L’École des cotesFrançais
Barcelona v Real Madrid
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Barcelona (Local)
Prévision 86.43%1.16cote équitable
EV -4.92%
Avantage -4.48%
Kelly -49.24%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
82.84%86.11%86.42%87.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.011.071.081.1099.01%93.28%92.59%90.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Real Madrid (Visiteur)
Prévision 5.12%19.52cote équitable
EV -1.27%
Avantage -0.066%
Kelly -0.070%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 19.27
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
4.80%5.41%5.17%7.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
12.0016.2216.0019.278.33%6.17%6.25%5.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 8.44%11.84cote équitable
EV +8.51%
Avantage +0.662%
Kelly +0.718%
Croissance +0.061%
avec la cote maximale 12.85
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
7.31%8.49%8.41%10.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
8.7010.6610.5012.8511.49%9.38%9.52%7.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (34 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.81%EV -7.52%E -7.03%K -107.39%G +0.000% | 19.27I 5.19%NM 4.88%EV -1.27%E -0.066%K -0.070%G +0.000% | 12.85I 7.78%NM 7.31%EV +8.51%E +0.662%K +0.718%G +0.061% | 6.4% | 2026-04-02 16:35 |
| BetMGM | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.51%EV -4.92%E -4.48%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 6.97%EV -30.83%E -2.28%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.52%EV +5.55%E +0.444%K +0.483%G +0.027% | 6.3% | 2026-04-02 16:30 |
| Coolbet | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.09%EV -5.79%E -5.31%K -64.32%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV -2.66%E -0.140%K -0.148%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.91%EV +1.33%E +0.111%K +0.121%G +0.002% | 5.3% | 2026-04-02 16:34 |
| DraftKings | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.20%EV -6.65%E -6.16%K -83.16%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.96%EV -2.66%E -0.140%K -0.148%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.85%EV +1.33%E +0.111%K +0.121%G +0.002% | 6.2% | 2026-04-02 16:35 |
| BoyleSports | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.40%EV -8.38%E -7.91%K -139.69%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.88%EV -2.66%E -0.140%K -0.148%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.72%EV +1.33%E +0.111%K +0.121%G +0.002% | 7.9% | 2026-04-02 16:30 |
| 1xBet | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.20%EV -7.52%E -7.03%K -107.39%G +0.000% | 18.80I 5.32%NM 4.96%EV -3.68%E -0.196%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 11.90I 8.40%NM 7.84%EV +0.486%E +0.041%K +0.045%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-02 16:34 |
| Betway | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.19%EV -7.52%E -7.03%K -107.39%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.42%EV -12.90%E -0.759%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -7.11%E -0.647%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-02 16:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.16%EV -6.65%E -6.16%K -83.16%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.57%EV -38.52%E -3.21%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.26%EV -7.11%E -0.647%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-02 16:30 |
| Coral | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.16%EV -6.65%E -6.16%K -83.16%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.57%EV -38.52%E -3.21%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.26%EV -7.11%E -0.647%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-02 16:30 |
| Paddy Power | 1.06I 94.34%NM 85.32%EV -8.38%E -7.91%K -139.69%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.46%EV -28.27%E -2.02%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.22%EV -7.11%E -0.647%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-02 15:40 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 86.86%EV -12.70%E -12.58%K -1270.32%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.16%EV -12.90%E -0.759%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 7.98%EV -7.11%E -0.647%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-02 16:34 |
| Grosvenor | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.33%EV -5.79%E -5.31%K -64.32%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.81%EV -18.03%E -1.13%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.86%EV -11.34%E -1.08%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-02 16:30 |
| Unibet | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.33%EV -5.79%E -5.31%K -64.32%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.81%EV -18.03%E -1.13%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.86%EV -11.34%E -1.08%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-02 16:30 |
| Casumo | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.33%EV -5.79%E -5.31%K -64.32%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.81%EV -18.03%E -1.13%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.86%EV -11.34%E -1.08%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-02 16:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.33%EV -5.79%E -5.31%K -64.32%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.81%EV -18.03%E -1.13%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.86%EV -11.34%E -1.08%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-02 16:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.33%EV -5.79%E -5.31%K -64.32%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.81%EV -18.03%E -1.13%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.86%EV -11.34%E -1.08%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-02 16:30 |
| betPARX | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.33%EV -5.79%E -5.31%K -64.32%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.81%EV -18.03%E -1.13%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.86%EV -11.34%E -1.08%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-02 16:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.33%EV -5.79%E -5.31%K -64.32%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.81%EV -18.03%E -1.13%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.86%EV -11.34%E -1.08%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-02 16:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.00%EV -6.65%E -6.16%K -83.16%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.16%EV -7.78%E -0.432%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -11.34%E -1.08%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-02 16:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 85.67%EV -8.38%E -7.91%K -139.69%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.68%EV -18.03%E -1.13%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.65%EV -11.34%E -1.08%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-02 16:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.05I 95.24%NM 85.47%EV -9.25%E -8.81%K -184.92%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.98%EV -23.15%E -1.54%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.55%EV -11.34%E -1.08%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-02 15:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.04I 96.15%NM 85.91%EV -10.11%E -9.72%K -252.76%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.58%EV -18.03%E -1.13%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.51%EV -11.34%E -1.08%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-02 16:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.21%EV -8.38%E -7.91%K -139.69%G +0.000% | 18.75I 5.33%NM 4.87%EV -3.94%E -0.210%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 10.25I 9.76%NM 8.92%EV -13.45%E -1.31%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-02 16:33 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.84%EV -4.92%E -4.48%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.83%EV -18.03%E -1.13%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV -15.56%E -1.56%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-02 14:49 |
| 888sport | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.75%EV -6.65%E -6.16%K -83.16%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -23.15%E -1.54%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.15%EV -15.56%E -1.56%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-02 16:30 |
| William Hill | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.75%EV -6.65%E -6.16%K -83.16%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -23.15%E -1.54%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.15%EV -15.56%E -1.56%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-02 16:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.75%EV -6.65%E -6.16%K -83.16%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -23.15%E -1.54%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.15%EV -15.56%E -1.56%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-02 16:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.75%EV -6.65%E -6.16%K -83.16%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -23.15%E -1.54%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.15%EV -15.56%E -1.56%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-02 16:30 |
| Bet Victor | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.07%EV -8.38%E -7.91%K -139.69%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.80%EV -2.66%E -0.140%K -0.148%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.12%EV -15.56%E -1.56%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-02 16:28 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.03I 97.09%NM 85.66%EV -10.97%E -10.65%K -365.82%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.51%EV -18.03%E -1.13%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.82%EV -15.56%E -1.56%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-02 16:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.03I 97.09%NM 85.66%EV -10.97%E -10.65%K -365.82%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.51%EV -18.03%E -1.13%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.82%EV -15.56%E -1.56%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-02 16:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.07I 93.46%NM 85.45%EV -7.52%E -7.03%K -107.39%G +0.000% | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.22%EV -10.34%E -0.591%K -0.627%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.33%EV -17.25%E -1.76%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-02 16:30 |
| Betsson | 1.07I 93.46%NM 85.45%EV -7.52%E -7.03%K -107.39%G +0.000% | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.22%EV -10.34%E -0.591%K -0.627%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.33%EV -17.25%E -1.76%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-02 16:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.08I 92.59%NM 82.84%EV -6.65%E -6.16%K -83.16%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.88%EV -33.40%E -2.57%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 10.28%EV -26.54%E -3.05%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-02 15:40 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.33% | 19.50I 5.13%NM 5.07% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60% | 1.1% | 2026-04-02 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.33% | 19.50I 5.13%NM 5.07% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60% | 1.1% | 2026-04-02 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.33% | 19.50I 5.13%NM 5.07% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60% | 1.1% | 2026-04-02 16:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.10I 90.91%NM 88.07% | 18.48I 5.41%NM 5.24% | 14.49I 6.90%NM 6.69% | 3.2% | 2026-04-02 16:35 |