The School of Odds

Tre Fiori F.C. v Larne FC

2026-07-07 18:30 — UEFA Champions League Qualification

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Option 1: Tre Fiori F.C. (Local)

6.2516.00%Min
6.8714.56%Mean
6.7814.76%Median
7.7512.90%Max
12.12%8.254Min
14.05%7.118Max
13.18%7.585Mean
13.25%7.547Median
13.30%7.517IQM
13.16%7.596Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 7.75 under the IQM model: 13.30%

EV +3.10%Edge +0.400%Kelly +0.459%Growth +0.014%

Option 2: Larne FC (Visit)

1.3275.76%Min
1.3971.73%Mean
1.4071.17%Median
1.4369.93%Max
64.57%1.549Min
68.33%1.464Max
67.03%1.492Mean
67.07%1.491Median
66.96%1.493IQM
67.03%1.492Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.43 under the IQM model: 66.96%

EV -4.25%Edge -2.97%Kelly -9.88%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

4.2023.81%Min
4.6021.72%Mean
4.6021.74%Median
4.9020.41%Max
18.41%5.433Min
21.52%4.646Max
19.78%5.055Mean
19.68%5.081Median
19.74%5.066IQM
19.80%5.050Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.90 under the IQM model: 19.74%

EV -3.28%Edge -0.670%Kelly -0.842%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

BookmakerTre Fiori F.C. (Local) ▼Larne FC (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
Betr (AU)7.75I 12.90% NM 12.15%EV +3.10% E +0.400% K +0.459% G +0.014%1.38I 72.46% NM 68.23%EV -7.60% E -5.51% K -19.99% G +0.000%4.80I 20.83% NM 19.62%EV -5.26% E -1.10% K -1.38% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-07 16:50
Marathon Bet7.70I 12.99% NM 12.12%EV +2.43% E +0.316% K +0.363% G +0.009%1.38I 72.46% NM 67.60%EV -7.60% E -5.51% K -19.99% G +0.000%4.60I 21.74% NM 20.28%EV -9.20% E -2.00% K -2.56% G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-07 17:44
Coolbet7.50I 13.33% NM 12.48%EV -0.227% E -0.030% K -0.035% G +0.000%1.38I 72.46% NM 67.82%EV -7.60% E -5.51% K -19.99% G +0.000%4.75I 21.05% NM 19.70%EV -6.24% E -1.31% K -1.66% G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-07 16:59
Bet Right7.50I 13.33% NM 12.28%EV -0.227% E -0.030% K -0.035% G +0.000%1.36I 73.53% NM 67.71%EV -8.94% E -6.57% K -24.82% G +0.000%4.60I 21.74% NM 20.02%EV -9.20% E -2.00% K -2.56% G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-07 16:49
Bovada7.00I 14.29% NM 13.60%EV -6.88% E -0.983% K -1.15% G +0.000%1.43I 69.93% NM 66.57%EV -4.25% E -2.97% K -9.88% G +0.000%4.80I 20.83% NM 19.83%EV -5.26% E -1.10% K -1.38% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 17:29
DraftKings7.00I 14.29% NM 13.53%EV -6.88% E -0.983% K -1.15% G +0.000%1.41I 70.92% NM 67.15%EV -5.59% E -3.96% K -13.63% G +0.000%4.90I 20.41% NM 19.32%EV -3.28% E -0.670% K -0.842% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-07 00:55
Neds7.00I 14.29% NM 13.41%EV -6.88% E -0.983% K -1.15% G +0.000%1.40I 71.43% NM 67.04%EV -6.26% E -4.47% K -15.64% G +0.000%4.80I 20.83% NM 19.55%EV -5.26% E -1.10% K -1.38% G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-07 04:00
FanDuel7.00I 14.29% NM 13.27%EV -6.88% E -0.983% K -1.15% G +0.000%1.37I 72.99% NM 67.78%EV -8.27% E -6.03% K -22.34% G +0.000%4.90I 20.41% NM 18.95%EV -3.28% E -0.670% K -0.842% G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-07 13:59
888sport7.00I 14.29% NM 13.17%EV -6.88% E -0.983% K -1.15% G +0.000%1.40I 71.43% NM 65.87%EV -6.26% E -4.47% K -15.64% G +0.000%4.40I 22.73% NM 20.96%EV -13.15% E -2.99% K -3.87% G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-07 17:30
888sport (SE)7.00I 14.29% NM 13.17%EV -6.88% E -0.983% K -1.15% G +0.000%1.40I 71.43% NM 65.87%EV -6.26% E -4.47% K -15.64% G +0.000%4.40I 22.73% NM 20.96%EV -13.15% E -2.99% K -3.87% G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-07 17:30
Mr Green (SE)7.00I 14.29% NM 13.17%EV -6.88% E -0.983% K -1.15% G +0.000%1.40I 71.43% NM 65.87%EV -6.26% E -4.47% K -15.64% G +0.000%4.40I 22.73% NM 20.96%EV -13.15% E -2.99% K -3.87% G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-07 17:30
NordicBet6.90I 14.49% NM 13.43%EV -8.21% E -1.19% K -1.39% G +0.000%1.41I 70.92% NM 65.74%EV -5.59% E -3.96% K -13.63% G +0.000%4.45I 22.47% NM 20.83%EV -12.16% E -2.73% K -3.53% G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-07 17:35
Betsson6.90I 14.49% NM 13.43%EV -8.21% E -1.19% K -1.39% G +0.000%1.41I 70.92% NM 65.74%EV -5.59% E -3.96% K -13.63% G +0.000%4.45I 22.47% NM 20.83%EV -12.16% E -2.73% K -3.53% G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-07 17:35
BetUS6.80I 14.71% NM 13.76%EV -9.54% E -1.40% K -1.64% G +0.000%1.41I 70.92% NM 66.34%EV -5.59% E -3.96% K -13.63% G +0.000%4.70I 21.28% NM 19.90%EV -7.23% E -1.54% K -1.95% G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-07 17:25
LowVig.ag6.80I 14.71% NM 13.76%EV -9.54% E -1.40% K -1.64% G +0.000%1.41I 70.92% NM 66.34%EV -5.59% E -3.96% K -13.63% G +0.000%4.70I 21.28% NM 19.90%EV -7.23% E -1.54% K -1.95% G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-07 17:30
BetOnline.ag6.80I 14.71% NM 13.76%EV -9.54% E -1.40% K -1.64% G +0.000%1.41I 70.92% NM 66.34%EV -5.59% E -3.96% K -13.63% G +0.000%4.70I 21.28% NM 19.90%EV -7.23% E -1.54% K -1.95% G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-07 17:25
Tipico (DE)6.80I 14.71% NM 13.26%EV -9.54% E -1.40% K -1.64% G +0.000%1.32I 75.76% NM 68.33%EV -11.61% E -8.80% K -36.30% G +0.000%4.90I 20.41% NM 18.41%EV -3.28% E -0.670% K -0.842% G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-07 17:35
Unibet6.75I 14.81% NM 13.85%EV -10.20% E -1.51% K -1.77% G +0.000%1.42I 70.42% NM 65.83%EV -4.92% E -3.46% K -11.71% G +0.000%4.60I 21.74% NM 20.32%EV -9.20% E -2.00% K -2.56% G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-07 12:35
TABtouch6.75I 14.81% NM 13.85%EV -10.20% E -1.51% K -1.77% G +0.000%1.42I 70.42% NM 65.83%EV -4.92% E -3.46% K -11.71% G +0.000%4.60I 21.74% NM 20.32%EV -9.20% E -2.00% K -2.56% G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-07 12:35
Casumo6.75I 14.81% NM 13.85%EV -10.20% E -1.51% K -1.77% G +0.000%1.42I 70.42% NM 65.83%EV -4.92% E -3.46% K -11.71% G +0.000%4.60I 21.74% NM 20.32%EV -9.20% E -2.00% K -2.56% G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-07 12:35
Unibet (NL)6.75I 14.81% NM 13.85%EV -10.20% E -1.51% K -1.77% G +0.000%1.42I 70.42% NM 65.83%EV -4.92% E -3.46% K -11.71% G +0.000%4.60I 21.74% NM 20.32%EV -9.20% E -2.00% K -2.56% G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-07 12:30
LeoVegas (SE)6.75I 14.81% NM 13.85%EV -10.20% E -1.51% K -1.77% G +0.000%1.42I 70.42% NM 65.83%EV -4.92% E -3.46% K -11.71% G +0.000%4.60I 21.74% NM 20.32%EV -9.20% E -2.00% K -2.56% G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-07 12:30
Unibet (SE)6.75I 14.81% NM 13.85%EV -10.20% E -1.51% K -1.77% G +0.000%1.42I 70.42% NM 65.83%EV -4.92% E -3.46% K -11.71% G +0.000%4.60I 21.74% NM 20.32%EV -9.20% E -2.00% K -2.56% G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-07 12:30
Grosvenor6.75I 14.81% NM 13.85%EV -10.20% E -1.51% K -1.77% G +0.000%1.42I 70.42% NM 65.83%EV -4.92% E -3.46% K -11.71% G +0.000%4.60I 21.74% NM 20.32%EV -9.20% E -2.00% K -2.56% G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-07 12:35
Svenska Spel6.75I 14.81% NM 13.85%EV -10.20% E -1.51% K -1.77% G +0.000%1.42I 70.42% NM 65.83%EV -4.92% E -3.46% K -11.71% G +0.000%4.60I 21.74% NM 20.32%EV -9.20% E -2.00% K -2.56% G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-07 12:35
ATG (SE)6.75I 14.81% NM 13.85%EV -10.20% E -1.51% K -1.77% G +0.000%1.42I 70.42% NM 65.83%EV -4.92% E -3.46% K -11.71% G +0.000%4.60I 21.74% NM 20.32%EV -9.20% E -2.00% K -2.56% G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-07 12:30
betPARX6.75I 14.81% NM 13.85%EV -10.20% E -1.51% K -1.77% G +0.000%1.42I 70.42% NM 65.83%EV -4.92% E -3.46% K -11.71% G +0.000%4.60I 21.74% NM 20.32%EV -9.20% E -2.00% K -2.56% G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-07 12:35
SportsBet6.75I 14.81% NM 13.57%EV -10.20% E -1.51% K -1.77% G +0.000%1.36I 73.53% NM 67.35%EV -8.94% E -6.57% K -24.82% G +0.000%4.80I 20.83% NM 19.08%EV -5.26% E -1.10% K -1.38% G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-07 14:00
LiveScore Bet6.50I 15.38% NM 13.98%EV -13.53% E -2.08% K -2.46% G +0.000%1.38I 72.46% NM 65.83%EV -7.60% E -5.51% K -19.99% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.19%EV -11.18% E -2.48% K -3.19% G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-07 12:35
Virgin Bet6.50I 15.38% NM 13.98%EV -13.53% E -2.08% K -2.46% G +0.000%1.38I 72.46% NM 65.83%EV -7.60% E -5.51% K -19.99% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.19%EV -11.18% E -2.48% K -3.19% G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-07 12:35
PlayUp6.50I 15.38% NM 13.91%EV -13.53% E -2.08% K -2.46% G +0.000%1.40I 71.43% NM 64.57%EV -6.26% E -4.47% K -15.64% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 21.52%EV -17.10% E -4.07% K -5.34% G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-07 17:35
BoyleSports6.50I 15.38% NM 13.64%EV -13.53% E -2.08% K -2.46% G +0.000%1.33I 75.19% NM 66.66%EV -10.95% E -8.23% K -33.17% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 19.70%EV -11.18% E -2.48% K -3.19% G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-07 05:49
Paddy Power6.50I 15.38% NM 13.64%EV -13.53% E -2.08% K -2.46% G +0.000%1.33I 75.19% NM 66.66%EV -10.95% E -8.23% K -33.17% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 19.70%EV -11.18% E -2.48% K -3.19% G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-07 15:34
PMU (FR)6.25I 16.00% NM 14.05%EV -16.86% E -2.70% K -3.21% G +0.000%1.34I 74.63% NM 65.53%EV -10.28% E -7.67% K -30.22% G +0.000%4.30I 23.26% NM 20.42%EV -15.13% E -3.52% K -4.58% G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-07 12:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerTre Fiori F.C. (Local)Larne FC (Visit)DrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)7.60I 13.16% NM 13.07%1.45I 68.97% NM 68.53%5.40I 18.52% NM 18.40%0.6%2026-07-07 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)7.60I 13.16% NM 13.07%1.45I 68.97% NM 68.53%5.40I 18.52% NM 18.40%0.6%2026-07-07 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)7.60I 13.16% NM 13.07%1.45I 68.97% NM 68.53%5.40I 18.52% NM 18.40%0.6%2026-07-07 17:40