Language:English
Red Star Belgrade v Hapoel Be'er Sheva
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Red Star Belgrade (Local)
Prediction 75.61%1.32fair odd
EV -3.21%
Edge -2.51%
Kelly -11.47%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.73%75.31%75.75%78.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.121.221.221.2889.29%81.89%81.97%78.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hapoel Be'er Sheva (Visit)
Prediction 8.49%11.78fair odd
EV +10.31%
Edge +0.793%
Kelly +0.859%
Growth +0.089%
assuming max odds 13.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.28%8.46%8.43%10.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
9.0011.1411.0013.0011.11%8.97%9.09%7.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 15.90%6.29fair odd
EV +3.35%
Edge +0.515%
Kelly +0.608%
Growth +0.020%
assuming max odds 6.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.54%16.23%15.82%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.926.006.5020.00%16.89%16.67%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Red Star Belgrade (Local): 75.61%; Hapoel Be'er Sheva (Visit): 8.49%; Draw: 15.90%. For Hapoel Be'er Sheva (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 11.78. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 13.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.31%.
Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.17%EV -8.51%E -7.03%K -40.50%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +10.31%E +0.793%K +0.859%G +0.089% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV +3.35%E +0.515%K +0.608%G +0.020% | 5.7% | 2026-08-11 17:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.17%EV -8.51%E -7.03%K -40.50%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +10.31%E +0.793%K +0.859%G +0.089% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV +3.35%E +0.515%K +0.608%G +0.020% | 5.7% | 2026-08-11 17:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.17%EV -8.51%E -7.03%K -40.50%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +10.31%E +0.793%K +0.859%G +0.089% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV +3.35%E +0.515%K +0.608%G +0.020% | 5.7% | 2026-08-11 17:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.17%EV -8.51%E -7.03%K -40.50%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +10.31%E +0.793%K +0.859%G +0.089% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV +3.35%E +0.515%K +0.608%G +0.020% | 5.7% | 2026-08-11 17:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.17%EV -8.51%E -7.03%K -40.50%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +10.31%E +0.793%K +0.859%G +0.089% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV +3.35%E +0.515%K +0.608%G +0.020% | 5.7% | 2026-08-11 17:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.17%EV -8.51%E -7.03%K -40.50%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +10.31%E +0.793%K +0.859%G +0.089% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV +3.35%E +0.515%K +0.608%G +0.020% | 5.7% | 2026-08-11 17:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.17%EV -8.51%E -7.03%K -40.50%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +10.31%E +0.793%K +0.859%G +0.089% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV +3.35%E +0.515%K +0.608%G +0.020% | 5.7% | 2026-08-11 17:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.56%EV -3.97%E -3.13%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.58%EV +6.07%E +0.486%K +0.528%G +0.032% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.87%EV -15.73%E -2.97%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-11 17:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.56%EV -3.97%E -3.13%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.58%EV +6.07%E +0.486%K +0.528%G +0.032% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.87%EV -15.73%E -2.97%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-11 17:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.18%EV -5.48%E -4.39%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 11.75I 8.51%NM 8.10%EV -0.293%E -0.025%K -0.027%G +0.000% | 6.06I 16.50%NM 15.71%EV -3.65%E -0.602%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 17:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.18%EV -5.48%E -4.39%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 11.75I 8.51%NM 8.10%EV -0.293%E -0.025%K -0.027%G +0.000% | 6.06I 16.50%NM 15.71%EV -3.65%E -0.602%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 17:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.97%EV -10.77%E -9.13%K -59.86%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.90%EV -2.41%E -0.210%K -0.230%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.14%EV -4.60%E -0.767%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-11 17:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.97%EV -10.77%E -9.13%K -59.86%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.90%EV -2.41%E -0.210%K -0.230%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.14%EV -4.60%E -0.767%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-11 17:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.97%EV -10.77%E -9.13%K -59.86%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.90%EV -2.41%E -0.210%K -0.230%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.14%EV -4.60%E -0.767%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-11 17:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.43%EV -7.75%E -6.35%K -35.23%G +0.000% | 11.25I 8.89%NM 8.29%EV -4.54%E -0.403%K -0.443%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.29%EV -3.01%E -0.494%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-11 17:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.86%EV -6.99%E -5.69%K -30.41%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.59%EV -6.66%E -0.605%K -0.666%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV +3.35%E +0.515%K +0.608%G +0.020% | 5.8% | 2026-08-11 17:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.56%EV -7.75%E -6.35%K -35.23%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -6.66%E -0.605%K -0.666%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -0.629%E -0.101%K -0.120%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-11 16:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.34%EV -9.26%E -7.72%K -46.31%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.22%EV -6.66%E -0.605%K -0.666%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -12.55%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-11 17:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 76.99%EV -12.29%E -10.59%K -76.79%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.12%EV -6.66%E -0.605%K -0.666%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -4.60%E -0.767%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-11 17:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 76.99%EV -12.29%E -10.59%K -76.79%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.12%EV -6.66%E -0.605%K -0.666%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -4.60%E -0.767%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-11 17:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 77.12%EV -15.31%E -13.67%K -127.59%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 7.85%EV -6.66%E -0.605%K -0.666%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.02%EV -8.58%E -1.49%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-08-11 17:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.85%EV -5.48%E -4.39%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 10.85I 9.22%NM 8.74%EV -7.93%E -0.731%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.42%EV -2.22%E -0.361%K -0.431%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-11 17:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.86%EV -3.97%E -3.13%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 10.60I 9.43%NM 8.97%EV -10.05%E -0.948%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.17%EV -6.51%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-11 17:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.19%EV -4.73%E -3.75%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.02%EV -10.90%E -1.04%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -4.60%E -0.767%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-11 17:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.49%EV -6.24%E -5.03%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -10.90%E -1.04%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -4.60%E -0.767%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-11 17:28 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.97%E -3.13%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -15.14%E -1.51%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.81%EV -4.60%E -0.767%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 17:48 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.26%EV -7.75%E -6.35%K -35.23%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.18%EV -15.14%E -1.51%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.56%EV -6.19%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-11 17:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.60%EV -8.51%E -7.03%K -40.50%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.15%EV -15.14%E -1.51%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -4.60%E -0.767%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-11 17:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -5.48%E -4.39%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -15.14%E -1.51%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -20.50%E -4.10%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-11 17:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -5.48%E -4.39%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -15.14%E -1.51%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -20.50%E -4.10%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-11 17:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -5.48%E -4.39%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -15.14%E -1.51%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -20.50%E -4.10%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-11 17:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -5.48%E -4.39%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -15.14%E -1.51%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -20.50%E -4.10%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-11 17:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.28%EV -7.75%E -6.35%K -35.23%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.67%EV -19.39%E -2.04%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.06%EV -3.01%E -0.494%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-11 17:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.38%EV -9.26%E -7.72%K -46.31%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -19.39%E -2.04%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -12.55%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-11 17:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 74.70%EV -10.77%E -9.13%K -59.86%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.28%EV -19.39%E -2.04%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -12.55%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-11 17:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.37%EV -3.21%E -2.51%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV -23.63%E -2.63%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.19%EV -7.78%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-11 17:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.35% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.98% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.67% | 0.2% | 2026-08-11 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.35% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.98% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.67% | 0.2% | 2026-08-11 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.75% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.25% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00% | 1.0% | 2026-08-11 17:55 |