The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Hapoel Be'er Sheva v Red Star Belgrade

2026-08-04 17:30 UTC — UEFA Champions League Qualification

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hapoel Be'er Sheva (Local)

Prediction 29.25%3.42fair odd
EV +0.925%
Edge +0.268%
Kelly +0.378%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 3.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.57%29.18%29.28%30.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.233.253.4533.90%30.96%30.77%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Red Star Belgrade (Visit)

Prediction 43.36%2.31fair odd
EV -4.62%
Edge -2.10%
Kelly -3.85%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.06%43.52%43.22%44.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.962.102.082.2051.02%47.60%48.08%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.39%3.65fair odd
EV -3.04%
Edge -0.858%
Kelly -1.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.68%27.31%27.50%27.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.363.353.5431.75%29.80%29.85%28.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
NordicBet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV +0.925%E +0.268%K +0.378%G +0.003%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.86%EV -8.09%E -3.81%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -5.50%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 12:35
Betsson3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV +0.925%E +0.268%K +0.378%G +0.003%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.86%EV -8.09%E -3.81%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -5.50%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 12:35
Unibet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.70%EV -2.00%E -0.597%K -0.851%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.61%EV -9.82%E -4.72%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.70%EV -8.24%E -2.46%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-30 11:50
Unibet (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.70%EV -2.00%E -0.597%K -0.851%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.61%EV -9.82%E -4.72%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.70%EV -8.24%E -2.46%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-30 11:50
Casumo3.35I 29.85%NM 27.70%EV -2.00%E -0.597%K -0.851%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.61%EV -9.82%E -4.72%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.70%EV -8.24%E -2.46%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-30 11:50
LeoVegas (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.70%EV -2.00%E -0.597%K -0.851%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.61%EV -9.82%E -4.72%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.70%EV -8.24%E -2.46%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-30 11:50
Unibet (NL)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.70%EV -2.00%E -0.597%K -0.851%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.61%EV -9.82%E -4.72%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.70%EV -8.24%E -2.46%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-30 11:45
TABtouch3.35I 29.85%NM 27.70%EV -2.00%E -0.597%K -0.851%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.61%EV -9.82%E -4.72%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.70%EV -8.24%E -2.46%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-30 11:45
ATG (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.70%EV -2.00%E -0.597%K -0.851%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.61%EV -9.82%E -4.72%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.70%EV -8.24%E -2.46%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-30 11:50
Svenska Spel3.35I 29.85%NM 27.70%EV -2.00%E -0.597%K -0.851%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.61%EV -9.82%E -4.72%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.70%EV -8.24%E -2.46%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-30 11:50
betPARX3.35I 29.85%NM 27.70%EV -2.00%E -0.597%K -0.851%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.61%EV -9.82%E -4.72%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.70%EV -8.24%E -2.46%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-30 11:48
1xBet3.33I 30.03%NM 28.79%EV -2.59%E -0.776%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.98%EV -5.48%E -2.52%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.24%EV -3.59%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 12:55
Grosvenor3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -3.46%E -1.05%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -10.25%E -4.95%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -9.61%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-30 11:50
Virgin Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -4.93%E -1.52%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.34%EV -11.55%E -5.66%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -10.98%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-30 11:50
LiveScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -4.93%E -1.52%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.34%EV -11.55%E -5.66%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -10.98%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-30 11:45
Marathon Bet3.22I 31.06%NM 29.17%EV -5.80%E -1.80%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.30%EV -8.09%E -3.81%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.53%EV -3.04%E -0.858%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-30 13:04
Betr (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -4.62%E -2.10%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-30 12:40
Neds3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.79%E -3.16%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.13%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-30 12:35
PlayUp3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -6.39%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -11.12%E -5.42%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -10.98%E -3.38%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-30 12:35
Coolbet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -7.85%E -2.49%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.97%EV -5.92%E -2.73%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -6.87%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-30 12:39
PMU (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 27.72%EV -7.85%E -2.49%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 44.55%EV -15.02%E -7.66%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.72%EV -13.72%E -4.36%K -6.38%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-30 11:50
Bet Right3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -9.31%E -3.00%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -6.79%E -3.16%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -8.24%E -2.46%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-30 12:39
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.31%E -3.00%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.95%E -4.26%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.61%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-30 12:45
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -12.24%E -4.08%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.06%EV -5.48%E -2.52%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -8.24%E -2.46%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-30 10:00
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.24%E -4.08%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.79%E -3.16%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.61%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-30 10:04
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.24%E -4.08%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.79%E -3.16%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.61%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-30 10:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.24%E -4.08%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.79%E -3.16%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.61%E -2.91%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-30 10:20
Unibet (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.03%EV -13.70%E -4.64%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.29%EV -13.29%E -6.64%K -13.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.68%EV -5.50%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-30 10:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.