默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

NEC Nijmegen v Olympiakos Piraeus

开赛时间: 2026-08-11 17:30 UTC

最终结果: NEC Nijmegen 2–1 Olympiakos Piraeus

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

29 家博彩公司 (7 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

NEC Nijmegen (主队)

预测 40.60%2.46公平赔率
EV +1.09%
优势 +0.437%
Kelly +0.730%
增长率 +0.008%

假设最高赔率为 2.49

博彩公司预测分布
37.80%40.39%40.60%41.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.182.282.282.4945.87%43.87%43.86%40.16%最小值均值中位数最大值

Olympiakos Piraeus (客队)

预测 31.81%3.14公平赔率
EV -4.56%
优势 -1.52%
Kelly -2.28%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.00

博彩公司预测分布
31.43%32.09%31.80%34.54%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.602.862.853.0038.46%34.98%35.09%33.33%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 27.59%3.62公平赔率
EV -0.678%
优势 -0.188%
Kelly -0.261%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.60

博彩公司预测分布
26.41%27.52%27.60%28.61%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.373.383.6032.26%29.69%29.59%27.78%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:NEC Nijmegen (主队):40.60%;Olympiakos Piraeus (客队):31.81%;平局:27.59%。 对于“NEC Nijmegen (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.46。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.49,对应+1.09%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (29 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
BetUS🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 37.80%EV +1.09%E +0.437%K +0.730%G +0.008%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.35%EV -12.83%E -4.68%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.85%EV -6.75%E -2.00%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-11 17:04
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.83%EV -4.60%E -1.96%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.52%EV -6.15%E -2.09%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.65%EV -0.678%E -0.188%K -0.261%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-11 17:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.83%EV -4.60%E -1.96%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.52%EV -6.15%E -2.09%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.65%EV -0.678%E -0.188%K -0.261%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-11 17:25
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -4.60%E -1.96%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -6.20%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 17:23
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -4.60%E -1.96%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -9.33%E -3.27%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -6.20%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-11 17:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -6.22%E -2.69%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.74%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.05%EV -2.88%E -0.820%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-11 17:14
LowVig.ag🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -6.22%E -2.69%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.74%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.05%EV -2.88%E -0.820%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-11 17:15
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -6.63%E -2.88%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -3.44%E -0.982%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 17:24
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -6.63%E -2.88%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -6.15%E -2.09%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-11 17:24
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -6.63%E -2.88%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -9.33%E -3.27%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-11 17:20
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -6.63%E -2.88%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.71%E -3.66%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-11 17:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -6.63%E -2.88%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.71%E -3.66%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-11 17:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -6.63%E -2.88%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.71%E -3.66%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-11 17:25
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -6.63%E -2.88%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -17.29%E -6.65%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -6.20%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-11 17:15
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.79%EV -7.44%E -3.26%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -9.33%E -3.27%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -3.44%E -0.982%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-11 17:25
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.79%EV -7.44%E -3.26%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -9.33%E -3.27%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -3.44%E -0.982%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-11 17:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.12%EV -7.84%E -3.46%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.43%EV -5.52%E -1.86%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.20%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-11 17:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -8.66%E -3.85%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -9.33%E -3.27%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -4.82%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-11 17:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -8.66%E -3.85%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -9.33%E -3.27%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -4.82%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-11 17:25
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -8.66%E -3.85%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -9.33%E -3.27%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -4.82%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-11 17:25
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -8.66%E -3.85%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -10.33%E -3.18%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-11 17:24
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.12%EV -8.66%E -3.85%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -9.33%E -3.27%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -11.71%E -3.66%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-11 17:25
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.62%EV -9.47%E -4.25%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.35%EV -10.92%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -7.58%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-11 17:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.62%EV -9.47%E -4.25%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.35%EV -10.92%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -7.58%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-11 17:24
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -10.69%E -4.86%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.56%EV -12.51%E -4.55%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.73%EV -7.58%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-11 17:25
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -10.69%E -4.86%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -10.92%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -11.71%E -3.66%K -5.32%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-11 17:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.07%EV -10.69%E -4.86%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.49%EV -10.92%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -14.47%E -4.67%K -6.89%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-11 17:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 40.52%EV -11.50%E -5.27%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.71%EV -14.11%E -5.22%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-11 17:24
Virgin Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 40.52%EV -11.50%E -5.27%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.71%EV -14.11%E -5.22%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -8.95%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-11 17:24
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.42%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.57%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.01%0.6%2026-08-11 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.62%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.46%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%0.9%2026-08-11 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.62%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.46%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%0.9%2026-08-11 17:25