Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Viking FK v Dinamo Zagreb

Kickoff: 2026-08-26 19:00 UTC

Final: Viking FK 3–1 Dinamo Zagreb

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Viking FK (Local)

Prediction 38.34%2.61fair odd
EV +0.461%
Edge +0.176%
Kelly +0.284%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.29%38.27%38.36%39.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.392.402.6244.44%41.83%41.67%38.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Dinamo Zagreb (Visit)

Prediction 34.65%2.89fair odd
EV -2.97%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -1.65%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.57%34.81%34.62%36.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.682.702.8040.00%37.35%37.04%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.00%3.70fair odd
EV -0.084%
Edge -0.023%
Kelly -0.031%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.19%26.92%27.02%27.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.523.553.7030.30%28.39%28.17%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Viking FK (Local): 38.34%; Dinamo Zagreb (Visit): 34.65%; Draw: 27.00%. For Viking FK (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.61. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.62, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.461%.

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.29%EV +0.461%E +0.176%K +0.284%G +0.001%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.85%EV -10.60%E -4.11%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.86%EV -4.41%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-26 18:54
Coolbet🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.94%EV -1.84%E -0.719%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.69%EV -2.97%E -1.06%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.36%EV -4.13%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-26 18:54
Pinnacle🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.54%EV -4.14%E -1.66%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.54%EV -3.32%E -1.19%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.92%EV -3.32%E -0.929%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-26 18:54
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -4.14%E -1.66%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -11.64%E -4.56%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -2.78%E -0.774%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-26 18:19
BetOnline.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.89%EV -6.06%E -2.47%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.27%EV -3.67%E -1.32%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.84%EV -4.13%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-26 18:34
LowVig.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.89%EV -6.06%E -2.47%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.27%EV -3.67%E -1.32%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.84%EV -4.13%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-26 18:34
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.74%EV -6.06%E -2.47%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.71%E -1.71%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.74%EV -4.13%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-26 18:43
BetUS🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.74%EV -6.06%E -2.47%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.71%E -1.71%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.74%EV -4.13%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-26 18:44
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.50%EV -6.06%E -2.47%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -6.44%E -2.38%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%EV -4.13%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-26 18:34
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.06%E -2.47%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.44%E -2.38%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.19%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-26 18:48
Marathon Bet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.56%EV -7.21%E -2.98%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.31%EV -5.75%E -2.11%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.13%EV -7.11%E -2.07%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-26 18:45
NordicBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.10%EV -7.21%E -2.98%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -8.17%E -3.08%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.19%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-26 18:49
Betsson🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.10%EV -7.21%E -2.98%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -8.17%E -3.08%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.19%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-26 18:49
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -7.98%E -3.32%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.71%E -1.71%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -2.78%E -0.774%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-26 18:49
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.98%E -3.32%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -4.71%E -1.71%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -5.49%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-26 18:45
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -7.98%E -3.32%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -8.17%E -3.08%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.19%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-26 18:48
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.98%E -3.32%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -6.44%E -2.38%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -10.89%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-26 14:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.98%E -3.32%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -6.44%E -2.38%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -10.89%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-26 14:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.98%E -3.32%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -6.44%E -2.38%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -10.89%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-26 14:24
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -7.98%E -3.32%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -9.90%E -3.81%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.89%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-26 18:54
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.03%EV -8.74%E -3.67%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.54%EV -9.21%E -3.52%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -10.89%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-26 18:49
Unibet (NL)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -9.89%E -4.21%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -6.44%E -2.38%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -0.084%E -0.023%K -0.031%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-26 18:49
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -9.89%E -4.21%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -6.44%E -2.38%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -0.084%E -0.023%K -0.031%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-26 18:49
ATG (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -9.89%E -4.21%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -6.44%E -2.38%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -0.084%E -0.023%K -0.031%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-26 18:49
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -9.89%E -4.21%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -6.44%E -2.38%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -0.084%E -0.023%K -0.031%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-26 18:49
PMU (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -9.89%E -4.21%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -6.44%E -2.38%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -0.084%E -0.023%K -0.031%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-26 18:49
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -9.89%E -4.21%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -6.44%E -2.38%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -0.084%E -0.023%K -0.031%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-26 18:49
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -9.89%E -4.21%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -6.44%E -2.38%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -0.084%E -0.023%K -0.031%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-26 18:49
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -9.89%E -4.21%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -6.44%E -2.38%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -0.084%E -0.023%K -0.031%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-26 18:49
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -9.89%E -4.21%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -4.71%E -1.71%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.19%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-26 18:34
Bet Right🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -9.89%E -4.21%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -8.17%E -3.08%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -5.49%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-26 18:49
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -11.81%E -5.13%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -13.37%E -5.35%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -8.19%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-26 18:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.70%EV -12.58%E -5.52%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.81%EV -9.90%E -3.81%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -4.13%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-26 18:49
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.70%EV -12.58%E -5.52%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.81%EV -9.90%E -3.81%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -4.13%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-26 18:49
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.70%EV -12.58%E -5.52%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.81%EV -9.90%E -3.81%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -4.13%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-26 18:49
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.74%EV -13.73%E -6.10%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.07%EV -11.64%E -4.56%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.19%EV -4.13%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-26 18:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.74%EV -13.73%E -6.10%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.07%EV -11.64%E -4.56%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.19%EV -4.13%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-26 18:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.52%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.24%0.6%2026-08-26 18:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.05%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.84%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.11%1.1%2026-08-26 18:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.05%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.84%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.11%1.1%2026-08-26 18:55