Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Red Star Belgrade v Hapoel Be'er Sheva

2026-08-11 18:00 UTC — UEFA Champions League Qualification

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Red Star Belgrade (Local)

Prediction 68.20%1.47fair odd
EV -5.20%
Edge -3.74%
Kelly -13.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.39

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.87%68.29%68.39%71.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.351.351.3978.13%74.28%74.07%71.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hapoel Be'er Sheva (Visit)

Prediction 13.16%7.60fair odd
EV +7.94%
Edge +0.968%
Kelly +1.10%
Growth +0.087%

assuming max odds 8.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.91%13.13%13.04%14.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.507.077.008.2015.38%14.14%14.29%12.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 18.64%5.37fair odd
EV +8.28%
Edge +1.42%
Kelly +1.72%
Growth +0.142%

assuming max odds 5.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.81%18.58%18.56%20.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.975.005.8122.22%20.12%20.00%17.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Red Star Belgrade (Local): 68.20%; Hapoel Be'er Sheva (Visit): 13.16%; Draw: 18.64%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.37. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 5.81, producing a positive expected value of +8.28%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 71.28%EV -6.56%E -4.79%K -17.74%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.91%EV +7.94%E +0.968%K +1.10%G +0.087%5.81I 17.21%NM 16.81%EV +8.28%E +1.42%K +1.72%G +0.142%2.4%2026-08-05 18:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.01%EV -9.29%E -6.99%K -28.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.42%EV -1.28%E -0.170%K -0.197%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -1.23%E -0.232%K -0.286%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-05 18:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 69.61%EV -12.70%E -9.92%K -45.37%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 12.91%EV -9.18%E -1.33%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.47%EV -4.96%E -0.972%K -1.21%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-05 18:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.20%EV -5.88%E -4.26%K -15.48%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.98%EV -4.57%E -0.630%K -0.731%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -6.82%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 17:05
Coolbet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.88%EV -5.88%E -4.26%K -15.48%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -7.86%E -1.12%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -6.82%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 17:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.50%EV -6.56%E -4.79%K -17.74%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.01%EV -13.12%E -1.99%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.49%EV -6.82%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-05 16:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.50%EV -6.56%E -4.79%K -17.74%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.01%EV -13.12%E -1.99%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.49%EV -6.82%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-05 16:30
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -9.29%E -6.99%K -28.16%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -7.86%E -1.12%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -6.82%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-05 17:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -9.29%E -6.99%K -28.16%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -7.86%E -1.12%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -6.82%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-05 17:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -9.29%E -6.99%K -28.16%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -7.86%E -1.12%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -6.82%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-05 17:50
Betsson🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.65%EV -5.20%E -3.74%K -13.34%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 12.08%EV +3.99%E +0.505%K +0.578%G +0.023%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.28%EV -7.75%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 17:05
NordicBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.65%EV -5.20%E -3.74%K -13.34%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 12.08%EV +3.99%E +0.505%K +0.578%G +0.023%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.28%EV -7.75%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 17:05
SportsBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.43%EV -9.29%E -6.99%K -28.16%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.00%EV -7.86%E -1.12%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -8.68%E -1.77%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-05 17:05
FanDuel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.43%EV -9.29%E -6.99%K -28.16%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.00%EV -7.86%E -1.12%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -8.68%E -1.77%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-05 17:05
Bet Right🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -7.86%E -1.12%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -11.48%E -2.42%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-05 17:05
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -14.44%E -2.22%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -11.48%E -2.42%K -3.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-05 15:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 67.86%EV -11.34%E -8.72%K -37.80%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.57%EV -14.44%E -2.22%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.57%EV -11.48%E -2.42%K -3.06%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-05 17:05
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 67.86%EV -11.34%E -8.72%K -37.80%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.57%EV -14.44%E -2.22%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.57%EV -11.48%E -2.42%K -3.06%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-05 17:05
PlayUp🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.99%EV -7.93%E -5.87%K -22.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.92%EV -7.86%E -1.12%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.10%EV -16.14%E -3.59%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-05 18:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.