The School of Odds

Inter Club d'Escaldes v Lincoln Red Imps FC

2026-07-14 16:00 UTC — UEFA Champions League Qualification

Head to Head

26 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Inter Club d'Escaldes (Local)

Prediction 52.21%1.92fair odd
EV -6.03%
Edge -3.35%
Kelly -7.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.53%52.17%52.21%53.54%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.641.761.791.8061%57%56%56%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Lincoln Red Imps FC (Visit)

Prediction 24.44%4.09fair odd
EV -2.00%
Edge -0.500%
Kelly -0.666%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.97%24.53%24.44%25.93%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.603.863.904.0128%26%26%25%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 23.36%4.28fair odd
EV -1.90%
Edge -0.453%
Kelly -0.595%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.22%23.30%23.36%25.05%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.553.813.754.2028%26%27%24%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -6.03%E -3.35%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -8.36%E -2.23%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -1.90%E -0.453%K -0.595%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 04:40
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.03%E -3.35%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -4.69%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -8.91%E -2.28%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-10 05:35
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -6.03%E -3.35%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -12.02%E -3.34%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -1.90%E -0.453%K -0.595%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 04:40
BetOnline.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 51.98%EV -6.55%E -3.66%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -5.92%E -1.54%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -8.91%E -2.28%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-10 04:35
LowVig.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 51.98%EV -6.55%E -3.66%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -5.92%E -1.54%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -8.91%E -2.28%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-10 04:34
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 51.95%EV -6.55%E -3.66%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -2.25%E -0.562%K -0.750%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -12.41%E -3.31%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-10 04:30
TABtouch1.79I 55.87%NM 51.95%EV -6.55%E -3.66%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -2.25%E -0.562%K -0.750%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -12.41%E -3.31%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-10 04:30
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.95%EV -6.55%E -3.66%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -2.25%E -0.562%K -0.750%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -12.41%E -3.31%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-10 04:30
Grosvenor1.79I 55.87%NM 51.95%EV -6.55%E -3.66%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -2.25%E -0.562%K -0.750%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -12.41%E -3.31%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-10 04:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.95%EV -6.55%E -3.66%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -2.25%E -0.562%K -0.750%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -12.41%E -3.31%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-10 04:30
Svenska Spel1.79I 55.87%NM 51.95%EV -6.55%E -3.66%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -2.25%E -0.562%K -0.750%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -12.41%E -3.31%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-10 04:30
Casumo1.79I 55.87%NM 51.95%EV -6.55%E -3.66%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -2.25%E -0.562%K -0.750%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -12.41%E -3.31%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-10 04:35
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.95%EV -6.55%E -3.66%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -2.25%E -0.562%K -0.750%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -12.41%E -3.31%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-10 04:35
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.95%EV -6.55%E -3.66%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -2.25%E -0.562%K -0.750%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -12.41%E -3.31%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-10 04:35
betPARX1.79I 55.87%NM 51.95%EV -6.55%E -3.66%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -2.25%E -0.562%K -0.750%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -12.41%E -3.31%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-10 04:37
Bet Right1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -7.60%E -4.29%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -12.02%E -3.34%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -6.57%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-10 04:39
SportsBet1.76I 56.82%NM 52.20%EV -8.12%E -4.61%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -9.58%E -2.59%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -6.57%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-10 04:34
LiveScore Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.86%EV -8.64%E -4.94%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -4.69%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.87%EV -14.75%E -4.04%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-10 04:35
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.86%EV -8.64%E -4.94%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -4.69%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.87%EV -14.75%E -4.04%K -5.57%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-10 04:34
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 51.53%EV -8.64%E -4.94%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42%EV -5.92%E -1.54%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -15.92%E -4.42%K -6.12%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-10 04:39
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 52.49%EV -9.16%E -5.27%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -9.58%E -2.59%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -6.57%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-10 04:39
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 52.27%EV -9.68%E -5.60%K -13.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -12.02%E -3.34%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -6.57%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-10 04:45
1xBet1.72I 58.14%NM 53.54%EV -10.21%E -5.93%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 22.97%EV -2.00%E -0.500%K -0.666%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.49%EV -8.44%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-10 04:35
PMU (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.21%EV -12.29%E -7.32%K -18.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.08%EV -7.14%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.71%EV -17.08%E -4.81%K -6.70%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-10 04:35
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 52.38%EV -12.82%E -7.67%K -19.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.33%EV -8.36%E -2.23%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.30%EV -15.92%E -4.42%K -6.12%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-10 04:35
Unibet (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 52.66%EV -14.38%E -8.77%K -22.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.34%EV -9.58%E -2.59%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.99%EV -15.92%E -4.42%K -6.12%G +0.000%15.8%2026-07-10 05:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is the most recent time we recorded each book's price — on the default model, when it last changed, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-10 04:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-10 04:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-10 04:55