L’École des cotesLyon v VfL Wolfsburg
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Lyon (Local)
Prévision 81.89%1.22cote équitable
EV -5.83%
Avantage -5.07%
Kelly -38.84%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.15
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
80.21%82.02%81.87%84.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.071.121.121.1593.46%88.90%89.29%86.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
VfL Wolfsburg (Visiteur)
Prévision 6.99%14.30cote équitable
EV +26.02%
Avantage +1.44%
Kelly +1.53%
Croissance +0.398%
avec la cote maximale 18.02
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
5.23%6.94%7.08%8.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
10.6012.8713.0018.029.43%7.77%7.69%5.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 11.12%9.00cote équitable
EV +12.28%
Avantage +1.22%
Kelly +1.35%
Croissance +0.166%
avec la cote maximale 10.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
9.25%11.04%11.05%12.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
7.007.998.0010.1014.29%12.52%12.50%9.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (29 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.96%EV -9.10%E -8.20%K -82.75%G +0.000% | 18.02I 5.55%NM 5.23%EV +26.02%E +1.44%K +1.53%G +0.398% | 9.62I 10.40%NM 9.80%EV +6.94%E +0.722%K +0.806%G +0.056% | 6.0% | 2026-04-02 18:50 |
| Coolbet | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.10%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.84%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.97%EV +11.89%E +0.743%K +0.793%G +0.094% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.92%EV -2.73%E -0.312%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-02 18:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.73%EV -7.46%E -6.61%K -57.42%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +4.90%E +0.327%K +0.350%G +0.017% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.96%EV +5.61%E +0.591%K +0.660%G +0.037% | 5.7% | 2026-04-02 18:54 |
| BoyleSports | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.02%EV -9.10%E -8.20%K -82.75%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.14%EV +4.90%E +0.327%K +0.350%G +0.017% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -5.51%E -0.648%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-02 18:49 |
| SportsBet | 1.07I 93.46%NM 82.63%EV -12.38%E -11.57%K -176.83%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.32%EV -2.09%E -0.150%K -0.161%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.05%EV -11.07%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-02 18:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.98%EV -7.46%E -6.61%K -57.42%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -9.09%E -0.699%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -5.51%E -0.648%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-02 18:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.53%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.84%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.12%EV -9.09%E -0.699%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -16.62%E -2.22%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-02 18:40 |
| Casumo | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.53%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.84%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.12%EV -9.09%E -0.699%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -16.62%E -2.22%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-02 18:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.53%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.84%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.12%EV -9.09%E -0.699%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -16.62%E -2.22%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-02 18:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.53%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.84%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.12%EV -9.09%E -0.699%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -16.62%E -2.22%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-02 18:40 |
| Unibet | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.53%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.84%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.12%EV -9.09%E -0.699%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -16.62%E -2.22%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-02 18:40 |
| betPARX | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.53%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.84%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.12%EV -9.09%E -0.699%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -16.62%E -2.22%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-02 18:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.53%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.84%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.12%EV -9.09%E -0.699%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -16.62%E -2.22%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-02 18:39 |
| Betway | 1.13I 88.50%NM 80.80%EV -7.46%E -6.61%K -57.42%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.02%EV -9.09%E -0.699%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -16.62%E -2.22%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-02 18:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.25%EV -8.28%E -7.40%K -69.03%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.91%EV -9.09%E -0.699%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.84%EV -22.18%E -3.17%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-02 18:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.08I 92.59%NM 82.10%EV -11.56%E -10.70%K -144.49%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.82%EV -9.09%E -0.699%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.08%EV -11.07%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-02 18:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.10I 90.91%NM 80.53%EV -9.92%E -9.02%K -99.21%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.81%EV -9.09%E -0.699%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.65%EV -22.18%E -3.17%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-02 18:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.10I 90.91%NM 80.53%EV -9.92%E -9.02%K -99.21%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.81%EV -9.09%E -0.699%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.65%EV -22.18%E -3.17%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-02 18:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.92%EV -5.83%E -5.07%K -38.84%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.44%EV -12.58%E -1.01%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.63%EV -11.07%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-02 18:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.55%EV -8.28%E -7.40%K -69.03%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.31%EV -12.58%E -1.01%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.14%EV -8.84%E -1.08%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-02 18:45 |
| Betsson | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.55%EV -8.28%E -7.40%K -69.03%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.31%EV -12.58%E -1.01%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.14%EV -8.84%E -1.08%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-02 18:25 |
| Bovada | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.08%EV -8.28%E -7.40%K -69.03%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.57%EV -16.08%E -1.34%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.35%EV -11.07%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-02 13:17 |
| 888sport | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.53%EV -8.28%E -7.40%K -69.03%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.20%EV -23.07%E -2.10%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.27%EV -11.07%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-02 18:50 |
| William Hill | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.53%EV -8.28%E -7.40%K -69.03%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.20%EV -23.07%E -2.10%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.27%EV -11.07%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-02 18:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.53%EV -8.28%E -7.40%K -69.03%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.20%EV -23.07%E -2.10%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.27%EV -11.07%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-02 18:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.53%EV -8.28%E -7.40%K -69.03%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.20%EV -23.07%E -2.10%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.27%EV -11.07%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-02 18:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.11I 90.09%NM 80.32%EV -9.10%E -8.20%K -82.75%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.10%EV -23.07%E -2.10%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 11.58%EV -14.40%E -1.87%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-02 18:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 80.21%EV -9.92%E -9.02%K -99.21%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.02%EV -23.07%E -2.10%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -16.62%E -2.22%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-02 09:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.94%EV -6.65%E -5.83%K -47.47%G +0.000% | 10.60I 9.43%NM 8.81%EV -25.87%E -2.44%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 10.10I 9.90%NM 9.25%EV +12.28%E +1.22%K +1.35%G +0.166% | 7.1% | 2026-04-02 18:50 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.36% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.21% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.43% | 1.0% | 2026-04-02 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.18% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.94% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.88% | 1.2% | 2026-04-02 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.58% | 19.50I 5.13%NM 5.05% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.37% | 1.6% | 2026-04-02 18:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.94% | 17.99I 5.56%NM 5.38% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.68% | 3.3% | 2026-04-02 18:35 |