The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Paris FC v BK Hacken

Kickoff: 2026-10-29 17:45 UTC

Final: Paris FC 1–1 BK Hacken

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Paris FC (Local)

Prediction 45.63%2.19fair odd
EV -5.99%
Edge -2.91%
Kelly -5.65%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.19%45.58%45.74%47.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.982.002.0653.48%50.53%50.00%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

BK Hacken (Visit)

Prediction 29.52%3.39fair odd
EV -0.507%
Edge -0.151%
Kelly -0.214%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.72%29.59%29.42%31.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.123.103.3735.71%32.05%32.26%29.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.84%4.03fair odd
EV -0.879%
Edge -0.220%
Kelly -0.294%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.99

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.42%24.83%24.84%26.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.583.603.9930.77%27.94%27.78%25.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Paris FC (Local): 45.63%; BK Hacken (Visit): 29.52%; Draw: 24.84%. For BK Hacken (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.39. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.37, with an expected value of -0.507%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.90%EV -5.99%E -2.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.40%EV -8.18%E -2.63%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.70%EV -0.879%E -0.220%K -0.294%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-29 17:35
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.45%E -3.15%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -2.57%E -0.780%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -10.57%E -2.94%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-29 09:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.45%E -3.15%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -10.57%E -2.94%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-29 14:40
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.45%E -3.15%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -10.57%E -2.94%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-29 17:38
Casumo🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.13%EV -6.91%E -3.38%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.09%EV -1.10%E -0.328%K -0.467%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -9.33%E -2.55%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-29 17:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.13%EV -6.91%E -3.38%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.09%EV -1.10%E -0.328%K -0.467%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -9.33%E -2.55%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-29 17:00
Grosvenor🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.13%EV -6.91%E -3.38%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.09%EV -1.10%E -0.328%K -0.467%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -9.33%E -2.55%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-29 17:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.13%EV -6.91%E -3.38%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.09%EV -1.10%E -0.328%K -0.467%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -9.33%E -2.55%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-29 17:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.13%EV -6.91%E -3.38%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.09%EV -1.10%E -0.328%K -0.467%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -9.33%E -2.55%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-29 17:00
betPARX🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.13%EV -6.91%E -3.38%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.09%EV -1.10%E -0.328%K -0.467%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -9.33%E -2.55%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-29 17:00
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.87%EV -7.82%E -3.87%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -13.05%E -3.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-29 14:35
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.87%EV -7.82%E -3.87%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -13.05%E -3.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-29 14:35
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.92%EV -8.73%E -4.37%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV -1.87%E -0.474%K -0.635%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-29 17:40
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -8.73%E -4.37%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -5.60%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-29 17:39
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.73%E -4.37%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -13.05%E -3.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-29 17:39
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.73%E -4.37%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -5.53%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -13.05%E -3.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-29 17:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.73%E -4.37%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -15.54%E -4.57%K -6.47%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-29 12:04
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.73%E -4.37%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -15.54%E -4.57%K -6.47%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-29 12:05
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -8.73%E -4.37%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -15.54%E -4.57%K -6.47%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-29 12:04
1xBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.17%EV -9.64%E -4.87%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.72%EV -0.507%E -0.151%K -0.214%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.11%EV -7.59%E -2.04%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-29 17:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.00%EV -10.10%E -5.13%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.23%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 24.76%EV -9.08%E -2.48%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-29 17:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.18%EV -10.56%E -5.39%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.40%EV -16.74%E -5.94%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.42%EV -6.10%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-29 17:18
Virgin Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.74%EV -11.47%E -5.91%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -15.54%E -4.57%K -6.47%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-29 17:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.74%EV -11.47%E -5.91%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -15.54%E -4.57%K -6.47%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-29 17:00
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.82%EV -12.84%E -6.72%K -14.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.01%EV -13.05%E -3.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%14.3%2026-10-29 17:40
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.82%EV -12.84%E -6.72%K -14.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.01%EV -13.05%E -3.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%14.3%2026-10-29 17:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.82%EV -12.84%E -6.72%K -14.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.01%EV -13.05%E -3.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%14.3%2026-10-29 17:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.82%EV -12.84%E -6.72%K -14.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.01%EV -13.05%E -3.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%14.3%2026-10-29 17:40
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.58%EV -12.84%E -6.72%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.23%EV -14.97%E -5.20%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.18%EV -10.57%E -2.94%K -4.06%G +0.000%14.9%2026-10-29 17:30
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.18%EV -13.29%E -7.00%K -14.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -6.84%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-29 17:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.27%EV -13.29%E -7.00%K -14.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.31%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.42%EV -10.57%E -2.94%K -4.06%G +0.000%13.7%2026-10-29 17:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 44.19%EV -13.29%E -7.00%K -14.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.98%EV -17.34%E -6.19%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.83%EV -19.26%E -5.93%K -8.56%G +0.000%19.1%2026-10-29 17:20
SportsBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 46.17%EV -13.75%E -7.28%K -15.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.58%EV -12.91%E -4.38%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.24%EV -10.57%E -2.94%K -4.06%G +0.000%14.6%2026-10-29 17:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 45.88%EV -14.66%E -7.84%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.13%EV -9.95%E -3.26%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.00%EV -18.02%E -5.46%K -7.83%G +0.000%16.6%2026-10-29 17:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.10%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.31%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%0.9%2026-10-29 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.58%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%1.0%2026-10-29 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.58%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%1.0%2026-10-29 17:40
Smarkets◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.59%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.04%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.37%1.9%2026-10-29 17:40