The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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ŠK Slovan Bratislava v FC Iberia 1999

Kickoff: 2026-07-29 18:15 UTC

Final: ŠK Slovan Bratislava 1–1 FC Iberia 1999

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

ŠK Slovan Bratislava (Local)

Prediction 68.40%1.46fair odd
EV -1.50%
Edge -1.05%
Kelly -3.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.76%68.25%68.51%70.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.271.351.341.4478.74%73.99%74.63%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Iberia 1999 (Visit)

Prediction 11.30%8.85fair odd
EV +4.96%
Edge +0.534%
Kelly +0.598%
Growth +0.030%

assuming max odds 9.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.15%11.40%11.31%13.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.007.908.009.2914.29%12.66%12.50%10.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.30%4.93fair odd
EV +3.54%
Edge +0.695%
Kelly +0.864%
Growth +0.031%

assuming max odds 5.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.13%20.35%20.18%22.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.714.655.1024.39%21.25%21.51%19.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: ŠK Slovan Bratislava (Local): 68.40%; FC Iberia 1999 (Visit): 11.30%; Draw: 20.30%. For FC Iberia 1999 (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.85. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.29, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.96%.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.92%EV -8.34%E -6.23%K -24.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -9.62%E -1.20%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV +3.54%E +0.695%K +0.864%G +0.031%6.7%2026-07-29 18:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.92%EV -8.34%E -6.23%K -24.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -9.62%E -1.20%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV +3.54%E +0.695%K +0.864%G +0.031%6.7%2026-07-29 18:05
Unibet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.92%EV -8.34%E -6.23%K -24.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -9.62%E -1.20%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV +3.54%E +0.695%K +0.864%G +0.031%6.7%2026-07-29 17:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.92%EV -8.34%E -6.23%K -24.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -9.62%E -1.20%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV +3.54%E +0.695%K +0.864%G +0.031%6.7%2026-07-29 18:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.92%EV -8.34%E -6.23%K -24.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -9.62%E -1.20%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV +3.54%E +0.695%K +0.864%G +0.031%6.7%2026-07-29 18:05
betPARX🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.92%EV -8.34%E -6.23%K -24.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -9.62%E -1.20%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV +3.54%E +0.695%K +0.864%G +0.031%6.7%2026-07-29 18:10
TABtouch🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.38%EV -8.34%E -6.23%K -24.54%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -15.26%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV +3.54%E +0.695%K +0.864%G +0.031%7.6%2026-07-29 18:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.38%EV -8.34%E -6.23%K -24.54%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -15.26%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV +3.54%E +0.695%K +0.864%G +0.031%7.6%2026-07-29 18:05
Grosvenor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.54%EV -9.03%E -6.79%K -27.36%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -15.26%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.13%EV +3.54%E +0.695%K +0.864%G +0.031%8.1%2026-07-29 18:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -11.08%E -8.52%K -36.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -15.26%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV +1.51%E +0.303%K +0.378%G +0.006%10.3%2026-07-29 17:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -11.08%E -8.52%K -36.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -15.26%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV +1.51%E +0.303%K +0.378%G +0.006%10.3%2026-07-29 17:20
FanDuel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.03%EV -9.03%E -6.79%K -27.36%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.96%EV -3.97%E -0.467%K -0.529%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -0.517%E -0.106%K -0.133%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-29 18:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.72%EV -2.87%E -2.02%K -6.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV -20.91%E -2.99%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.74%EV -2.55%E -0.531%K -0.670%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-29 18:10
SportsBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.69%EV -9.71%E -7.36%K -30.35%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.15%EV -6.79%E -0.823%K -0.937%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -2.55%E -0.531%K -0.670%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-29 18:04
PMU (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 69.74%EV -13.13%E -10.34%K -48.64%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.81%EV -15.26%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.45%EV -2.55%E -0.531%K -0.670%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-29 18:05
Coolbet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -4.24%E -3.03%K -10.60%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -20.91%E -2.99%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -3.56%E -0.750%K -0.950%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-29 18:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.00%EV -9.03%E -6.79%K -27.36%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.47%EV -9.62%E -1.20%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -4.58%E -0.974%K -1.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-29 18:00
Bovada🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.03%EV -2.87%E -2.02%K -6.84%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.28%EV -12.44%E -1.61%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.61%E -1.44%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 18:09
DraftKings🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.38%EV -5.61%E -4.06%K -14.76%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV -3.97%E -0.467%K -0.529%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -6.61%E -1.44%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-29 18:10
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.07%EV -4.24%E -3.03%K -10.60%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -15.26%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -6.61%E -1.44%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-29 18:05
Bet Right🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.79%EV -5.61%E -4.06%K -14.76%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -20.91%E -2.99%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -6.61%E -1.44%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-29 18:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -9.71%E -7.36%K -30.35%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -15.26%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -6.61%E -1.44%K -1.84%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-29 18:09
BetUS🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.64%EV -4.24%E -3.03%K -10.60%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.55%EV -7.36%E -0.897%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.81%EV -7.62%E -1.68%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 18:10
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.90%EV -11.08%E -8.52%K -36.94%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.20%EV -9.62%E -1.20%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -8.64%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-29 18:05
BoyleSports🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.39%EV -11.08%E -8.52%K -36.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.85%EV -15.26%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.76%EV -8.64%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-29 17:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 68.56%EV -11.76%E -9.12%K -40.57%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.79%EV -15.26%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.65%EV -8.64%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-29 18:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.55%EV -5.61%E -4.06%K -14.76%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.51%EV -8.49%E -1.05%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.95%EV -9.65%E -2.17%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-29 18:10
1xBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.94%EV -1.50%E -1.05%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.61I 13.14%NM 12.48%EV -14.02%E -1.84%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.58%EV -10.67%E -2.42%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 18:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.36%EV -5.61%E -4.06%K -14.76%G +0.000%9.29I 10.76%NM 10.15%EV +4.96%E +0.534%K +0.598%G +0.030%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.49%EV -10.87%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-29 18:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.36%EV -5.61%E -4.06%K -14.76%G +0.000%9.29I 10.76%NM 10.15%EV +4.96%E +0.534%K +0.598%G +0.030%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.49%EV -10.87%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-29 18:05
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.39%EV -6.98%E -5.13%K -19.38%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -3.97%E -0.467%K -0.529%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -14.73%E -3.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-29 18:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.39%EV -6.98%E -5.13%K -19.38%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -3.97%E -0.467%K -0.529%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -14.73%E -3.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-29 18:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.39%EV -6.98%E -5.13%K -19.38%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -3.97%E -0.467%K -0.529%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -14.73%E -3.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-29 18:05
PlayUp🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.76%EV -5.61%E -4.06%K -14.76%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.10%EV -15.26%E -2.04%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -16.76%E -4.09%K -5.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-29 18:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.37%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.55%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.08%0.8%2026-07-29 18:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.37%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.55%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.08%0.8%2026-07-29 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.37%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.55%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.08%0.8%2026-07-29 18:10

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