L’École des cotes

Hapoel Be'er Sheva v Víkingur Reykjavík

2026-07-29 17:30 UTC — UEFA Champions League Qualification

Résultat du match

34 opérateurs (8 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Hapoel Be'er Sheva (Local)

Prévision 58.24%1.72cote équitable
EV -3.91%
Avantage -2.37%
Kelly -6.02%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.04%58.27%58.29%59.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.531.601.611.6565.36%62.55%62.11%60.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Víkingur Reykjavík (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.43%5.43cote équitable
EV +0.977%
Avantage +0.178%
Kelly +0.218%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 5.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.13%18.32%18.41%19.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.035.005.4822.22%19.89%20.00%18.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.34%4.28cote équitable
EV -4.32%
Avantage -1.05%
Kelly -1.39%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.00%23.41%23.29%24.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.653.873.804.1027.40%25.83%26.32%24.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (34 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.83%EV -8.57%E -5.46%K -15.03%G +0.000%5.48I 18.25%NM 17.14%EV +0.977%E +0.178%K +0.218%G +0.002%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.02%EV -4.78%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-25 08:05
Marathon Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.83%EV -9.15%E -5.87%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.13%EV +0.425%E +0.078%K +0.095%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.05%EV -5.48%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 08:00
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -7.99%E -5.05%K -13.77%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -0.497%E -0.092%K -0.113%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -7.82%E -1.98%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 05:45
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -7.99%E -5.05%K -13.77%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -0.497%E -0.092%K -0.113%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -7.82%E -1.98%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 05:44
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 58.14%EV -9.73%E -6.28%K -17.70%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.17%EV -3.26%E -0.621%K -0.767%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.69%EV -14.82%E -4.06%K -5.59%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-26 03:30
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 58.59%EV -5.66%E -3.49%K -9.12%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.25%EV -4.18%E -0.804%K -0.996%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -4.32%E -1.05%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 08:06
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.81%EV -8.57%E -5.46%K -15.03%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.10%EV -6.02%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.65%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-25 08:00
FanDuel1.57I 63.69%NM 58.81%EV -8.57%E -5.46%K -15.03%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.10%EV -6.02%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.65%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-25 08:04
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.39%EV -3.91%E -2.37%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -7.87%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -6.65%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 08:05
Coolbet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -5.66%E -3.49%K -9.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -7.87%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.65%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 08:00
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -5.66%E -3.49%K -9.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -7.87%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.65%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 08:05
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -5.66%E -3.49%K -9.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -7.87%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.65%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-24 13:15
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -5.66%E -3.49%K -9.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -7.87%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -11.32%E -2.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 05:10
Casumo1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -5.66%E -3.49%K -9.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -7.87%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -11.32%E -2.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 05:10
Grosvenor1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -5.66%E -3.49%K -9.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -7.87%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -11.32%E -2.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 05:10
Unibet (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -5.66%E -3.49%K -9.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -7.87%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -11.32%E -2.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 05:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -5.66%E -3.49%K -9.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -7.87%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -11.32%E -2.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 05:10
Unibet (NL)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -5.66%E -3.49%K -9.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -7.87%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -11.32%E -2.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 05:10
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -5.66%E -3.49%K -9.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -7.87%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -11.32%E -2.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 05:09
betPARX1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -5.66%E -3.49%K -9.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -7.87%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -11.32%E -2.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 05:10
Svenska Spel1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -5.66%E -3.49%K -9.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -7.87%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -11.32%E -2.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 05:10
ATG (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -5.66%E -3.49%K -9.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -7.87%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -11.32%E -2.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 05:09
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -8.57%E -5.46%K -15.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -7.87%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -6.65%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 09:50
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -6.82%E -4.26%K -11.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -7.87%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -11.32%E -2.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 08:10
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -6.82%E -4.26%K -11.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -7.87%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -11.32%E -2.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 08:10
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -6.82%E -4.26%K -11.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -7.87%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -11.32%E -2.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 08:10
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -8.57%E -5.46%K -15.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -7.87%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -11.32%E -2.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-25 08:00
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.04%EV -6.82%E -4.26%K -11.37%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.62%EV -9.71%E -1.98%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -12.49%E -3.33%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-25 05:10
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.04%EV -6.82%E -4.26%K -11.37%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.62%EV -9.71%E -1.98%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -12.49%E -3.33%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-25 05:09
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 57.19%EV -5.66%E -3.49%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.88I 20.49%NM 18.99%EV -10.08%E -2.07%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 23.82%EV -9.22%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-24 15:20
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 57.19%EV -5.66%E -3.49%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.88I 20.49%NM 18.99%EV -10.08%E -2.07%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 23.82%EV -9.22%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-24 15:19
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 57.24%EV -6.82%E -4.26%K -11.37%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.28%EV -12.47%E -2.63%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -8.98%E -2.30%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-25 08:05
PMU (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.27%EV -10.32%E -6.70%K -19.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.57%EV -12.47%E -2.63%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.16%EV -14.82%E -4.06%K -5.59%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-25 05:10
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 57.38%EV -10.90%E -7.12%K -20.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -17.08%E -3.80%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -11.32%E -2.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-25 11:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.93%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%6.6%2026-07-25 10:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.93%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%6.6%2026-07-25 10:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.93%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%6.6%2026-07-25 10:55