%K -151.24%G +0.000%51.00I 1.96%NM 1.88%EV +19.37%E +0.380%K +0.387%G +0.075%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +17.16%E +1.07%K +1.14%G +0.196%4.4%2026-09-17 19:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.76%EV -4.24%E -4.00%K -70.71%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.83%EV -20.42%E -0.600%K -0.619%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.41%EV +9.84%E +0.656%K +0.703%G +0.069%3.9%2026-09-21 06:49
betfred_uk🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.35%EV -6.05%E -5.82%K -151.24%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.32%EV -4.03%E -0.098%K -0.101%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.33%EV +9.84%E +0.656%K +0.703%G +0.069%5.3%2026-09-12 14:21
Unibet (NL)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.48%EV -6.05%E -5.82%K -151.24%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.24%EV -32.12%E -1.11%K -1.15%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.27%EV +9.84%E +0.656%K +0.703%G +0.069%6.3%2026-09-02 11:49
Unibet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.48%EV -6.05%E -5.82%K -151.24%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.24%EV -32.12%E -1.11%K -1.15%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.27%EV +9.84%E +0.656%K +0.703%G +0.069%6.3%2026-09-02 12:05
DraftKings🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.91%EV -7.86%E -7.70%K -392.82%G +0.000%51.00I 1.96%NM 1.84%EV +19.37%E +0.380%K +0.387%G +0.075%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.25%EV +9.84%E +0.656%K +0.703%G +0.069%6.7%2026-09-19 14:01
FanDuel🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.73%EV -7.86%E -7.70%K -392.82%G +0.000%46.00I 2.17%NM 2.03%EV +7.67%E +0.167%K +0.170%G +0.013%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV +9.84%E +0.656%K +0.703%G +0.069%6.9%2026-09-19 14:01
BetMGM🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.29%EV -6.05%E -5.82%K -151.24%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.24%EV -32.12%E -1.11%K -1.15%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.48%EV +6.17%E +0.426%K +0.457%G +0.028%6.5%2026-09-21 06:48
Bovada🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.73%EV -6.95%E -6.75%K -231.77%G +0.000%36.00I 2.78%NM 2.60%EV -15.74%E -0.437%K -0.450%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV +2.51%E +0.180%K +0.193%G +0.005%7.0%2026-09-19 13:53
Paddy Power🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.10%EV -7.86%E -7.70%K -392.82%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.27%EV -4.03%E -0.098%K -0.101%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.64%EV +2.51%E +0.180%K +0.193%G +0.005%7.6%2026-09-19 14:01
Neds🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.19%EV -5.15%E -4.90%K -102.92%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.60%EV -39.14%E -1.51%K -1.57%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.20%EV -4.81%E -0.370%K -0.401%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-21 06:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.19%EV -5.15%E -4.90%K -102.92%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.60%EV -39.14%E -1.51%K -1.57%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.20%EV -4.81%E -0.370%K -0.401%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-21 06:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 89.80%EV -7.86%E -7.70%K -392.82%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.16%EV -32.12%E -1.11%K -1.15%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.05%EV -4.81%E -0.370%K -0.401%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-02 11:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 89.80%EV -7.86%E -7.70%K -392.82%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.16%EV -32.12%E -1.11%K -1.15%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.05%EV -4.81%E -0.370%K -0.401%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-02 11:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 89.80%EV -7.86%E -7.70%K -392.82%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.16%EV -32.12%E -1.11%K -1.15%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.05%EV -4.81%E -0.370%K -0.401%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-19 14:01
Marathon Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.42%EV -6.95%E -6.75%K -231.77%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.27%EV -4.03%E -0.098%K -0.101%G +0.000%12.75I 7.84%NM 7.30%EV -6.64%E -0.521%K -0.565%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-21 06:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.01%EV -6.95%E -6.75%K -231.77%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.26%EV -4.03%E -0.098%K -0.101%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.73%EV -12.13%E -1.01%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-21 06:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 89.63%EV -8.76%E -8.67%K -875.97%G +0.000%32.00I 3.13%NM 2.83%EV -25.10%E -0.784%K -0.810%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.54%EV -12.13%E -1.01%K -1.10%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-21 06:09
Suprabets🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 89.38%EV -6.95%E -6.75%K -231.77%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.25%EV -4.03%E -0.098%K -0.101%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.37%EV -19.45%E -1.77%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-20 23:41
Unibet (UK)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 89.11%EV -6.95%E -6.75%K -231.77%G +0.000%36.00I 2.78%NM 2.55%EV -15.74%E -0.437%K -0.450%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.34%EV -19.45%E -1.77%K -1.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-21 06:04
Sky Bet🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 88.54%EV -9.66%E -9.66%K +0.000%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.41%EV -39.14%E -1.51%K -1.57%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.05%EV -19.45%E -1.77%K -1.95%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-17 19:14
ReBet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 88.42%EV -7.86%E -7.70%K -392.82%G +0.000%32.00I 3.13%NM 2.82%EV -25.10%E -0.784%K -0.810%G +0.000%10.30I 9.71%NM 8.76%EV -24.58%E -2.39%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-21 06:04
888sport🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 88.74%EV -7.86%E -7.70%K -392.82%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.21%EV -4.03%E -0.098%K -0.101%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.05%EV -26.78%E -2.68%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-19 14:01
William Hill🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 88.74%EV -7.86%E -7.70%K -392.82%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.21%EV -4.03%E -0.098%K -0.101%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.05%EV -26.78%E -2.68%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-19 14:01
888sport (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 88.74%EV -7.86%E -7.70%K -392.82%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.21%EV -4.03%E -0.098%K -0.101%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.05%EV -26.78%E -2.68%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-19 14:01
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 88.74%EV -7.86%E -7.70%K -392.82%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.21%EV -4.03%E -0.098%K -0.101%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.05%EV -26.78%E -2.68%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-19 14:01
LeoVegas🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 87.94%EV -7.86%E -7.70%K -392.82%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.09%EV -32.12%E -1.11%K -1.15%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.97%EV -26.78%E -2.68%K -2.98%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-21 06:04
Betsson🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.46%EV -5.15%E -4.90%K -102.92%G +0.000%60.00I 1.67%NM 1.55%EV +40.44%E +0.674%K +0.685%G +0.277%9.30I 10.75%NM 9.99%EV -31.90%E -3.43%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-17 19:25
NordicBet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.46%EV -5.15%E -4.90%K -102.92%G +0.000%60.00I 1.67%NM 1.55%EV +40.44%E +0.674%K +0.685%G +0.277%9.30I 10.75%NM 9.99%EV -31.90%E -3.43%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-17 19:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 85.47%EV -7.86%E -7.70%K -392.82%G +0.000%24.00I 4.17%NM 3.63%EV -43.82%E -1.83%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.90%EV -41.42%E -5.18%K -5.92%G +0.000%14.7%2026-09-21 06:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.07I 93.46%NM 89.97%24.00I 4.17%NM 4.01%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.02%3.9%2026-09-21 08:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.07I 93.46%NM 89.97%24.00I 4.17%NM 4.01%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.02%3.9%2026-09-21 08:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.07I 93.46%NM 89.61%24.00I 4.17%NM 4.00%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.39%4.3%2026-09-21 08:09