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Sabah FK v Hapoel Be'er Sheva

2026-08-25 16:45 UTC — UEFA Champions League Qualification

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sabah FK (Local)

Prediction 55.23%1.81fair odd
EV -4.46%
Edge -2.58%
Kelly -6.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.10%55.23%54.50%56.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.691.691.7361.35%59.35%59.17%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hapoel Be'er Sheva (Visit)

Prediction 18.18%5.50fair odd
EV +12.71%
Edge +2.05%
Kelly +2.44%
Growth +0.311%

assuming max odds 6.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.04%18.18%19.42%20.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.044.726.2022.22%19.83%21.16%16.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.60%3.76fair odd
EV -0.264%
Edge -0.070%
Kelly -0.096%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.27%26.60%26.08%28.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.503.503.7531.25%28.57%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Sabah FK (Local): 55.23%; Hapoel Be'er Sheva (Visit): 18.18%; Draw: 26.60%. For Hapoel Be'er Sheva (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.50. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 6.20, producing a positive expected value of +12.71%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.62%EV -8.88%E -5.38%K -13.66%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.07%EV +12.71%E +2.05%K +2.44%G +0.311%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -12.23%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-19 22:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.29%EV -9.98%E -6.12%K -15.85%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.04%EV +10.89%E +1.79%K +2.14%G +0.232%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -14.89%E -4.65%K -6.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-19 22:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.85%EV -5.01%E -2.91%K -6.96%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.65%EV -12.74%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.50%EV -1.59%E -0.431%K -0.590%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 22:50
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.78%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.95%EV -13.65%E -2.87%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -0.264%E -0.070%K -0.096%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-19 22:50
SportsBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.28%EV -6.67%E -3.95%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.52%EV -14.56%E -3.10%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -6.91%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-19 22:46
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.28%EV -6.67%E -3.95%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.52%EV -14.56%E -3.10%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -6.91%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-19 22:44
Bet Right🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.10%EV -6.12%E -3.60%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -16.38%E -3.56%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -5.58%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-19 22:50
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.11%EV -7.77%E -4.66%K -11.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -18.20%E -4.04%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -6.91%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-19 22:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 50.24%2.10I 47.62%NM 24.88%2.10I 47.62%NM 24.88%91.4%2026-08-19 23:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 50.24%2.10I 47.62%NM 24.88%2.10I 47.62%NM 24.88%91.4%2026-08-19 23:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 50.24%2.10I 47.62%NM 24.88%2.10I 47.62%NM 24.88%91.4%2026-08-19 23:45

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