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AGF Aarhus v SC Braga

2026-11-05 17:45 UTC — UEFA Europa Conference League

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

AGF Aarhus (Local)

Prediction 31.35%3.19fair odd
EV -4.37%
Edge -1.43%
Kelly -2.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.16%31.23%31.43%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.922.903.0537.04%34.23%34.48%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SC Braga (Visit)

Prediction 41.60%2.40fair odd
EV -3.06%
Edge -1.31%
Kelly -2.30%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.52%41.70%41.62%42.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.212.202.3348.78%45.33%45.45%42.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.04%3.70fair odd
EV -3.73%
Edge -1.05%
Kelly -1.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.33%27.07%26.94%27.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.353.303.5631.25%29.84%30.30%28.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: AGF Aarhus (Local): 31.35%; SC Braga (Visit): 41.60%; Draw: 27.04%. For SC Braga (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.40. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.33, with an expected value of -3.06%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.59%EV -4.37%E -1.43%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.35%EV -3.06%E -1.31%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.06%EV -3.73%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-26 16:45
NordicBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -4.37%E -1.43%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -10.55%E -4.91%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-26 16:45
Betsson🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -4.37%E -1.43%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -10.55%E -4.91%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-26 16:45
Unibet (NL)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -5.94%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -5.14%E -2.26%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-26 16:45
Unibet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -5.94%E -1.98%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -5.14%E -2.26%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-26 16:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 31.63%EV -7.82%E -2.66%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.33%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.03%EV -6.97%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-26 17:20
SportsBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-26 16:45
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -8.47%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.35%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-26 16:49
picklebet_au🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-26 16:44
Unibet (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-26 16:45
ReBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.34%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 41.12%EV -8.06%E -3.64%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-26 16:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.47%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -12.11%E -3.73%K -5.38%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-26 16:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.47%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -12.11%E -3.73%K -5.38%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-26 16:44
LiveScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -9.08%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.47%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -12.11%E -3.73%K -5.38%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-26 16:44
Unibet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.73%EV -10.64%E -3.73%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.73%EV -14.71%E -7.18%K -14.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.54%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%14.2%2026-10-26 16:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 31.02%EV -11.27%E -3.98%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.80%EV -12.63%E -6.02%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.18%EV -12.65%E -3.92%K -5.67%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-26 16:44
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -15.35%E -5.68%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.52%EV -10.55%E -4.91%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.22%EV -13.46%E -4.21%K -6.12%G +0.000%14.8%2026-10-26 17:43
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.