The School of Odds

Lincoln Red Imps FC v Inter Club d'Escaldes

2026-07-07 16:00 — UEFA Champions League Qualification

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Option 1: Lincoln Red Imps FC (Local)

Odds
2.0548.78%Min
2.1546.60%Mean
2.1347.06%Median
2.3542.55%Max
Consensus probabilities
40.69%2.458Min
44.07%2.269Max
42.73%2.340Mean
42.45%2.356Median
42.73%2.340IQM
42.77%2.338Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.35 under the IQM model: 42.73%

EV +0.407%Edge +0.173%Kelly +0.301%Growth +0.001%

Option 2: Inter Club d'Escaldes (Visit)

Odds
2.7037.04%Min
2.9234.26%Mean
2.9334.13%Median
3.1032.26%Max
Consensus probabilities
30.12%3.321Min
34.15%2.928Max
31.40%3.184Mean
31.69%3.156Median
31.40%3.184IQM
31.34%3.190Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.10 under the IQM model: 31.40%

EV -2.65%Edge -0.855%Kelly -1.26%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds
3.4029.41%Min
3.5228.42%Mean
3.5028.57%Median
3.8026.32%Max
Consensus probabilities
25.16%3.974Min
26.63%3.755Max
25.87%3.865Mean
25.86%3.866Median
25.87%3.865IQM
25.89%3.863Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.80 under the IQM model: 25.87%

EV -1.69%Edge -0.445%Kelly -0.605%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLincoln Red Imps FC (Local) ▼Inter Club d'Escaldes (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
Bovada2.30I 43.48% NM 41.50%EV -1.73% E -0.752% K -1.33% G +0.000%2.95I 33.90% NM 32.35%EV -7.36% E -2.49% K -3.77% G +0.000%3.65I 27.40% NM 26.15%EV -5.57% E -1.53% K -2.10% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-06 15:40
1xBet2.26I 44.25% NM 41.48%EV -3.44% E -1.52% K -2.73% G +0.000%2.94I 34.01% NM 31.89%EV -7.67% E -2.61% K -3.96% G +0.000%3.52I 28.41% NM 26.63%EV -8.94% E -2.54% K -3.55% G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-06 15:44
Betsson2.18I 45.87% NM 42.36%EV -6.86% E -3.15% K -5.81% G +0.000%2.92I 34.25% NM 31.63%EV -8.30% E -2.84% K -4.32% G +0.000%3.55I 28.17% NM 26.01%EV -8.16% E -2.30% K -3.20% G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-06 15:44
NordicBet2.18I 45.87% NM 42.36%EV -6.86% E -3.15% K -5.81% G +0.000%2.92I 34.25% NM 31.63%EV -8.30% E -2.84% K -4.32% G +0.000%3.55I 28.17% NM 26.01%EV -8.16% E -2.30% K -3.20% G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-06 15:44
Bet Right2.15I 46.51% NM 42.84%EV -8.14% E -3.79% K -7.08% G +0.000%2.95I 33.90% NM 31.22%EV -7.36% E -2.49% K -3.77% G +0.000%3.55I 28.17% NM 25.94%EV -8.16% E -2.30% K -3.20% G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-06 15:39
PlayUp2.12I 47.17% NM 42.47%EV -9.42% E -4.44% K -8.41% G +0.000%2.90I 34.48% NM 31.05%EV -8.93% E -3.08% K -4.70% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 26.48%EV -12.04% E -3.54% K -5.02% G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-06 14:35
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62% NM 43.03%EV -10.27% E -4.89% K -9.34% G +0.000%2.90I 34.48% NM 31.16%EV -8.93% E -3.08% K -4.70% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 25.82%EV -9.45% E -2.70% K -3.78% G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-06 15:39
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62% NM 41.75%EV -10.27% E -4.89% K -9.34% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 32.47%EV -15.21% E -5.63% K -8.95% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 25.78%EV -12.04% E -3.54% K -5.02% G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-06 15:40
SportsBet2.08I 48.08% NM 43.71%EV -11.13% E -5.35% K -10.31% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 30.31%EV -5.79% E -1.93% K -2.89% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 25.98%EV -9.45% E -2.70% K -3.78% G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-06 15:44
FanDuel2.05I 48.78% NM 44.07%EV -12.41% E -6.05% K -11.82% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 30.12%EV -5.79% E -1.93% K -2.89% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 25.81%EV -9.45% E -2.70% K -3.78% G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-06 15:45
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78% NM 42.83%EV -12.41% E -6.05% K -11.82% G +0.000%2.80I 35.71% NM 31.35%EV -12.07% E -4.31% K -6.71% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 25.82%EV -12.04% E -3.54% K -5.02% G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-06 15:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLincoln Red Imps FC (Local)Inter Club d'Escaldes (Visit)DrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37% NM 41.35%2.96I 33.78% NM 32.97%3.80I 26.32% NM 25.68%2.5%2026-07-06 15:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37% NM 41.35%2.96I 33.78% NM 32.97%3.80I 26.32% NM 25.68%2.5%2026-07-06 15:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02% NM 40.71%2.96I 33.78% NM 32.74%3.65I 27.40% NM 26.55%3.2%2026-07-06 15:45