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Hapoel Be'er Sheva v Red Star Belgrade
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hapoel Be'er Sheva (Local)
Prediction 19.35%5.17fair odd
EV +0.615%
Edge +0.118%
Kelly +0.146%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 5.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.24%19.38%19.31%20.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.784.755.2022.22%20.91%21.05%19.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Red Star Belgrade (Visit)
Prediction 57.86%1.73fair odd
EV -3.96%
Edge -2.39%
Kelly -6.00%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.66
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.29%57.84%57.91%59.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.611.621.6665.36%62.03%61.73%60.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.80%4.39fair odd
EV -0.839%
Edge -0.193%
Kelly -0.250%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.66%22.78%22.78%24.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.653.983.904.3527.40%25.15%25.64%22.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hapoel Be'er Sheva (Local): 19.35%; Red Star Belgrade (Visit): 57.86%; Draw: 22.80%. For Hapoel Be'er Sheva (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.17. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.615%.
Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV +0.615%E +0.118%K +0.146%G +0.001% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.13%EV -3.96%E -2.39%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.63%EV -12.24%E -3.18%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 17:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.26%E -0.651%K -0.814%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.19%EV -5.12%E -3.12%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%EV -4.26%E -1.01%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 17:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -3.26%E -0.651%K -0.814%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -6.85%E -4.26%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -4.26%E -1.01%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 17:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -3.26%E -0.651%K -0.814%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -6.27%E -3.87%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -6.54%E -1.59%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 17:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -3.26%E -0.651%K -0.814%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -6.27%E -3.87%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -6.54%E -1.59%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 17:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -3.26%E -0.651%K -0.814%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.27%E -3.87%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.82%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 17:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.26%EV -4.22%E -0.853%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.77%EV -4.54%E -2.75%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.97%EV -5.40%E -1.30%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 17:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.26%EV -4.22%E -0.853%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.77%EV -4.54%E -2.75%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.97%EV -5.40%E -1.30%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 17:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.94I 20.24%NM 19.29%EV -4.42%E -0.894%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.81%EV -6.27%E -3.87%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -0.839%E -0.193%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 17:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.94I 20.24%NM 19.29%EV -4.42%E -0.894%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.81%EV -6.27%E -3.87%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -0.839%E -0.193%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 17:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.15%EV -5.19%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.02%EV -8.01%E -5.04%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -1.98%E -0.460%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-04 17:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -7.12%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.75%EV -7.43%E -4.64%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 21.66%EV -1.07%E -0.246%K -0.319%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 17:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -7.12%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.79%EV -9.17%E -5.84%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -4.26%E -1.01%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-04 17:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -8.09%E -1.70%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.61%EV -5.70%E -3.49%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.97%EV -12.24%E -3.18%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-04 16:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -8.09%E -1.70%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.61%EV -5.70%E -3.49%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.97%EV -12.24%E -3.18%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-04 16:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -8.09%E -1.70%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.61%EV -5.70%E -3.49%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.97%EV -12.24%E -3.18%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-04 16:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -8.09%E -1.70%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.61%EV -5.70%E -3.49%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.97%EV -12.24%E -3.18%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-04 16:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -8.09%E -1.70%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.61%EV -5.70%E -3.49%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.97%EV -12.24%E -3.18%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-04 16:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -8.09%E -1.70%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.61%EV -5.70%E -3.49%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.97%EV -12.24%E -3.18%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-04 16:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -8.09%E -1.70%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.61%EV -5.70%E -3.49%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.97%EV -12.24%E -3.18%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-04 16:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -8.09%E -1.70%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.61%EV -5.70%E -3.49%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.97%EV -12.24%E -3.18%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-04 16:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -8.09%E -1.70%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.61%EV -5.70%E -3.49%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.97%EV -12.24%E -3.18%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-04 16:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -8.09%E -1.70%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.61%EV -5.70%E -3.49%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.97%EV -12.24%E -3.18%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-04 16:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -8.09%E -1.70%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.41%EV -7.43%E -4.64%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -9.96%E -2.52%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-04 17:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -8.09%E -1.70%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -7.43%E -4.64%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -14.52%E -3.87%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-04 17:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -9.06%E -1.93%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.64%EV -6.27%E -3.87%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.50%EV -5.40%E -1.30%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 17:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -9.06%E -1.93%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.62%EV -6.85%E -4.26%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.99%EV -13.38%E -3.52%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-04 16:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -9.06%E -1.93%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.62%EV -6.85%E -4.26%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.99%EV -13.38%E -3.52%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-04 16:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.20%EV -9.06%E -1.93%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 56.74%EV -8.01%E -5.04%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.06%EV -14.52%E -3.87%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-04 17:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -10.99%E -2.39%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -6.85%E -4.26%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -11.10%E -2.85%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-04 17:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -10.99%E -2.39%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -6.85%E -4.26%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -11.10%E -2.85%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-04 17:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -10.99%E -2.39%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -6.85%E -4.26%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -11.10%E -2.85%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-04 17:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -10.99%E -2.39%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -11.48%E -7.50%K -21.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -8.82%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-04 17:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -12.93%E -2.87%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.29%EV -7.43%E -4.64%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -13.38%E -3.52%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-04 15:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -12.93%E -2.87%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.06%EV -11.48%E -7.50%K -21.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.21%EV -8.82%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-04 17:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.47%EV -12.93%E -2.87%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.53%EV -10.32%E -6.66%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.00%EV -16.80%E -4.60%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-04 16:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.78% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.59% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.78% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.59% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.78% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.59% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 17:05 |
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