L’École des cotesLarne FC v Red Star Belgrade
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Larne FC (Local)
Prévision 5.98%16.72cote équitable
EV +10.67%
Avantage +0.577%
Kelly +0.610%
Croissance +0.065%
avec la cote maximale 18.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
5.08%5.96%6.21%7.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
13.0014.8515.0018.507.69%6.73%6.67%5.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Red Star Belgrade (Visiteur)
Prévision 81.01%1.23cote équitable
EV -3.59%
Avantage -3.02%
Kelly -18.91%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.19
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
78.55%80.97%81.34%82.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.091.151.141.1991.74%87.27%87.72%84.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 13.00%7.69cote équitable
EV +4.03%
Avantage +0.503%
Kelly +0.575%
Croissance +0.023%
avec la cote maximale 8.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.78%13.07%12.45%15.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.007.237.508.0016.67%13.84%13.33%12.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (34 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson | 18.50I 5.41%NM 5.08%EV +10.67%E +0.577%K +0.610%G +0.065% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.25%EV -5.21%E -4.46%K -30.66%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -16.78%E -2.62%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-21 18:30 |
| NordicBet | 18.50I 5.41%NM 5.08%EV +10.67%E +0.577%K +0.610%G +0.065% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.25%EV -5.21%E -4.46%K -30.66%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -16.78%E -2.62%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-21 18:30 |
| FanDuel | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV +1.70%E +0.100%K +0.106%G +0.002% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.16%EV -8.45%E -7.48%K -65.03%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -2.48%E -0.330%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-21 18:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 16.25I 6.15%NM 5.74%EV -2.79%E -0.172%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.82%EV -7.64%E -6.70%K -54.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.44%EV -2.48%E -0.330%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-21 18:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.90%EV -4.29%E -0.268%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.63%EV -5.21%E -4.46%K -30.66%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -8.98%E -1.28%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-21 18:50 |
| DraftKings | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -10.27%E -0.684%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.94%EV -6.83%E -5.94%K -45.55%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV +4.03%E +0.503%K +0.575%G +0.023% | 6.1% | 2026-07-21 17:55 |
| Coolbet | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV -10.27%E -0.684%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.91%EV -5.21%E -4.46%K -30.66%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV -12.23%E -1.81%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-21 18:55 |
| 888sport | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.20%EV -10.27%E -0.684%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.49%EV -5.21%E -4.46%K -30.66%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -15.48%E -2.38%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-21 18:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.20%EV -10.27%E -0.684%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.49%EV -5.21%E -4.46%K -30.66%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -15.48%E -2.38%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-21 18:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -10.27%E -0.684%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.64%E -6.70%K -54.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -2.48%E -0.330%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |
| TABtouch | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -10.27%E -0.684%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.64%E -6.70%K -54.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -2.48%E -0.330%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -10.27%E -0.684%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.64%E -6.70%K -54.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -2.48%E -0.330%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -10.27%E -0.684%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.64%E -6.70%K -54.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -2.48%E -0.330%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |
| Casumo | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -10.27%E -0.684%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.64%E -6.70%K -54.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -2.48%E -0.330%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |
| Unibet | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -10.27%E -0.684%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.64%E -6.70%K -54.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -2.48%E -0.330%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -10.27%E -0.684%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.64%E -6.70%K -54.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -2.48%E -0.330%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-21 18:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -10.27%E -0.684%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.64%E -6.70%K -54.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -2.48%E -0.330%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-21 18:35 |
| betPARX | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -10.27%E -0.684%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.64%E -6.70%K -54.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -2.48%E -0.330%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-21 18:35 |
| Grosvenor | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.14%EV -10.27%E -0.684%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -8.45%E -7.48%K -65.03%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -2.48%E -0.330%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-21 12:45 |
| PlayUp | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.13%EV -10.27%E -0.684%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.55%EV -5.21%E -4.46%K -30.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -21.98%E -3.66%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-21 18:50 |
| SportsBet | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -10.27%E -0.684%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -9.26%E -8.27%K -77.20%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -2.48%E -0.330%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |
| Bovada | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.77%EV -16.25%E -1.16%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.00%EV -5.21%E -4.46%K -30.66%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV +0.774%E +0.100%K +0.115%G +0.001% | 5.5% | 2026-07-21 18:40 |
| Neds | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.71%EV -16.25%E -1.16%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.32%EV -5.21%E -4.46%K -30.66%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.96%EV -5.73%E -0.790%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-21 16:20 |
| Bet Right | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.57%EV -16.25%E -1.16%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.28%EV -6.02%E -5.19%K -37.64%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -15.48%E -2.38%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-21 18:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.51%EV -16.25%E -1.16%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.34%EV -9.26%E -8.27%K -77.20%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -2.48%E -0.330%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.51%EV -16.25%E -1.16%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.34%EV -9.26%E -8.27%K -77.20%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -2.48%E -0.330%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |
| Paddy Power | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.36%EV -16.25%E -1.16%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 80.92%EV -10.88%E -9.89%K -108.84%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.72%EV -8.98%E -1.28%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-21 18:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.31%EV -16.25%E -1.16%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 81.07%EV -11.69%E -10.73%K -129.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.62%EV -8.98%E -1.28%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-07-21 18:25 |
| BetUS | 13.90I 7.19%NM 6.72%EV -16.85%E -1.21%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.23%EV -6.83%E -5.94%K -45.55%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.05%EV +0.774%E +0.100%K +0.115%G +0.001% | 7.1% | 2026-07-21 18:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 13.90I 7.19%NM 6.72%EV -16.85%E -1.21%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.23%EV -6.83%E -5.94%K -45.55%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.05%EV +0.774%E +0.100%K +0.115%G +0.001% | 7.1% | 2026-07-21 18:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 13.90I 7.19%NM 6.72%EV -16.85%E -1.21%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.23%EV -6.83%E -5.94%K -45.55%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.05%EV +0.774%E +0.100%K +0.115%G +0.001% | 7.1% | 2026-07-21 18:40 |
| 1xBet | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.31%EV -22.23%E -1.71%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.88%EV -3.59%E -3.02%K -18.91%G +0.000% | 7.42I 13.48%NM 12.81%EV -3.52%E -0.474%K -0.548%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-21 18:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV -22.23%E -1.71%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.74%EV -5.21%E -4.46%K -30.66%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -15.48%E -2.38%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-21 18:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.81%EV -22.23%E -1.71%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 80.53%EV -10.88%E -9.89%K -108.84%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.65%EV -8.98%E -1.28%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-07-21 18:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 24.00I 4.17%NM 4.14% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.29% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.57% | 0.5% | 2026-07-21 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 24.00I 4.17%NM 4.14% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.29% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.57% | 0.5% | 2026-07-21 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.50% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.97% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 0.9% | 2026-07-21 18:55 |