Language:English
Lincoln Red Imps FC v Mjällby AIF
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Lincoln Red Imps FC (Local)
Prediction 21.46%4.66fair odd
EV +18.04%
Edge +3.28%
Kelly +4.01%
Growth +0.724%
assuming max odds 5.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.34%21.17%21.49%22.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.304.255.5025.00%23.24%23.53%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Mjällby AIF (Visit)
Prediction 56.07%1.78fair odd
EV -4.11%
Edge -2.40%
Kelly -5.79%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.71
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.87%56.46%55.92%59.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.651.631.7163.69%60.77%61.35%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.46%4.45fair odd
EV +4.90%
Edge +1.05%
Kelly +1.34%
Growth +0.065%
assuming max odds 4.67
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.37%22.36%22.59%23.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.174.204.6726.67%23.99%23.81%21.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lincoln Red Imps FC (Local): 21.46%; Mjällby AIF (Visit): 56.07%; Draw: 22.46%. For Lincoln Red Imps FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.66. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +18.04%.
Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.34%EV +18.04%E +3.28%K +4.01%G +0.724% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.96%EV -10.84%E -6.82%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.70%EV -5.66%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-28 15:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV +3.02%E +0.629%K +0.795%G +0.024% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -7.48%E -4.53%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-28 15:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.63%EV -1.06%E -0.229%K -0.293%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.60%EV -4.11%E -2.40%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.77%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-28 15:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -3.42%E -0.760%K -0.977%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.13%EV -7.48%E -4.53%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.92%EV -3.41%E -0.793%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-28 15:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.99%EV -4.49%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.29%EV -8.60%E -5.28%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -3.41%E -0.793%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-28 15:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -5.56%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -7.90%E -1.93%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 15:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -7.71%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.23%E -3.10%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -3.41%E -0.793%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 15:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -7.71%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.67%EV -7.48%E -4.53%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -10.15%E -2.54%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-28 15:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -8.78%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.59%EV -8.60%E -5.28%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -4.53%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-28 15:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -8.78%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.59%EV -8.60%E -5.28%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -4.53%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-28 15:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -8.78%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.59%EV -8.60%E -5.28%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -4.53%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-28 15:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -8.78%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.59%EV -8.60%E -5.28%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -4.53%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-28 15:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -8.78%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.59%EV -8.60%E -5.28%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -4.53%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-28 15:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -8.78%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.59%EV -8.60%E -5.28%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -4.53%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-28 15:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -8.78%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.59%EV -8.60%E -5.28%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -4.53%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-28 15:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -8.78%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.59%EV -8.60%E -5.28%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -4.53%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-28 15:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -8.78%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.59%EV -8.60%E -5.28%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -4.53%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-28 15:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -8.78%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.59%EV -8.60%E -5.28%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -4.53%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-28 15:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.57%EV -8.78%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.60%EV -9.16%E -5.65%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -5.66%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-28 15:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -9.86%E -2.35%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.65%EV -5.79%E -3.45%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +3.33%E +0.724%K +0.925%G +0.031% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 15:48 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -9.86%E -2.35%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.97%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.67I 21.41%NM 20.37%EV +4.90%E +1.05%K +1.34%G +0.065% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 15:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -9.86%E -2.35%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.97%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.67I 21.41%NM 20.37%EV +4.90%E +1.05%K +1.34%G +0.065% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 15:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -9.86%E -2.35%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.77%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -12.40%E -3.18%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-28 15:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -9.86%E -2.35%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.77%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -12.40%E -3.18%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-28 15:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -9.86%E -2.35%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.77%EV -6.36%E -3.81%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -12.40%E -3.18%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-28 15:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -9.86%E -2.35%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -9.72%E -6.04%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -5.66%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-28 15:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -9.86%E -2.35%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -9.72%E -6.04%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -5.66%E -1.35%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-28 15:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -9.86%E -2.35%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -9.16%E -5.65%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -14.64%E -3.85%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-28 15:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.85%EV -9.86%E -2.35%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 55.79%EV -11.96%E -7.62%K -20.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.36%EV -15.76%E -4.20%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-07-28 15:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.52%EV -10.93%E -2.63%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.97%EV -4.67%E -2.75%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.52%EV -6.78%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 15:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.52%EV -10.93%E -2.63%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.97%EV -4.67%E -2.75%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.52%EV -6.78%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 15:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.82%EV -12.00%E -2.93%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.23%EV -9.16%E -5.65%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.94%EV -12.40%E -3.18%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-28 15:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -14.15%E -3.54%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.87%EV -5.79%E -3.45%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -13.52%E -3.51%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-28 15:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.07% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.92% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-07-28 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.04% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.50% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47% | 1.1% | 2026-07-28 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.04% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.50% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47% | 1.1% | 2026-07-28 15:55 |
Discuss this game on odds.forum
No published comments yet.