The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Lincoln Red Imps FC v Inter Club d'Escaldes

Kickoff: 2026-07-07 16:00 UTC

Final: Lincoln Red Imps FC 3–1 Inter Club d'Escaldes

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lincoln Red Imps FC (Local)

Prediction 40.96%2.44fair odd
EV -3.73%
Edge -1.59%
Kelly -2.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.39%40.95%40.88%43.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.212.202.3548.78%45.26%45.45%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Inter Club d'Escaldes (Visit)

Prediction 30.79%3.25fair odd
EV -4.56%
Edge -1.47%
Kelly -2.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.88%30.74%30.98%31.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.003.003.1035.71%33.37%33.33%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.25%3.54fair odd
EV +0.284%
Edge +0.080%
Kelly +0.111%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.06%28.32%28.14%29.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.363.353.5532.26%29.74%29.85%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lincoln Red Imps FC (Local): 40.96%; Inter Club d'Escaldes (Visit): 30.79%; Draw: 28.25%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.54. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.284%.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.83%EV -11.11%E -5.12%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -7.64%E -2.55%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV +0.284%E +0.080%K +0.111%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-07 15:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.83%EV -11.11%E -5.12%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -7.64%E -2.55%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV +0.284%E +0.080%K +0.111%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-07 15:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.83%EV -11.11%E -5.12%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -7.64%E -2.55%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV +0.284%E +0.080%K +0.111%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-07 15:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.83%EV -11.11%E -5.12%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -7.64%E -2.55%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV +0.284%E +0.080%K +0.111%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-07 15:50
Casumo🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.83%EV -11.11%E -5.12%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -7.64%E -2.55%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV +0.284%E +0.080%K +0.111%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-07 15:50
betPARX🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.83%EV -11.11%E -5.12%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -7.64%E -2.55%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV +0.284%E +0.080%K +0.111%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-07 15:50
Grosvenor🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.83%EV -11.11%E -5.12%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -7.64%E -2.55%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV +0.284%E +0.080%K +0.111%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-07 15:50
Unibet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.83%EV -11.11%E -5.12%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -7.64%E -2.55%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV +0.284%E +0.080%K +0.111%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-07 15:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.83%EV -11.11%E -5.12%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -7.64%E -2.55%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV +0.284%E +0.080%K +0.111%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-07 15:50
TABtouch🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.83%EV -11.11%E -5.12%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -7.64%E -2.55%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV +0.284%E +0.080%K +0.111%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-07 15:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.83%E -3.48%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -6.10%E -2.00%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -1.13%E -0.322%K -0.451%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-07 15:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.02%EV -13.15%E -6.21%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -9.18%E -3.11%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -1.13%E -0.322%K -0.451%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-07 15:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.02%EV -13.15%E -6.21%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -9.18%E -3.11%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -1.13%E -0.322%K -0.451%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-07 15:50
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.62%EV -3.73%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.30%EV -6.10%E -2.00%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.08%EV -3.95%E -1.16%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 15:53
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.14%EV -5.78%E -2.51%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.03%EV -6.10%E -2.00%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -3.95%E -1.16%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-07 15:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.78%E -2.51%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -7.64%E -2.55%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.95%E -1.16%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-07 15:55
BetUS🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -5.78%E -2.51%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.64%E -2.55%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -5.37%E -1.60%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-07 15:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -5.78%E -2.51%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.64%E -2.55%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -5.37%E -1.60%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-07 15:54
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -9.88%E -4.49%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -9.18%E -3.11%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -5.37%E -1.60%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-07 15:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.90%EV -16.02%E -7.82%K -15.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.85%EV -12.26%E -4.30%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.25%EV -5.37%E -1.60%K -2.28%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-07 15:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.90%EV -6.60%E -2.89%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.19%EV -7.95%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.92%EV -5.65%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-07 15:55
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.56%EV -5.37%E -2.33%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -7.64%E -2.55%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.22%EV -6.21%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-07 15:55
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -5.78%E -2.51%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -4.56%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.78%E -2.05%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-07 15:50
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.48%EV -9.06%E -4.08%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -6.10%E -2.00%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -8.19%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-07 15:54
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.48%EV -9.06%E -4.08%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -6.10%E -2.00%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -8.19%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-07 15:54
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.83%E -3.48%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -4.56%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -9.60%E -3.00%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-07 15:55
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.51%EV -9.88%E -4.49%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -6.10%E -2.00%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -9.60%E -3.00%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-07 15:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.60%EV -16.02%E -7.82%K -15.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.11%EV -10.72%E -3.70%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.29%EV -9.60%E -3.00%K -4.37%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-07 15:49
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -9.88%E -4.49%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -7.64%E -2.55%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -11.02%E -3.50%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-07 15:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.83%E -3.48%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.64%E -2.55%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.43%E -4.01%K -5.92%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-07 15:50
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.83%E -3.48%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.64%E -2.55%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.43%E -4.01%K -5.92%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-07 15:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.83%E -3.48%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.64%E -2.55%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.43%E -4.01%K -5.92%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-07 15:50
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.88%E -4.49%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -7.64%E -2.55%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.43%E -4.01%K -5.92%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-07 15:55
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.63%EV -11.93%E -5.55%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.20%EV -13.80%E -4.93%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.18%EV -12.43%E -4.01%K -5.92%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-07 15:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.44%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.14%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42%0.5%2026-07-07 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.44%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.14%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42%0.5%2026-07-07 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.44%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.14%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42%0.5%2026-07-07 15:55

Discuss this game on odds.forum

No published comments yet.