La escuela de los momios

Hapoel Be'er Sheva v Víkingur Reykjavík

2026-07-29 17:30 UTC — UEFA Champions League Qualification

Resultado del partido

34 corredores (8 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Hapoel Be'er Sheva (Local)

Predicción 58.37%1.71momio equitativo
EV -3.68%
Ventaja -2.23%
Kelly -5.67%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.04%58.34%58.39%59.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.531.601.601.6565.36%62.56%62.31%60.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Víkingur Reykjavík (Visitante)

Predicción 18.25%5.48momio equitativo
EV +0.018%
Ventaja +0.003%
Kelly +0.004%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.48

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.13%18.23%18.26%19.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.055.005.4822.22%19.82%20.00%18.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.37%4.28momio equitativo
EV -4.17%
Ventaja -1.02%
Kelly -1.34%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.02%23.44%23.34%24.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.653.873.804.1027.40%25.83%26.32%24.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (34 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.83%EV -8.35%E -5.32%K -14.65%G +0.000%5.48I 18.25%NM 17.14%EV +0.018%E +0.003%K +0.004%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.02%EV -4.63%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-25 08:05
Marathon Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.83%EV -8.94%E -5.73%K -15.96%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.13%EV -0.529%E -0.097%K -0.119%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.05%EV -5.33%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 08:00
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -5.43%E -3.35%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.70%EV -1.44%E -0.267%K -0.328%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.31%EV -4.17%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 07:35
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -7.77%E -4.92%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -1.44%E -0.267%K -0.328%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -7.67%E -1.94%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 17:00
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -7.77%E -4.92%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -1.44%E -0.267%K -0.328%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -7.67%E -1.94%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 17:00
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -8.35%E -5.32%K -14.65%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -4.18%E -0.796%K -0.983%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-26 17:30
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 58.14%EV -9.52%E -6.14%K -17.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.17%EV -4.18%E -0.796%K -0.983%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.69%EV -14.68%E -4.02%K -5.54%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-26 15:45
BetUS1.61I 62.11%NM 58.30%EV -6.02%E -3.74%K -9.86%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.23%EV -6.00%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 17:15
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.81%EV -8.35%E -5.32%K -14.65%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.10%EV -6.92%E -1.36%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-25 08:00
FanDuel1.57I 63.69%NM 58.81%EV -8.35%E -5.32%K -14.65%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.10%EV -6.92%E -1.36%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-25 08:04
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.39%EV -3.68%E -2.23%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -8.74%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 08:05
Coolbet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -5.43%E -3.35%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -8.74%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 08:00
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -5.43%E -3.35%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -8.74%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.50%E -1.63%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 08:05
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -5.43%E -3.35%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -8.74%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -11.18%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 05:10
Casumo1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -5.43%E -3.35%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -8.74%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -11.18%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 05:10
Grosvenor1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -5.43%E -3.35%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -8.74%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -11.18%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 05:10
Unibet (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -5.43%E -3.35%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -8.74%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -11.18%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 05:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -5.43%E -3.35%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -8.74%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -11.18%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 05:10
Unibet (NL)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -5.43%E -3.35%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -8.74%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -11.18%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 05:10
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -5.43%E -3.35%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -8.74%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -11.18%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 05:09
betPARX1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -5.43%E -3.35%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -8.74%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -11.18%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 05:10
Svenska Spel1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -5.43%E -3.35%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -8.74%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -11.18%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 05:10
ATG (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -5.43%E -3.35%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -8.74%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -11.18%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 05:09
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -6.60%E -4.13%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -8.74%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -11.18%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 08:10
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -6.60%E -4.13%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -8.74%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -11.18%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 08:10
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -6.60%E -4.13%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -8.74%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -11.18%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 08:10
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -8.35%E -5.32%K -14.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -8.74%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -11.18%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-25 08:00
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.04%EV -6.60%E -4.13%K -11.00%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.62%EV -10.57%E -2.16%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -12.35%E -3.29%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-25 05:10
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.04%EV -6.60%E -4.13%K -11.00%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.62%EV -10.57%E -2.16%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -12.35%E -3.29%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-25 05:09
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 57.19%EV -5.43%E -3.35%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.88I 20.49%NM 18.99%EV -10.93%E -2.24%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 23.82%EV -9.07%E -2.33%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-24 15:20
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 57.19%EV -5.43%E -3.35%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.88I 20.49%NM 18.99%EV -10.93%E -2.24%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 23.82%EV -9.07%E -2.33%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-24 15:19
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 57.24%EV -6.60%E -4.13%K -11.00%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.28%EV -13.31%E -2.80%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -8.84%E -2.27%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-25 08:05
PMU (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.27%EV -10.10%E -6.56%K -18.71%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.57%EV -13.31%E -2.80%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.16%EV -14.68%E -4.02%K -5.54%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-25 05:10
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 57.38%EV -10.69%E -6.99%K -20.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -17.87%E -3.97%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -11.18%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-25 11:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (3)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.81%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.46%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%4.7%2026-07-26 17:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.81%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.46%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%4.7%2026-07-26 17:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.81%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.46%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%4.7%2026-07-26 17:35