Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

PFC Levski Sofia v AEK Athens

Inizio: 2026-08-18 19:00 UTC

Finale: PFC Levski Sofia 0–0 AEK Athens

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

38 bookmaker (10 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

PFC Levski Sofia (Casa)

Previsione 28.64%3.49quota equa
EV -1.77%
Vantaggio -0.516%
Kelly -0.729%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.43

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.80%28.62%28.54%30.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.243.253.4333.33%30.90%30.77%29.15%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

AEK Athens (Trasferta)

Previsione 39.98%2.50quota equa
EV -4.05%
Vantaggio -1.69%
Kelly -2.89%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.80%40.00%40.10%41.45%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.232.322.352.4044.84%43.01%42.55%41.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 31.38%3.19quota equa
EV -1.15%
Vantaggio -0.364%
Kelly -0.533%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.15

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.04%31.38%31.36%32.22%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.802.973.003.1535.71%33.69%33.33%31.75%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: PFC Levski Sofia (Casa): 28.64%; AEK Athens (Trasferta): 39.98%; Pareggio: 31.38%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.19. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 3.15, con un valore atteso del -1.15%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (38 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
BetOnline.ag🎯3.43I 29.15%NM 27.80%EV -1.77%E -0.516%K -0.729%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.45%EV -8.05%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.75%EV -2.71%E -0.876%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-18 18:10
LowVig.ag🎯3.43I 29.15%NM 27.80%EV -1.77%E -0.516%K -0.729%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.45%EV -8.05%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.75%EV -2.71%E -0.876%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-18 18:09
Coolbet🎯3.39I 29.50%NM 28.38%EV -2.92%E -0.860%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.08%EV -4.05%E -1.69%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.54%EV -4.28%E -1.40%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-18 18:49
Pinnacle🎯3.38I 29.59%NM 28.48%EV -3.20%E -0.948%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.27%EV -4.45%E -1.86%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.25%EV -3.34%E -1.09%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-18 18:45
Unibet (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -4.06%E -1.21%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.24%EV -6.05%E -2.57%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -5.85%E -1.95%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-18 18:55
Unibet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -4.06%E -1.21%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.24%EV -6.05%E -2.57%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -5.85%E -1.95%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-18 18:55
ATG (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -4.06%E -1.21%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.24%EV -6.05%E -2.57%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -5.85%E -1.95%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-18 18:55
Svenska Spel🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -4.06%E -1.21%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.24%EV -6.05%E -2.57%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -5.85%E -1.95%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-18 18:55
1xBet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.79%EV -5.49%E -1.66%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.95%EV -7.25%E -3.12%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.26%EV -1.46%E -0.465%K -0.682%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 18:55
PMU (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -5.49%E -1.66%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -6.05%E -2.57%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -5.85%E -1.95%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-18 18:34
Unibet (NL)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -5.49%E -1.66%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -6.05%E -2.57%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -5.85%E -1.95%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-18 18:34
Casumo🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -5.49%E -1.66%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -6.05%E -2.57%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -5.85%E -1.95%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-18 18:34
betPARX🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -5.49%E -1.66%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -6.05%E -2.57%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -5.85%E -1.95%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-18 18:34
Marathon Bet🎯3.28I 30.49%NM 28.45%EV -6.07%E -1.85%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.71%EV -6.05%E -2.57%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.85%EV -8.05%E -2.75%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-18 18:55
Bovada🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30%EV -6.05%E -2.57%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -2.71%E -0.876%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-18 18:50
BetUS🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30%EV -6.05%E -2.57%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -2.71%E -0.876%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-18 18:50
DraftKings🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.10%EV -6.05%E -2.57%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -4.28%E -1.40%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-18 18:45
888sport🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.05%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -9.62%E -3.34%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-18 18:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.05%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -9.62%E -3.34%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-18 18:55
888sport (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.05%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -9.62%E -3.34%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-18 18:55
Neds🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -8.05%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -2.71%E -0.876%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-18 17:29
Unibet (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -6.05%E -2.57%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -5.85%E -1.95%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-18 18:50
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -6.05%E -2.57%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -5.85%E -1.95%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-18 18:55
FanDuel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -4.05%E -1.69%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.99%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-18 18:55
SportsBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -6.05%E -2.57%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -10.56%E -3.71%K -5.71%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-18 18:55
BoyleSports🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -10.05%E -4.46%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -8.99%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-18 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.80%EV -8.85%E -3.88%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.84%EV -10.56%E -3.71%K -5.71%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-18 18:55
TABtouch🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.80%EV -8.85%E -3.88%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.84%EV -10.56%E -3.71%K -5.71%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-18 18:55
Betsson🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -9.79%E -3.11%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.64%EV -7.25%E -3.12%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -7.42%E -2.52%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-18 18:40
NordicBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -9.79%E -3.11%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.64%EV -7.25%E -3.12%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -7.42%E -2.52%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-18 18:40
Grosvenor🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -9.79%E -3.11%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.94%EV -10.05%E -4.46%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -10.56%E -3.71%K -5.71%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-18 18:35
Betr (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -11.22%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.43%EV -4.05%E -1.69%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.04%EV -1.15%E -0.364%K -0.533%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-18 18:50
PlayUp🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -11.22%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.66%EV -8.85%E -3.88%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.18%EV -8.99%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-18 18:55
Paddy Power🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -11.22%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -8.05%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -12.13%E -4.33%K -6.74%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-18 18:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -11.22%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -8.05%E -3.50%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -12.13%E -4.33%K -6.74%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-18 18:50
LiveScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -11.22%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.75%EV -10.85%E -4.86%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.66%EV -12.13%E -4.33%K -6.74%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-18 18:34
Virgin Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -11.22%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.75%EV -10.85%E -4.86%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.66%EV -12.13%E -4.33%K -6.74%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-18 18:34
Bet Right🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -14.09%E -4.70%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.16%EV -6.05%E -2.57%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -4.28%E -1.40%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-18 18:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.75%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.74%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-08-18 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.66%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.93%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%1.1%2026-08-18 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.66%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.93%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%1.1%2026-08-18 18:55