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Larne FC v Tre Fiori F.C.
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Larne FC (Local)
Prediction 80.80%1.24fair odd
EV -3.85%
Edge -3.24%
Kelly -20.27%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.19
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.74%80.82%80.76%84.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.071.151.151.1993.46%87.33%86.96%84.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tre Fiori F.C. (Visit)
Prediction 4.76%20.99fair odd
EV +35.76%
Edge +1.25%
Kelly +1.30%
Growth +0.465%
assuming max odds 28.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
3.31%5.05%4.76%7.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
13.0017.8416.0028.507.69%5.60%6.25%3.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 14.44%6.93fair odd
EV +15.51%
Edge +1.94%
Kelly +2.22%
Growth +0.344%
assuming max odds 8.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.69%14.12%14.47%16.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.836.736.758.0017.15%14.85%14.81%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.53%EV -5.47%E -4.67%K -32.16%G +0.000% | 28.50I 3.51%NM 3.31%EV +35.76%E +1.25%K +1.30%G +0.465% | 5.83I 17.15%NM 16.16%EV -15.82%E -2.71%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-14 18:45 |
| 888sport | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.50%EV -7.08%E -6.16%K -47.22%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.08%EV +9.56%E +0.416%K +0.435%G +0.042% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.42%EV -6.15%E -0.946%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-14 18:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.50%EV -7.08%E -6.16%K -47.22%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.08%EV +9.56%E +0.416%K +0.435%G +0.042% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.42%EV -6.15%E -0.946%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-14 18:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.50%EV -7.08%E -6.16%K -47.22%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.08%EV +9.56%E +0.416%K +0.435%G +0.042% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.42%EV -6.15%E -0.946%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-14 18:49 |
| FanDuel | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.25%EV -10.31%E -9.29%K -93.77%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.07%EV +9.56%E +0.416%K +0.435%G +0.042% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV +15.51%E +1.94%K +2.22%G +0.344% | 6.9% | 2026-07-14 18:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.46%EV -6.27%E -5.41%K -39.21%G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.24%EV +4.80%E +0.218%K +0.228%G +0.011% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.30%EV -11.93%E -1.95%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-14 18:44 |
| SportsBet | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.73%EV -11.12%E -10.11%K -111.22%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.39%EV +0.035%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.88%EV +11.90%E +1.54%K +1.76%G +0.210% | 8.6% | 2026-07-14 18:49 |
| DraftKings | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.74%EV -5.47%E -4.67%K -32.16%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.72%EV -4.73%E -0.236%K -0.249%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -6.15%E -0.946%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-14 18:49 |
| Paddy Power | 1.08I 92.59%NM 83.47%EV -12.74%E -11.79%K -159.23%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.51%EV -4.73%E -0.236%K -0.249%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV +8.29%E +1.11%K +1.28%G +0.106% | 10.9% | 2026-07-14 18:48 |
| Bovada | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.41%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.88%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.99%EV -9.49%E -0.500%K -0.527%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -6.15%E -0.946%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-14 18:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 82.73%EV -11.93%E -10.95%K -132.56%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.75%EV -9.49%E -0.500%K -0.527%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.52%EV +3.96%E +0.550%K +0.638%G +0.025% | 10.9% | 2026-07-14 18:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 82.70%EV -13.55%E -12.66%K -193.52%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.66%EV -9.49%E -0.500%K -0.527%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.64%EV +1.07%E +0.153%K +0.178%G +0.002% | 13.0% | 2026-07-14 18:49 |
| NordicBet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.27%EV -5.47%E -4.67%K -32.16%G +0.000% | 18.50I 5.41%NM 5.01%EV -11.87%E -0.642%K -0.679%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.72%EV -14.81%E -2.51%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-14 18:49 |
| Betsson | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.27%EV -5.47%E -4.67%K -32.16%G +0.000% | 18.50I 5.41%NM 5.01%EV -11.87%E -0.642%K -0.679%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.72%EV -14.81%E -2.51%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-14 18:49 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.30%EV -7.08%E -6.16%K -47.22%G +0.000% | 18.50I 5.41%NM 4.99%EV -11.87%E -0.642%K -0.679%G +0.000% | 6.28I 15.92%NM 14.71%EV -9.33%E -1.49%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-14 18:44 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.30%EV -7.08%E -6.16%K -47.22%G +0.000% | 18.50I 5.41%NM 4.99%EV -11.87%E -0.642%K -0.679%G +0.000% | 6.28I 15.92%NM 14.71%EV -9.33%E -1.49%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-14 18:45 |
| PlayUp | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.27%EV -6.27%E -5.41%K -39.21%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.41%EV -19.02%E -1.12%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -13.37%E -2.23%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-14 18:44 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.90%EV -7.08%E -6.16%K -47.22%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.81%EV -23.78%E -1.49%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV +1.07%E +0.153%K +0.178%G +0.002% | 7.5% | 2026-07-14 16:09 |
| TABtouch | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.90%EV -7.08%E -6.16%K -47.22%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.81%EV -23.78%E -1.49%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV +1.07%E +0.153%K +0.178%G +0.002% | 7.5% | 2026-07-14 16:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.90%EV -7.08%E -6.16%K -47.22%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.81%EV -23.78%E -1.49%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV +1.07%E +0.153%K +0.178%G +0.002% | 7.5% | 2026-07-14 16:09 |
| Casumo | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.90%EV -7.08%E -6.16%K -47.22%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.81%EV -23.78%E -1.49%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV +1.07%E +0.153%K +0.178%G +0.002% | 7.5% | 2026-07-14 16:09 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.90%EV -7.08%E -6.16%K -47.22%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.81%EV -23.78%E -1.49%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV +1.07%E +0.153%K +0.178%G +0.002% | 7.5% | 2026-07-14 16:09 |
| Grosvenor | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.90%EV -7.08%E -6.16%K -47.22%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.81%EV -23.78%E -1.49%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV +1.07%E +0.153%K +0.178%G +0.002% | 7.5% | 2026-07-14 16:09 |
| Unibet | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.90%EV -7.08%E -6.16%K -47.22%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.81%EV -23.78%E -1.49%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV +1.07%E +0.153%K +0.178%G +0.002% | 7.5% | 2026-07-14 16:09 |
| betPARX | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.90%EV -7.08%E -6.16%K -47.22%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.81%EV -23.78%E -1.49%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV +1.07%E +0.153%K +0.178%G +0.002% | 7.5% | 2026-07-14 16:09 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.90%EV -7.08%E -6.16%K -47.22%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.81%EV -23.78%E -1.49%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV +1.07%E +0.153%K +0.178%G +0.002% | 7.5% | 2026-07-14 16:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.90%EV -7.08%E -6.16%K -47.22%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.81%EV -23.78%E -1.49%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV +1.07%E +0.153%K +0.178%G +0.002% | 7.5% | 2026-07-14 16:09 |
| Neds | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.82%EV -6.27%E -5.41%K -39.21%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.25%EV -28.55%E -1.90%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.93%EV +4.68%E +0.645%K +0.749%G +0.035% | 6.7% | 2026-07-14 18:44 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 80.47%EV -8.70%E -7.70%K -66.91%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.06%EV -28.55%E -1.90%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.47%EV -2.54%E -0.376%K -0.442%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-14 16:09 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 80.47%EV -8.70%E -7.70%K -66.91%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.06%EV -28.55%E -1.90%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.47%EV -2.54%E -0.376%K -0.442%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-14 16:09 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.28%EV -3.85%E -3.24%K -20.27%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.74%EV -33.31%E -2.38%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.98%EV -2.54%E -0.376%K -0.442%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-14 18:49 |
| Coolbet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.00%EV -4.66%E -3.95%K -25.88%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.66%EV -33.31%E -2.38%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.34%EV -6.15%E -0.946%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-14 18:49 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 79.97%EV -11.12%E -10.11%K -111.22%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.28%EV -33.31%E -2.38%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.75%EV -7.59%E -1.19%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-07-14 16:09 |
| Bet Right | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.74%EV -5.47%E -4.67%K -32.16%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV -38.07%E -2.93%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -6.15%E -0.946%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-14 18:49 |
| BoyleSports | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.17%EV -7.89%E -6.92%K -56.36%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.94%EV -38.07%E -2.93%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.89%EV -6.15%E -0.946%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-14 18:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.67% | 28.00I 3.57%NM 3.54% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.79% | 0.9% | 2026-07-14 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.67% | 28.00I 3.57%NM 3.54% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.79% | 0.9% | 2026-07-14 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.56% | 27.00I 3.70%NM 3.66% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.78% | 1.1% | 2026-07-14 18:50 |