The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Universitatea Craiova v PFC Levski Sofia

Kickoff: 2026-07-29 17:30 UTC

Final: Universitatea Craiova 2–2 PFC Levski Sofia

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Universitatea Craiova (Local)

Prediction 44.86%2.23fair odd
EV -3.56%
Edge -1.65%
Kelly -3.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.23%44.89%44.87%47.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.012.012.1552.63%49.85%49.63%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

PFC Levski Sofia (Visit)

Prediction 25.72%3.89fair odd
EV +3.14%
Edge +0.783%
Kelly +1.04%
Growth +0.033%

assuming max odds 4.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.68%25.78%25.68%27.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.693.714.0129.41%27.10%26.92%24.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.42%3.40fair odd
EV +0.038%
Edge +0.011%
Kelly +0.016%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.85%29.33%29.45%30.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.213.253.4033.33%31.15%30.77%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Universitatea Craiova (Local): 44.86%; PFC Levski Sofia (Visit): 25.72%; Draw: 29.42%. For PFC Levski Sofia (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.89. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.01, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.14%.

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.97%EV -11.18%E -5.65%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.68%EV +3.14%E +0.783%K +1.04%G +0.033%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.35%EV -1.43%E -0.428%K -0.610%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 17:25
Unibet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.94%EV -13.43%E -6.96%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -0.976%E -0.254%K -0.342%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -2.90%E -0.880%K -1.26%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-29 17:20
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.94%EV -13.43%E -6.96%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -0.976%E -0.254%K -0.342%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -2.90%E -0.880%K -1.26%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-29 17:20
Casumo🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.94%EV -13.43%E -6.96%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -0.976%E -0.254%K -0.342%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -2.90%E -0.880%K -1.26%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-29 17:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.94%EV -13.43%E -6.96%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -0.976%E -0.254%K -0.342%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -2.90%E -0.880%K -1.26%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-29 17:20
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.94%EV -13.43%E -6.96%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -0.976%E -0.254%K -0.342%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -2.90%E -0.880%K -1.26%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-29 17:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.94%EV -13.43%E -6.96%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -0.976%E -0.254%K -0.342%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -2.90%E -0.880%K -1.26%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-29 17:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.94%EV -13.43%E -6.96%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -0.976%E -0.254%K -0.342%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -2.90%E -0.880%K -1.26%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-29 17:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.94%EV -13.43%E -6.96%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -0.976%E -0.254%K -0.342%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -2.90%E -0.880%K -1.26%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-29 17:25
betPARX🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.94%EV -13.43%E -6.96%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -0.976%E -0.254%K -0.342%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -2.90%E -0.880%K -1.26%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-29 17:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.94%EV -13.43%E -6.96%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -0.976%E -0.254%K -0.342%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -2.90%E -0.880%K -1.26%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-29 17:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.97%EV -14.77%E -7.77%K -16.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.99%EV -2.26%E -0.595%K -0.808%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.04%EV -4.38%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-29 17:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.97%EV -14.77%E -7.77%K -16.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.99%EV -2.26%E -0.595%K -0.808%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.04%EV -4.38%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-29 17:20
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.53%EV -5.80%E -2.76%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.50%EV -3.55%E -0.946%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.97%EV -2.90%E -0.880%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-29 17:24
BetOnline.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.27%EV -3.56%E -1.65%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.52%EV -4.06%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -7.32%E -2.32%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 17:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.27%EV -3.56%E -1.65%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.52%EV -4.06%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -7.32%E -2.32%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 17:00
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -8.04%E -3.92%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.83%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -5.85%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-29 17:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.81%EV -6.70%E -3.22%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.32%EV -5.35%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.87%EV -8.20%E -2.63%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-29 17:25
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -5.80%E -2.76%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -6.12%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.85%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-29 17:05
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -5.80%E -2.76%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -5.85%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-29 17:15
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.04%E -3.92%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-29 17:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.04%E -3.92%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-29 17:00
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -12.53%E -6.43%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.73%E -3.91%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-29 17:25
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.23%EV -8.04%E -3.92%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -8.69%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -11.73%E -3.91%K -5.87%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-29 17:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -5.80%E -2.76%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV +0.038%E +0.011%K +0.016%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 17:05
Coolbet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.95%EV -6.70%E -3.22%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -2.90%E -0.880%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-29 17:05
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.04%E -3.92%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-29 17:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.04%E -3.92%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-29 17:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.04%E -3.92%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-29 17:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.31%EV -12.53%E -6.43%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -11.73%E -3.91%K -5.87%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-29 17:25
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -8.04%E -3.92%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -12.55%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -4.38%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-29 17:05
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -12.53%E -6.43%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -12.55%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -8.79%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-29 17:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20%0.7%2026-07-29 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20%0.7%2026-07-29 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20%0.7%2026-07-29 17:25

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