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Hapoel Be'er Sheva v Sabah FK

Kickoff: 2026-08-19 19:00 UTC

Final: Hapoel Be'er Sheva 2–1 Sabah FK

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hapoel Be'er Sheva (Local)

Prediction 36.38%2.75fair odd
EV -3.23%
Edge -1.21%
Kelly -1.94%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.66

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.18%36.41%36.41%38.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.322.482.442.6643.10%40.33%40.98%37.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sabah FK (Visit)

Prediction 34.88%2.87fair odd
EV +0.442%
Edge +0.153%
Kelly +0.235%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.55%34.82%34.92%35.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.752.752.8839.22%36.34%36.36%34.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.74%3.48fair odd
EV -2.27%
Edge -0.668%
Kelly -0.947%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.84%28.77%28.67%29.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.253.303.4032.26%30.72%30.30%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hapoel Be'er Sheva (Local): 36.38%; Sabah FK (Visit): 34.88%; Draw: 28.74%. For Sabah FK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.87. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.88, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.442%.

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
PMU (FR)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.76%EV -11.59%E -4.77%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV +0.442%E +0.153%K +0.235%G +0.001%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -5.15%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-19 18:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.76%EV -11.59%E -4.77%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV +0.442%E +0.153%K +0.235%G +0.001%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -5.15%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-19 18:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.76%EV -11.59%E -4.77%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV +0.442%E +0.153%K +0.235%G +0.001%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -5.15%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-19 18:45
Casumo🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.76%EV -11.59%E -4.77%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV +0.442%E +0.153%K +0.235%G +0.001%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -5.15%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-19 18:45
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.76%EV -11.59%E -4.77%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV +0.442%E +0.153%K +0.235%G +0.001%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -5.15%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-19 18:45
betPARX🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.76%EV -11.59%E -4.77%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV +0.442%E +0.153%K +0.235%G +0.001%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -5.15%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-19 18:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.76%EV -11.59%E -4.77%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV +0.442%E +0.153%K +0.235%G +0.001%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -5.15%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-19 18:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.76%EV -11.59%E -4.77%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV +0.442%E +0.153%K +0.235%G +0.001%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -5.15%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-19 18:45
Coolbet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.59%E -1.36%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.98%EV -4.09%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -3.71%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-19 18:44
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -7.23%E -2.83%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.63%EV -4.09%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.01%EV -2.27%E -0.668%K -0.947%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-19 18:29
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -7.23%E -2.83%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -4.09%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -8.02%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-19 18:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -14.51%E -6.17%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -4.09%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -9.46%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-19 18:45
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -14.51%E -6.17%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -4.09%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -9.46%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-19 18:45
Grosvenor🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.66%EV -15.23%E -6.54%K -11.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.75%EV -4.09%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.59%EV -9.46%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-19 18:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.58%EV -15.60%E -6.72%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -4.09%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.87%EV -10.90%E -3.51%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-19 18:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.58%EV -15.60%E -6.72%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -4.09%E -1.49%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.87%EV -10.90%E -3.51%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-19 18:45
Pinnacle🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 36.18%EV -3.23%E -1.21%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.26%EV -4.79%E -1.75%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.56%EV -3.13%E -0.930%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-19 18:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 36.51%EV -5.05%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.04%EV -5.14%E -1.89%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.45%EV -3.71%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-19 18:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 36.51%EV -5.05%E -1.93%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.04%EV -5.14%E -1.89%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.45%EV -3.71%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-19 18:40
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.51%EV -5.41%E -2.08%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.16%EV -5.84%E -2.16%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -3.71%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 18:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -7.23%E -2.83%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -5.84%E -2.16%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -2.27%E -0.668%K -0.947%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-19 18:34
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -7.23%E -2.83%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -5.84%E -2.16%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -8.02%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-19 18:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.18%EV -6.14%E -2.38%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.83%EV -6.53%E -2.44%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.99%EV -7.45%E -2.31%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-19 18:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -7.23%E -2.83%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -7.58%E -2.86%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -8.02%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-19 18:55
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.05%E -3.62%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -7.58%E -2.86%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.02%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-19 18:45
Bet Right🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -9.05%E -3.62%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -9.32%E -3.59%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -5.15%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-19 18:35
Paddy Power🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -10.87%E -4.44%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -9.32%E -3.59%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -10.90%E -3.51%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-19 18:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.83%EV -12.69%E -5.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.66%EV -11.07%E -4.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.51%EV -10.90%E -3.51%K -5.19%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-19 18:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.45%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.42%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.13%0.1%2026-08-19 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.45%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.42%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.13%0.1%2026-08-19 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.65%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.09%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27%1.1%2026-08-19 18:55