Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 5.40
assuming max odds 1.60
assuming max odds 4.60
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV +1.47%E +0.273%K +0.335%G +0.005% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.06%EV -7.26%E -4.68%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -12.35%E -3.01%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-14 16:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV +1.47%E +0.273%K +0.335%G +0.005% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.06%EV -7.26%E -4.68%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -12.35%E -3.01%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-14 16:50 |
| TABtouch | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV +1.47%E +0.273%K +0.335%G +0.005% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.06%EV -7.26%E -4.68%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -12.35%E -3.01%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-14 16:50 |
| Grosvenor | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV +1.47%E +0.273%K +0.335%G +0.005% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.06%EV -7.26%E -4.68%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -12.35%E -3.01%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-14 16:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV +1.47%E +0.273%K +0.335%G +0.005% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.06%EV -7.26%E -4.68%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -12.35%E -3.01%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-14 16:50 |
| Casumo | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV +1.47%E +0.273%K +0.335%G +0.005% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.06%EV -7.26%E -4.68%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -12.35%E -3.01%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-14 16:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV +1.47%E +0.273%K +0.335%G +0.005% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.06%EV -7.26%E -4.68%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -12.35%E -3.01%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-14 16:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV +1.47%E +0.273%K +0.335%G +0.005% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.06%EV -7.26%E -4.68%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -12.35%E -3.01%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-14 16:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV +1.47%E +0.273%K +0.335%G +0.005% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.06%EV -7.26%E -4.68%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -12.35%E -3.01%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-14 16:49 |
| betPARX | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV +1.47%E +0.273%K +0.335%G +0.005% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.06%EV -7.26%E -4.68%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -12.35%E -3.01%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-14 16:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.48%EV -2.29%E -0.440%K -0.544%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.80%EV -9.06%E -5.96%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.72%EV -14.49%E -3.62%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-14 16:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.48%EV -2.29%E -0.440%K -0.544%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.80%EV -9.06%E -5.96%K -17.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.72%EV -14.49%E -3.62%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-14 16:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.34%EV -2.29%E -0.440%K -0.544%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.17%EV -13.24%E -9.13%K -29.43%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.49%EV -5.94%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-14 17:04 |
| LowVig.ag | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.19%EV -4.17%E -0.817%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.46%EV -6.66%E -4.27%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.35%EV -11.28%E -2.72%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| BetOnline.ag | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.19%EV -4.17%E -0.817%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.46%EV -6.66%E -4.27%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.35%EV -11.28%E -2.72%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| Bovada | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.10%EV -6.04%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.68%EV -4.27%E -2.67%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.22%EV -3.80%E -0.845%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-14 17:14 |
| DraftKings | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -6.04%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.55%EV -4.87%E -3.06%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%EV -5.94%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-14 17:13 |
| FanDuel | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -6.04%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.00%EV -6.66%E -4.27%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -5.94%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-14 17:13 |
| PMU (FR) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.54%EV -6.04%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 59.67%EV -12.05%E -8.20%K -25.63%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.78%EV -17.70%E -4.60%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-14 16:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -7.92%E -1.62%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -6.06%E -3.86%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -7.44%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-14 17:14 |
| SportsBet | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.79%EV -7.92%E -1.62%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.79%EV -7.86%E -5.10%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%EV -8.08%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-14 17:14 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.27%EV -9.80%E -2.04%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 60.07%EV -12.65%E -8.66%K -27.49%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 21.66%EV -13.42%E -3.31%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-14 17:14 |
| Coolbet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -10.74%E -2.26%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.39%EV -5.47%E -3.46%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -3.80%E -0.845%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-14 17:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -10.74%E -2.26%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.30%EV -8.46%E -5.53%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -10.21%E -2.43%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-14 17:14 |
| Paddy Power | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.88%EV -10.74%E -2.26%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -10.25%E -6.84%K -20.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -10.21%E -2.43%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-14 17:14 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -13.56%E -2.95%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.27%E -2.67%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -1.66%E -0.362%K -0.462%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-14 17:14 |
| Bet Right | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.82%EV -17.32%E -3.94%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -6.06%E -3.86%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.82%EV -5.94%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-14 17:14 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.66% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.04% | 1.1% | 2026-07-14 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.66% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.04% | 1.1% | 2026-07-14 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.66% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.04% | 1.1% | 2026-07-14 17:15 |