The School of Odds
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Austria Wien v Juventus

Kickoff: 2026-10-29 17:45 UTC

Final: Austria Wien 1–4 Juventus

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Austria Wien (Local)

Prediction 27.59%3.62fair odd
EV +2.09%
Edge +0.564%
Kelly +0.773%
Growth +0.016%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.32%27.50%27.58%29.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.373.353.7032.79%29.63%29.85%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Juventus (Visit)

Prediction 46.10%2.17fair odd
EV -3.19%
Edge -1.52%
Kelly -2.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.67%46.14%46.19%48.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.791.941.942.1055.87%51.48%51.41%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.31%3.80fair odd
EV -3.98%
Edge -1.09%
Kelly -1.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.70%26.36%26.23%27.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.413.403.6532.26%29.30%29.41%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Austria Wien (Local): 27.59%; Juventus (Visit): 46.10%; Draw: 26.31%. For Austria Wien (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.62. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.09%.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Casumo🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV +2.09%E +0.564%K +0.773%G +0.016%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.29%EV -10.56%E -5.44%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -6.61%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-29 17:25
Unibet (NL)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV +2.09%E +0.564%K +0.773%G +0.016%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.29%EV -10.56%E -5.44%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -6.61%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-29 17:25
Grosvenor🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV +2.09%E +0.564%K +0.773%G +0.016%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.29%EV -10.56%E -5.44%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -6.61%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-29 17:25
Svenska Spel🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV +2.09%E +0.564%K +0.773%G +0.016%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.29%EV -10.56%E -5.44%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -6.61%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-29 17:30
ATG (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV +2.09%E +0.564%K +0.773%G +0.016%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.29%EV -10.56%E -5.44%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -6.61%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-29 17:30
betPARX🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV +2.09%E +0.564%K +0.773%G +0.016%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.29%EV -10.56%E -5.44%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -6.61%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-29 17:30
betano_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -3.43%E -0.980%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -10.10%E -5.18%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.56%E -3.11%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-29 17:34
Bet Victor🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -3.43%E -0.980%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -10.10%E -5.18%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.56%E -3.11%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-29 17:29
Virgin Bet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.68%EV -4.81%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.88%EV -14.71%E -7.95%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.44%EV -11.87%E -3.54%K -5.05%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-29 17:25
LiveScore Bet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.68%EV -4.81%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.88%EV -14.71%E -7.95%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.44%EV -11.87%E -3.54%K -5.05%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-29 17:25
DraftKings🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.20%EV -5.49%E -2.68%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.95%EV -3.98%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-29 17:20
Unibet (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -7.80%E -3.90%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.93%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-29 17:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -11.94%E -6.25%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.56%E -3.11%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-29 11:10
Coral🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -11.94%E -6.25%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.56%E -3.11%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-29 11:09
BetMGM🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -6.19%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.62%EV -13.79%E -7.37%K -15.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -10.56%E -3.11%K -4.40%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-29 11:10
NordicBet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -7.57%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.58%EV -7.80%E -3.90%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -11.87%E -3.54%K -5.05%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-29 17:25
Betsson🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -7.57%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.58%EV -7.80%E -3.90%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -11.87%E -3.54%K -5.05%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-29 17:25
PMU (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 25.52%EV -7.57%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 47.76%EV -17.48%E -9.76%K -22.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.72%EV -15.82%E -4.94%K -7.19%G +0.000%17.0%2026-10-29 17:25
Pinnacle🎯3.34I 29.94%NM 28.32%EV -7.85%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.69%EV -4.57%E -2.21%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.99%EV -4.24%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-29 17:35
1xBet🎯3.33I 30.03%NM 27.14%EV -8.12%E -2.44%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.12%EV -9.64%E -4.92%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 26.74%EV -11.08%E -3.28%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-29 17:30
Betclic (FR)🎯3.32I 30.12%NM 26.68%EV -8.40%E -2.53%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.11%EV -13.33%E -7.09%K -15.15%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 26.21%EV -11.08%E -3.28%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-29 17:23
Betway🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.80%E -3.90%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -5.30%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-29 17:25
Bovada🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.38%EV -10.10%E -5.18%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.21%EV -9.24%E -2.68%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-29 17:24
BetOnline.ag🎯3.26I 30.67%NM 27.95%EV -10.05%E -3.08%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.56%EV -7.80%E -3.90%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.49%EV -9.51%E -2.76%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-29 17:30
Paddy Power🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -10.33%E -3.18%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -10.10%E -5.18%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -10.56%E -3.11%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-29 17:25
NetBet (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.04%EV -10.33%E -3.18%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 46.74%EV -13.33%E -7.09%K -15.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.23%EV -11.87%E -3.54%K -5.05%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-29 17:29
Coolbet🎯3.23I 30.96%NM 29.21%EV -10.88%E -3.37%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.93%EV -3.19%E -1.52%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -3.98%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-29 09:15
888sport🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.58%EV -11.71%E -3.66%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.26%EV -10.10%E -5.18%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.16%EV -14.50%E -4.46%K -6.45%G +0.000%13.3%2026-10-29 17:25
888sport (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.58%EV -11.71%E -3.66%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.26%EV -10.10%E -5.18%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.16%EV -14.50%E -4.46%K -6.45%G +0.000%13.3%2026-10-29 17:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.58%EV -11.71%E -3.66%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.26%EV -10.10%E -5.18%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.16%EV -14.50%E -4.46%K -6.45%G +0.000%13.3%2026-10-29 17:30
SportsBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 27.93%EV -13.09%E -4.15%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 45.82%EV -11.48%E -5.98%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -11.87%E -3.54%K -5.05%G +0.000%13.7%2026-10-29 17:25
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.10%EV -14.47%E -4.67%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.67%EV -10.10%E -5.18%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.22%EV -15.82%E -4.94%K -7.19%G +0.000%14.8%2026-10-29 17:25
BoyleSports🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.07%EV -14.47%E -4.67%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.56%EV -11.94%E -6.25%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.37%EV -13.19%E -4.00%K -5.73%G +0.000%14.9%2026-10-29 17:25
Unibet (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 27.53%EV -15.85%E -5.20%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 45.39%EV -14.71%E -7.95%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.09%EV -18.45%E -5.95%K -8.79%G +0.000%19.1%2026-10-29 17:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.60I 27.78%NM 27.52%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.74%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%0.9%2026-10-29 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.60I 27.78%NM 27.52%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.74%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%0.9%2026-10-29 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.60I 27.78%NM 27.52%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.74%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%0.9%2026-10-29 17:25
Smarkets◎3.60I 27.78%NM 27.31%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.82%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.87%1.7%2026-10-29 17:40