L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Chelsea v Arsenal
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Chelsea (Local)
Prévision 43.73%2.29cote équitable
EV -1.60%
Avantage -0.713%
Kelly -1.28%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.62%43.65%43.65%45.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.952.122.102.2551.28%47.12%47.62%44.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Arsenal (Visiteur)
Prévision 32.12%3.11cote équitable
EV -4.59%
Avantage -1.55%
Kelly -2.33%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.97
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.25%32.21%32.16%34.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.622.812.852.9738.17%35.56%35.09%33.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 24.14%4.14cote équitable
EV +1.40%
Avantage +0.334%
Kelly +0.438%
Croissance +0.006%
avec la cote maximale 4.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.28%24.14%24.18%25.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.713.654.2029.41%26.96%27.40%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (33 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.02%EV -10.05%E -3.59%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV +1.40%E +0.334%K +0.438%G +0.006% | 5.0% | 2026-04-01 18:19 |
| Pinnacle | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.01%EV -8.60%E -4.11%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.44%EV -6.84%E -2.36%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.56%EV +0.678%E +0.163%K +0.214%G +0.001% | 6.3% | 2026-04-01 18:55 |
| 1xBet | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.66%EV -4.23%E -1.93%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.10%EV -11.98%E -4.37%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.24%EV -2.94%E -0.732%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-01 18:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.12%EV -5.98%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.16%EV -5.23%E -1.77%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -3.43%E -0.857%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-01 18:50 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.63%EV -12.54%E -6.27%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -13.26%E -4.91%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -3.43%E -0.857%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-01 18:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.33%EV -8.16%E -3.89%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -6.84%E -2.36%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -4.63%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-01 18:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.56%EV -14.72%E -7.55%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.16%EV -15.83%E -6.04%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.28%EV -5.84%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-04-01 18:54 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.83%EV -9.47%E -4.58%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.25%EV -4.59%E -1.55%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.92%EV -6.32%E -1.63%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-01 18:38 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.92%EV -8.16%E -3.89%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -6.84%E -2.36%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.25%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-01 18:40 |
| BoyleSports | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.11%EV -12.54%E -6.27%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.67%EV -13.26%E -4.91%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.22%EV -8.25%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-01 18:49 |
| BetMGM | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.54%EV -8.16%E -3.89%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -8.44%E -2.96%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -9.46%E -2.52%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-01 18:49 |
| NordicBet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.92%EV -9.04%E -4.34%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.48%E -2.60%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -9.46%E -2.52%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-01 18:40 |
| Bet Victor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.54%EV -8.16%E -3.89%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.75%EV -7.48%E -2.60%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -10.67%E -2.88%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-01 18:53 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.54%EV -10.35%E -5.05%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 32.34%EV -11.34%E -4.11%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.12%EV -10.67%E -2.88%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-01 18:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.10%EV -12.54%E -6.27%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.07%EV -11.66%E -4.24%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.84%EV -10.67%E -2.88%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-01 18:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -1.60%E -0.713%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.58%EV -7.48%E -2.60%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -11.88%E -3.25%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-01 18:49 |
| Unibet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -2.48%E -1.11%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -8.44%E -2.96%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -11.88%E -3.25%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-01 18:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -2.48%E -1.11%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -8.44%E -2.96%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -11.88%E -3.25%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-01 18:50 |
| Casumo | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -2.48%E -1.11%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -8.44%E -2.96%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -11.88%E -3.25%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-01 18:50 |
| Grosvenor | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -2.48%E -1.11%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -8.44%E -2.96%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -11.88%E -3.25%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-01 18:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -2.48%E -1.11%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -8.44%E -2.96%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -11.88%E -3.25%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-01 18:50 |
| betPARX | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -2.48%E -1.11%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -8.44%E -2.96%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -11.88%E -3.25%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-01 18:49 |
| Betway | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -8.16%E -3.89%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.53%EV -7.48%E -2.60%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -13.08%E -3.63%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-01 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -8.16%E -3.89%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.54%EV -11.66%E -4.24%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -13.08%E -3.63%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-01 18:50 |
| Coral | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -8.16%E -3.89%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.54%EV -11.66%E -4.24%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -13.08%E -3.63%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-01 18:50 |
| Betsson | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%EV -4.66%E -2.14%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.92%EV -7.48%E -2.60%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -14.29%E -4.03%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-01 12:10 |
| LeoVegas | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.62%EV -5.54%E -2.56%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -11.66%E -4.24%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -15.50%E -4.43%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-01 18:49 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -8.16%E -3.89%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.71%EV -13.26%E -4.91%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -15.50%E -4.43%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-01 18:55 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -8.16%E -3.89%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.71%EV -13.26%E -4.91%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -15.50%E -4.43%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-01 18:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.69%EV -6.41%E -3.00%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.66%E -4.24%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.86%EV -16.71%E -4.84%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-01 18:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.69%EV -6.41%E -3.00%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.66%E -4.24%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.86%EV -16.71%E -4.84%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-01 18:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.83%EV -10.35%E -5.05%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -10.05%E -3.59%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -17.91%E -5.27%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-01 18:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.83%EV -10.35%E -5.05%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -10.05%E -3.59%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -17.91%E -5.27%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-01 18:50 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.22% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.16% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63% | 0.5% | 2026-04-01 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.22% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.16% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63% | 0.5% | 2026-04-01 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.22% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.16% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63% | 0.5% | 2026-04-01 18:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.60% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.30% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.10% | 2.8% | 2026-04-01 18:55 |