The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Víkingur Reykjavík v ETO FC Győr

Kickoff: 2026-07-07 19:02 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Víkingur Reykjavík (Local)

Prediction 42.67%2.34fair odd
EV -4.00%
Edge -1.78%
Kelly -3.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.19%42.67%42.67%43.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.202.222.2547.62%45.37%45.05%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

ETO FC Győr (Visit)

Prediction 31.60%3.16fair odd
EV -5.19%
Edge -1.73%
Kelly -2.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.28%31.60%31.60%32.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.892.903.0035.71%34.57%34.48%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.73%3.89fair odd
EV -4.80%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -1.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.88%25.73%25.73%26.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.513.453.7029.41%28.48%28.99%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Víkingur Reykjavík (Local): 42.67%; ETO FC Győr (Visit): 31.60%; Draw: 25.73%. For Víkingur Reykjavík (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.34. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.25, with an expected value of -4.00%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV -4.00%E -1.78%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -8.35%E -2.88%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -11.23%E -3.26%K -4.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-07 19:00
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV -4.00%E -1.78%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -8.35%E -2.88%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -11.23%E -3.26%K -4.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-07 19:00
Casumo🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV -4.00%E -1.78%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -8.35%E -2.88%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -11.23%E -3.26%K -4.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-07 19:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV -4.00%E -1.78%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -8.35%E -2.88%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -11.23%E -3.26%K -4.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-07 19:00
Grosvenor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV -4.00%E -1.78%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -8.35%E -2.88%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -11.23%E -3.26%K -4.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-07 19:00
betPARX🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV -4.00%E -1.78%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -8.35%E -2.88%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -11.23%E -3.26%K -4.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-07 19:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.28%EV -5.28%E -2.38%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -5.19%E -1.73%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -8.66%E -2.44%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-07 19:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.28%EV -5.28%E -2.38%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -5.19%E -1.73%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -8.66%E -2.44%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-07 19:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -6.13%E -2.79%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -9.93%E -3.48%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -12.52%E -3.68%K -5.22%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-07 19:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -6.13%E -2.79%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -9.93%E -3.48%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -12.52%E -3.68%K -5.22%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-07 19:00
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -8.27%E -3.84%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -8.35%E -2.88%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -4.80%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-07 18:58
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -8.27%E -3.84%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -9.93%E -3.48%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -4.80%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-07 19:00
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.72%EV -9.55%E -4.50%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -9.93%E -3.48%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -8.66%E -2.44%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-07 18:59
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -10.40%E -4.95%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -11.51%E -4.11%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -7.38%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-07 18:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.24%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.18%0.5%2026-07-07 19:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.24%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.18%0.5%2026-07-07 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 42.96%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.60%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.44%2.1%2026-07-07 19:00