The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

NK Celje v ŠK Slovan Bratislava

Kickoff: 2026-08-26 19:00 UTC

Final: NK Celje 1–2 ŠK Slovan Bratislava

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

NK Celje (Local)

Prediction 35.32%2.83fair odd
EV -1.80%
Edge -0.647%
Kelly -1.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.15%35.39%35.25%37.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.582.602.7841.67%38.78%38.46%35.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

ŠK Slovan Bratislava (Visit)

Prediction 35.41%2.82fair odd
EV +0.916%
Edge +0.321%
Kelly +0.495%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.81%35.39%35.46%36.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.692.702.8540.00%37.20%37.04%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.27%3.42fair odd
EV -1.96%
Edge -0.584%
Kelly -0.833%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.93%29.23%29.29%29.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.163.153.3533.33%31.68%31.75%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: NK Celje (Local): 35.32%; ŠK Slovan Bratislava (Visit): 35.41%; Draw: 29.27%. For ŠK Slovan Bratislava (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.82. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.916%.

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.44%EV -11.69%E -4.68%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV +0.916%E +0.321%K +0.495%G +0.005%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -7.81%E -2.48%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-26 18:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.44%EV -11.69%E -4.68%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV +0.916%E +0.321%K +0.495%G +0.005%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -7.81%E -2.48%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-26 18:45
PMU (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.44%EV -11.69%E -4.68%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV +0.916%E +0.321%K +0.495%G +0.005%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -7.81%E -2.48%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-26 18:49
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.44%EV -11.69%E -4.68%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV +0.916%E +0.321%K +0.495%G +0.005%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -7.81%E -2.48%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-26 18:45
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.44%EV -11.69%E -4.68%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV +0.916%E +0.321%K +0.495%G +0.005%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -7.81%E -2.48%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-26 18:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.44%EV -11.69%E -4.68%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV +0.916%E +0.321%K +0.495%G +0.005%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -7.81%E -2.48%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-26 18:45
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.44%EV -11.69%E -4.68%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV +0.916%E +0.321%K +0.495%G +0.005%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -7.81%E -2.48%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-26 18:49
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.44%EV -11.69%E -4.68%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV +0.916%E +0.321%K +0.495%G +0.005%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -7.81%E -2.48%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-26 18:45
Coolbet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.63%EV -7.45%E -2.84%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.28%EV -0.855%E -0.305%K -0.475%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.09%EV -3.42%E -1.04%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-26 18:49
TABtouch🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.31%EV -14.16%E -5.83%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -2.63%E -0.955%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -10.74%E -3.52%K -5.24%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-26 18:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.31%EV -14.16%E -5.83%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -2.63%E -0.955%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -10.74%E -3.52%K -5.24%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-26 18:45
Grosvenor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.60%EV -15.22%E -6.34%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -2.63%E -0.955%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.59%EV -10.74%E -3.52%K -5.24%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-26 18:45
Pinnacle🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 35.16%EV -3.21%E -1.17%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.55%EV -4.04%E -1.49%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.28%EV -3.71%E -1.13%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-26 18:54
Bovada🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.48%EV -4.62%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.48%EV -4.40%E -1.63%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -3.42%E -1.04%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-26 18:50
BetUS🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.48%EV -4.62%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.48%EV -4.40%E -1.63%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -3.42%E -1.04%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-26 18:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.26%EV -4.62%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.26%EV -4.40%E -1.63%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.48%EV -5.47%E -1.69%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-26 18:49
LowVig.ag🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.26%EV -4.62%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.26%EV -4.40%E -1.63%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.48%EV -5.47%E -1.69%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-26 18:49
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -8.16%E -3.14%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -4.40%E -1.63%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -6.35%E -1.98%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-26 18:54
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -11.69%E -4.68%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -4.40%E -1.63%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -1.96%E -0.584%K -0.833%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-26 18:24
Virgin Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -15.22%E -6.34%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -4.40%E -1.63%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -12.20%E -4.07%K -6.10%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-26 18:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -15.22%E -6.34%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -4.40%E -1.63%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -12.20%E -4.07%K -6.10%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-26 18:49
Betr (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.39%E -2.41%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -3.42%E -1.04%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-26 18:49
Unibet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -8.16%E -3.14%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -6.17%E -2.33%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.27%E -2.99%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-26 18:34
1xBet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.15%EV -1.80%E -0.647%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.09%EV -6.87%E -2.61%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.76%EV -6.64%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-26 18:49
Marathon Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -6.39%E -2.41%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.62%EV -7.23%E -2.76%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.35%E -1.98%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-26 18:54
NordicBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -7.45%E -2.84%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -7.23%E -2.76%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -9.27%E -2.99%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-26 18:54
Betsson🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -7.45%E -2.84%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -7.23%E -2.76%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -9.27%E -2.99%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-26 18:54
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -4.62%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -3.42%E -1.04%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-26 18:49
FanDuel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -4.62%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -9.27%E -2.99%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-26 18:55
Bet Right🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -8.16%E -3.14%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.81%E -2.48%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-26 18:49
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -11.69%E -4.68%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -7.94%E -3.05%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -6.35%E -1.98%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-26 18:19
SportsBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -6.39%E -2.41%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -9.71%E -3.81%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -9.27%E -2.99%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-26 18:54
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -9.92%E -3.89%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -9.71%E -3.81%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -9.27%E -2.99%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-26 18:54
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -7.45%E -2.84%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -11.48%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.27%E -2.99%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-26 18:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -7.45%E -2.84%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -11.48%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.27%E -2.99%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-26 18:49
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -7.45%E -2.84%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -11.48%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.27%E -2.99%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-26 18:49
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -7.45%E -2.84%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -11.48%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -12.20%E -4.07%K -6.10%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-26 18:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.88I 34.72%NM 34.62%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.61%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77%0.3%2026-08-26 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.88I 34.72%NM 34.44%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.94%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%0.8%2026-08-26 18:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.88I 34.72%NM 34.29%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.78%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%1.3%2026-08-26 18:54