Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Inter Milan v BK Hacken

2026-09-22 16:45 UTC — UEFA Champions League Women

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Inter Milan (Local)

Prediction 39.63%2.52fair odd
EV -8.84%
Edge -3.84%
Kelly -6.80%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.38%39.63%39.50%40.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.232.202.3046.51%44.87%45.45%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

BK Hacken (Visit)

Prediction 33.23%3.01fair odd
EV -8.62%
Edge -3.14%
Kelly -4.93%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.01%33.23%33.28%34.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.652.672.7540.00%37.72%37.38%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.14%3.68fair odd
EV -5.02%
Edge -1.43%
Kelly -2.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.73%27.14%27.22%27.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.333.313.5031.25%29.99%30.17%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Inter Milan (Local): 39.63%; BK Hacken (Visit): 33.23%; Draw: 27.14%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.68. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.50, with an expected value of -5.02%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
NordicBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.84%E -3.84%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -8.62%E -3.14%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.45%E -3.17%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-21 01:09
Betsson🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.84%E -3.84%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -8.62%E -3.14%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.45%E -3.17%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-21 01:09
Pinnacle🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.38%EV -8.84%E -3.84%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 33.42%EV -9.95%E -3.67%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 27.20%EV -9.63%E -2.89%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-21 05:49
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -12.80%E -5.82%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -10.28%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -5.02%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-21 06:33
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -12.80%E -5.82%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.51%EV -11.94%E -4.51%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.12%EV -7.73%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-21 06:34
NetBet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.05%EV -12.80%E -5.82%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.25%EV -11.94%E -4.51%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.70%EV -10.45%E -3.17%K -4.54%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-21 05:59
Betclic (FR)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 39.64%EV -13.60%E -6.24%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.57%EV -16.93%E -6.77%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.80%EV -9.09%E -2.71%K -3.87%G +0.000%15.7%2026-09-21 05:39
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 39.50%EV -14.79%E -6.88%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.97%EV -16.93%E -6.77%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.54%EV -13.16%E -4.11%K -5.98%G +0.000%17.8%2026-09-21 01:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%10.7%2026-09-21 06:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%10.7%2026-09-21 06:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 24.76%2.80I 35.71%NM 21.22%1.10I 90.91%NM 54.02%68.3%2026-09-21 06:39