The School of Odds
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Atalanta BC v FC Kairat

2026-11-05 17:45 UTC — UEFA Europa Conference League

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atalanta BC (Local)

Prediction 82.30%1.22fair odd
EV -6.18%
Edge -5.42%
Kelly -44.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.89%82.10%82.75%84.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.091.121.121.1491.74%89.41%89.29%87.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Kairat (Visit)

Prediction 5.31%18.83fair odd
EV +16.83%
Edge +0.765%
Kelly +0.801%
Growth +0.135%

assuming max odds 22.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
4.21%5.27%5.31%7.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
12.0017.1316.0022.008.33%5.84%6.25%4.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 12.39%8.07fair odd
EV +10.88%
Edge +1.22%
Kelly +1.37%
Growth +0.149%

assuming max odds 8.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.80%12.63%11.94%14.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.007.377.508.9516.67%13.57%13.33%11.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Atalanta BC (Local): 82.30%; FC Kairat (Visit): 5.31%; Draw: 12.39%. For FC Kairat (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 18.83. 5 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 22.00, producing a positive expected value of +16.83%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.80%EV -6.18%E -5.42%K -44.13%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.39%EV +16.83%E +0.765%K +0.801%G +0.135%8.95I 11.17%NM 10.80%EV +10.88%E +1.22%K +1.37%G +0.149%3.4%2026-10-26 19:40
SportsBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -7.82%E -6.99%K -65.20%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.93%EV +0.898%E +0.047%K +0.050%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.36%EV +2.21%E +0.268%K +0.305%G +0.007%6.7%2026-10-26 16:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.05%EV -7.00%E -6.20%K -53.85%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.21%EV -4.41%E -0.245%K -0.260%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -0.886%E -0.111%K -0.127%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-26 16:45
Unibet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.05%EV -7.00%E -6.20%K -53.85%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.21%EV -4.41%E -0.245%K -0.260%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -0.886%E -0.111%K -0.127%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-26 16:45
Betway🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.80%EV -7.00%E -6.20%K -53.85%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV -9.72%E -0.572%K -0.608%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -0.886%E -0.111%K -0.127%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-26 19:40
NordicBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.21%EV -9.47%E -8.61%K -94.70%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.21%EV +16.83%E +0.765%K +0.801%G +0.135%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -0.886%E -0.111%K -0.127%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-26 16:45
Betsson🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.21%EV -9.47%E -8.61%K -94.70%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.21%EV +16.83%E +0.765%K +0.801%G +0.135%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -0.886%E -0.111%K -0.127%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-26 16:44
FanDuel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.30%EV -8.65%E -7.79%K -78.61%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.14%EV -4.41%E -0.245%K -0.260%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV -0.886%E -0.111%K -0.127%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-26 19:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.90%EV -7.82%E -6.99%K -65.20%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.89%EV +0.898%E +0.047%K +0.050%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.22%EV -5.84%E -0.769%K -0.885%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-26 19:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 82.14%EV -8.65%E -7.79%K -78.61%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.70%EV -15.03%E -0.940%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -7.08%E -0.944%K -1.09%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-26 16:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 82.14%EV -8.65%E -7.79%K -78.61%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.70%EV -15.03%E -0.940%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -7.08%E -0.944%K -1.09%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-26 16:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 82.14%EV -8.65%E -7.79%K -78.61%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.70%EV -15.03%E -0.940%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -7.08%E -0.944%K -1.09%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-26 16:44
betfred_uk🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 80.99%EV -7.82%E -6.99%K -65.20%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.05%EV -20.34%E -1.36%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -13.28%E -1.90%K -2.21%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-26 19:45
picklebet_au🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.22%EV -6.18%E -5.42%K -44.13%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.72%EV -15.03%E -0.940%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -19.47%E -3.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-26 16:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.22%EV -6.18%E -5.42%K -44.13%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.72%EV -15.03%E -0.940%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -19.47%E -3.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-26 16:45
ReBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 79.82%EV -6.18%E -5.42%K -44.13%G +0.000%15.25I 6.56%NM 5.97%EV -19.02%E -1.25%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.22%EV -20.71%E -3.24%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-26 16:45
Sky Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 78.89%EV -9.47%E -8.61%K -94.70%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.23%EV -36.27%E -3.02%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 13.88%EV -22.57%E -3.61%K -4.30%G +0.000%15.2%2026-10-26 17:43
Unibet (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 79.58%EV -10.29%E -9.44%K -114.36%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.20%EV -25.65%E -1.83%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.22%EV -24.43%E -4.00%K -4.79%G +0.000%15.3%2026-10-26 16:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 79.18%EV -8.65%E -7.79%K -78.61%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.17%EV -24.33%E -1.71%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.65%EV -25.66%E -4.28%K -5.13%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-26 16:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 35.26%1.10I 90.91%NM 32.37%1.10I 90.91%NM 32.37%180.8%2026-10-26 19:45