Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sparta Prague v Lyon

2026-08-04 00:00 UTC — UEFA Champions League Qualification

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (0 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sparta Prague (Local)

Prediction 0.00%fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -26.32%
Kelly -35.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.35%0.00%0.00%24.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.773.803.8027.78%26.53%26.32%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lyon (Visit)

Prediction 0.00%fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -52.91%
Kelly -112.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.89

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.11%0.00%0.00%49.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.791.881.891.8955.87%53.32%52.91%52.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 0.00%fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -28.17%
Kelly -39.22%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.23%0.00%0.00%26.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.523.553.5529.85%28.45%28.17%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.27%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%7.4%2026-07-30 09:29
Unibet (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.27%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%7.4%2026-07-30 09:30
LeoVegas (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.27%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%7.4%2026-07-30 09:30
Casumo3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.27%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%7.4%2026-07-30 09:30
Unibet (NL)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.27%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%7.4%2026-07-30 09:30
TABtouch3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.27%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%7.4%2026-07-30 09:29
Svenska Spel3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.27%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%7.4%2026-07-30 09:29
ATG (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.27%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%7.4%2026-07-30 09:30
betPARX3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.27%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%7.4%2026-07-30 09:33
Grosvenor3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%8.1%2026-07-30 09:30
Virgin Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.11%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.33%10.1%2026-07-30 09:30
LiveScore Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.11%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.33%10.1%2026-07-30 09:30
PMU (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%1.79I 55.87%NM 49.22%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.30%13.5%2026-07-30 09:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.