The School of Odds

Lincoln Red Imps FC v Mjällby AIF

2026-07-28 16:00 UTC — UEFA Champions League Qualification

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Lincoln Red Imps FC (Local)

Prediction 12.84%7.79fair odd
EV +2.72%
Edge +0.340%
Kelly +0.389%
Growth +0.011%

assuming max odds 8.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.44%12.71%12.78%13.70%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
6.507.517.508.0015%13%13%13%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Mjällby AIF (Visit)

Prediction 68.41%1.46fair odd
EV -5.59%
Edge -4.05%
Kelly -14.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.99%68.53%68.40%70.10%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.301.341.331.3877%75%75%72%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 18.75%5.33fair odd
EV -2.51%
Edge -0.482%
Kelly -0.597%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.81%18.76%18.82%20.10%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.504.874.805.2022%21%21%19%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV +2.72%E +0.340%K +0.389%G +0.011%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.01%E -6.78%K -27.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -10.01%E -2.08%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 08:30
LeoVegas (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV +2.72%E +0.340%K +0.389%G +0.011%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.01%E -6.78%K -27.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -10.01%E -2.08%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 08:30
Unibet (NL)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV +2.72%E +0.340%K +0.389%G +0.011%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.01%E -6.78%K -27.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -10.01%E -2.08%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 08:30
Grosvenor8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV +2.72%E +0.340%K +0.389%G +0.011%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.01%E -6.78%K -27.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -10.01%E -2.08%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 08:35
TABtouch8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV +2.72%E +0.340%K +0.389%G +0.011%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.01%E -6.78%K -27.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -10.01%E -2.08%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 08:34
Casumo8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV +2.72%E +0.340%K +0.389%G +0.011%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.01%E -6.78%K -27.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -10.01%E -2.08%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 08:34
Unibet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV +2.72%E +0.340%K +0.389%G +0.011%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.01%E -6.78%K -27.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -10.01%E -2.08%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 08:34
Svenska Spel8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV +2.72%E +0.340%K +0.389%G +0.011%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.01%E -6.78%K -27.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -10.01%E -2.08%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 08:35
ATG (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV +2.72%E +0.340%K +0.389%G +0.011%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.01%E -6.78%K -27.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -10.01%E -2.08%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 08:35
betPARX8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV +2.72%E +0.340%K +0.389%G +0.011%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.01%E -6.78%K -27.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -10.01%E -2.08%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 08:35
Virgin Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV +2.72%E +0.340%K +0.389%G +0.011%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.31%EV -9.70%E -7.35%K -30.30%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -10.94%E -2.30%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-24 08:35
LiveScore Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV +2.72%E +0.340%K +0.389%G +0.011%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.31%EV -9.70%E -7.35%K -30.30%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -10.94%E -2.30%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-24 08:35
1xBet7.95I 12.58%NM 11.81%EV +2.08%E +0.262%K +0.299%G +0.006%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.09%EV -8.33%E -6.22%K -24.50%G +0.000%5.19I 19.27%NM 18.10%EV -2.69%E -0.519%K -0.643%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-24 11:40
Marathon Bet7.90I 12.66%NM 11.80%EV +1.44%E +0.182%K +0.208%G +0.003%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.10%EV -9.01%E -6.78%K -27.31%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.10%EV -3.44%E -0.669%K -0.830%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-24 10:35
Neds7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV -3.70%E -0.493%K -0.569%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.31%EV -6.96%E -5.12%K -19.34%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.13%EV -2.51%E -0.482%K -0.597%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-24 11:24
Betsson7.40I 13.51%NM 12.66%EV -4.98%E -0.673%K -0.778%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.40%EV -6.28%E -4.58%K -16.96%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.93%EV -7.19%E -1.45%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-24 13:15
NordicBet7.40I 13.51%NM 12.66%EV -4.98%E -0.673%K -0.778%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.40%EV -6.28%E -4.58%K -16.96%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.93%EV -7.19%E -1.45%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-24 13:15
Betr (AU)7.25I 13.79%NM 12.98%EV -6.91%E -0.953%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.20%EV -5.59%E -4.05%K -14.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -6.26%E -1.25%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-24 13:25
Coolbet7.25I 13.79%NM 12.85%EV -6.91%E -0.953%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.53%EV -5.59%E -4.05%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -10.94%E -2.30%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-24 13:24
888sport7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -10.12%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -6.96%E -5.12%K -19.34%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -10.01%E -2.08%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-24 10:40
888sport (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -10.12%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -6.96%E -5.12%K -19.34%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -10.01%E -2.08%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-24 10:35
Mr Green (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -10.12%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -6.96%E -5.12%K -19.34%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -10.01%E -2.08%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-24 10:35
Bet Right7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -10.12%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -6.96%E -5.12%K -19.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -10.94%E -2.30%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-24 13:15
SportsBet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -10.12%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -9.01%E -6.78%K -27.31%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.98%EV -4.38%E -0.859%K -1.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-24 13:15
FanDuel7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -10.12%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -9.01%E -6.78%K -27.31%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.98%EV -4.38%E -0.859%K -1.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-24 13:14
PlayUp7.00I 14.29%NM 12.92%EV -10.12%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.99%EV -7.64%E -5.66%K -21.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.10%EV -15.63%E -3.47%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-24 13:24
BoyleSports7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -10.12%E -1.45%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.52%EV -11.07%E -8.51%K -36.88%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.75%EV -10.94%E -2.30%K -2.92%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-24 11:44
Paddy Power6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -16.54%E -2.54%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -11.07%E -8.51%K -36.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -6.26%E -1.25%K -1.56%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-24 13:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -16.54%E -2.54%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -11.07%E -8.51%K -36.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -6.26%E -1.25%K -1.56%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-24 13:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)9.20I 10.87%NM 10.51%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.54%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.95%3.5%2026-07-24 11:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)9.20I 10.87%NM 10.51%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.54%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.95%3.5%2026-07-24 11:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)9.20I 10.87%NM 10.51%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.54%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.95%3.5%2026-07-24 11:05