The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Brighton and Hove Albion v FK Kauno Žalgiris

Kickoff: 2026-10-15 19:00 UTC

Final: Brighton and Hove Albion 4–0 FK Kauno Žalgiris

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Brighton and Hove Albion (Local)

Prediction 93.82%1.07fair odd
EV -3.36%
Edge -3.26%
Kelly -112.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.03

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
86.38%93.48%93.85%95.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.001.011.011.03100.00%98.70%99.01%97.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FK Kauno Žalgiris (Visit)

Prediction 1.68%59.57fair odd
EV +69.55%
Edge +0.689%
Kelly +0.696%
Growth +0.484%

assuming max odds 101.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
0.95%1.76%1.61%3.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
27.0058.3156.00101.003.70%1.71%1.79%0.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 4.50%22.24fair odd
EV +61.88%
Edge +1.72%
Kelly +1.77%
Growth +1.09%

assuming max odds 36.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
2.66%4.76%4.55%10.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.4020.6021.0036.0011.90%4.86%4.76%2.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Brighton and Hove Albion (Local): 93.82%; FK Kauno Žalgiris (Visit): 1.68%; Draw: 4.50%. For FK Kauno Žalgiris (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 59.57. 17 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 101.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +69.55%.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Betsson🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 95.79%EV -6.18%E -6.18%K +0.000%G +0.000%62.00I 1.61%NM 1.55%EV +4.08%E +0.066%K +0.067%G +0.003%36.00I 2.78%NM 2.66%EV +61.88%E +1.72%K +1.77%G +1.09%4.4%2026-10-15 18:55
NordicBet🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 95.79%EV -6.18%E -6.18%K +0.000%G +0.000%62.00I 1.61%NM 1.55%EV +4.08%E +0.066%K +0.067%G +0.003%36.00I 2.78%NM 2.66%EV +61.88%E +1.72%K +1.77%G +1.09%4.4%2026-10-15 18:55
SportsBet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 95.07%EV -4.30%E -4.21%K -214.94%G +0.000%81.00I 1.23%NM 1.20%EV +35.98%E +0.444%K +0.450%G +0.162%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.73%EV +16.91%E +0.650%K +0.676%G +0.114%3.1%2026-10-15 18:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.70%EV -4.30%E -4.21%K -214.94%G +0.000%61.00I 1.64%NM 1.58%EV +2.40%E +0.039%K +0.040%G +0.001%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.72%EV +16.91%E +0.650%K +0.676%G +0.114%3.5%2026-10-15 18:45
Unibet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.61%EV -5.24%E -5.19%K -523.71%G +0.000%61.00I 1.64%NM 1.57%EV +2.40%E +0.039%K +0.040%G +0.001%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.82%EV +12.41%E +0.497%K +0.517%G +0.064%4.6%2026-10-15 18:45
BetMGM🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.17%EV -5.24%E -5.19%K -523.71%G +0.000%56.00I 1.79%NM 1.70%EV -5.99%E -0.107%K -0.109%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.14%EV +3.42%E +0.149%K +0.155%G +0.005%5.1%2026-10-15 18:39
FanDuel🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 94.64%EV -6.18%E -6.18%K +0.000%G +0.000%76.00I 1.32%NM 1.25%EV +27.59%E +0.363%K +0.368%G +0.101%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.11%EV +3.42%E +0.149%K +0.155%G +0.005%5.7%2026-10-15 18:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.53%EV -5.24%E -5.19%K -523.71%G +0.000%40.00I 2.50%NM 2.36%EV -32.85%E -0.821%K -0.842%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.11%EV +3.42%E +0.149%K +0.155%G +0.005%5.9%2026-10-15 18:50
Coolbet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.13%EV -4.30%E -4.21%K -214.94%G +0.000%60.00I 1.67%NM 1.60%EV +0.726%E +0.012%K +0.012%G +0.000%22.50I 4.44%NM 4.27%EV +1.17%E +0.052%K +0.055%G +0.001%4.2%2026-10-15 18:04
ReBet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.36%EV -4.30%E -4.21%K -214.94%G +0.000%76.00I 1.32%NM 1.27%EV +27.59%E +0.363%K +0.368%G +0.101%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.37%EV -1.08%E -0.049%K -0.051%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-15 18:14
888sport🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.46%EV -4.30%E -4.21%K -214.94%G +0.000%101.00I 0.99%NM 0.95%EV +69.55%E +0.689%K +0.696%G +0.484%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV -5.57%E -0.265%K -0.279%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-15 18:50
William Hill🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.46%EV -4.30%E -4.21%K -214.94%G +0.000%101.00I 0.99%NM 0.95%EV +69.55%E +0.689%K +0.696%G +0.484%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV -5.57%E -0.265%K -0.279%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-15 18:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.46%EV -4.30%E -4.21%K -214.94%G +0.000%101.00I 0.99%NM 0.95%EV +69.55%E +0.689%K +0.696%G +0.484%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV -5.57%E -0.265%K -0.279%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-15 18:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.46%EV -4.30%E -4.21%K -214.94%G +0.000%101.00I 0.99%NM 0.95%EV +69.55%E +0.689%K +0.696%G +0.484%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV -5.57%E -0.265%K -0.279%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-15 18:50
betfred_uk🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.58%EV -4.30%E -4.21%K -214.94%G +0.000%51.00I 1.96%NM 1.87%EV -14.38%E -0.282%K -0.288%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV -5.57%E -0.265%K -0.279%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-15 18:00
1xBet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.47%EV -4.30%E -4.21%K -214.94%G +0.000%48.00I 2.08%NM 1.99%EV -19.42%E -0.405%K -0.413%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.54%EV -5.57%E -0.265%K -0.279%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-15 18:50
DraftKings🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.40%EV -3.36%E -3.26%K -112.02%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.07%EV -47.96%E -1.55%K -1.60%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.53%EV -5.57%E -0.265%K -0.279%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-15 18:05
Paddy Power🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.93%EV -5.24%E -5.19%K -523.71%G +0.000%61.00I 1.64%NM 1.56%EV +2.40%E +0.039%K +0.040%G +0.001%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.52%EV -5.57%E -0.265%K -0.279%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-15 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.45%EV -5.24%E -5.19%K -523.71%G +0.000%46.00I 2.17%NM 2.05%EV -22.78%E -0.495%K -0.506%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.49%EV -5.57%E -0.265%K -0.279%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-15 18:40
Coral🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.45%EV -5.24%E -5.19%K -523.71%G +0.000%46.00I 2.17%NM 2.05%EV -22.78%E -0.495%K -0.506%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.49%EV -5.57%E -0.265%K -0.279%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-15 18:40
theScore Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.95%EV -4.30%E -4.21%K -214.94%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.31%EV -31.17%E -0.760%K -0.779%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.74%EV -10.07%E -0.503%K -0.530%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-15 18:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.01%EV -5.24%E -5.19%K -523.71%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.29%EV -31.17%E -0.760%K -0.779%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.70%EV -10.07%E -0.503%K -0.530%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-15 18:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.01%EV -5.24%E -5.19%K -523.71%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.29%EV -31.17%E -0.760%K -0.779%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.70%EV -10.07%E -0.503%K -0.530%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-15 18:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.55%EV -4.30%E -4.21%K -214.94%G +0.000%67.00I 1.49%NM 1.42%EV +12.48%E +0.186%K +0.189%G +0.024%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.02%EV -14.57%E -0.767%K -0.809%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-15 18:00
PlayUp🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.20%EV -5.24%E -5.19%K -523.71%G +0.000%51.00I 1.96%NM 1.85%EV -14.38%E -0.282%K -0.288%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.95%EV -14.57%E -0.767%K -0.809%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-15 10:05
Neds🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.78%EV -5.24%E -5.19%K -523.71%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.29%EV -31.17%E -0.760%K -0.779%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.93%EV -14.57%E -0.767%K -0.809%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-15 17:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.78%EV -5.24%E -5.19%K -523.71%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.29%EV -31.17%E -0.760%K -0.779%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.93%EV -14.57%E -0.767%K -0.809%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-15 18:05
picklebet_au🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.94%EV -5.24%E -5.19%K -523.71%G +0.000%61.00I 1.64%NM 1.54%EV +2.40%E +0.039%K +0.040%G +0.001%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.52%EV -23.56%E -1.39%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-15 18:00
Sky Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 91.82%EV -5.24%E -5.19%K -523.71%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.73%EV -42.92%E -1.26%K -1.30%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -23.56%E -1.39%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-15 18:19
Bet Right🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 91.93%EV -5.24%E -5.19%K -523.71%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.26%EV -31.17%E -0.760%K -0.779%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.80%EV -28.06%E -1.75%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-15 17:15
LeoVegas🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 91.58%EV -5.24%E -5.19%K -523.71%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.26%EV -31.17%E -0.760%K -0.779%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.17%EV -32.55%E -2.17%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-15 18:00
betano_uk🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 91.58%EV -5.24%E -5.19%K -523.71%G +0.000%71.00I 1.41%NM 1.30%EV +19.19%E +0.270%K +0.274%G +0.053%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.12%EV -41.54%E -3.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-15 18:49
Bet Victor🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 91.58%EV -5.24%E -5.19%K -523.71%G +0.000%71.00I 1.41%NM 1.30%EV +19.19%E +0.270%K +0.274%G +0.053%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.12%EV -41.54%E -3.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-15 18:48
NetBet (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 91.08%EV -5.24%E -5.19%K -523.71%G +0.000%50.00I 2.00%NM 1.84%EV -16.06%E -0.321%K -0.328%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.08%EV -41.54%E -3.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-15 14:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 86.38%EV -5.24%E -5.19%K -523.71%G +0.000%27.00I 3.70%NM 3.23%EV -54.67%E -2.02%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 10.39%EV -62.23%E -7.41%K -8.41%G +0.000%14.6%2026-10-15 18:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.03I 97.09%NM 96.26%120.00I 0.83%NM 0.83%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.92%0.9%2026-10-15 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.03I 97.09%NM 96.26%120.00I 0.83%NM 0.83%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.92%0.9%2026-10-15 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.03I 97.09%NM 96.26%120.00I 0.83%NM 0.83%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.92%0.9%2026-10-15 18:55