L’École des cotesFrançais
Floriana F.C. v Shamrock Rovers
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Floriana F.C. (Local)
Prévision 23.39%4.28cote équitable
EV -1.78%
Avantage -0.423%
Kelly -0.555%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.52%23.41%23.09%25.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.903.954.2028.57%25.62%25.32%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Shamrock Rovers (Visiteur)
Prévision 47.40%2.11cote équitable
EV -2.82%
Avantage -1.38%
Kelly -2.69%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.05
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.36%47.59%47.47%50.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.771.921.882.0556.50%52.21%53.19%48.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 29.21%3.42cote équitable
EV +2.23%
Avantage +0.637%
Kelly +0.892%
Croissance +0.020%
avec la cote maximale 3.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.73%29.00%29.43%30.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.283.303.5033.33%30.50%30.30%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betr (AU) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -4.12%E -1.00%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.84%EV -9.93%E -5.23%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV +2.23%E +0.637%K +0.892%G +0.020% | 5.6% | 2026-07-07 16:50 |
| Grosvenor | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -7.62%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -10.88%E -5.79%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV +0.771%E +0.223%K +0.315%G +0.002% | 7.5% | 2026-07-07 15:30 |
| Unibet | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -7.62%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -10.88%E -5.79%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV +0.771%E +0.223%K +0.315%G +0.002% | 7.5% | 2026-07-07 15:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -7.62%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -10.88%E -5.79%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV +0.771%E +0.223%K +0.315%G +0.002% | 7.5% | 2026-07-07 15:30 |
| Casumo | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -7.62%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -10.88%E -5.79%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV +0.771%E +0.223%K +0.315%G +0.002% | 7.5% | 2026-07-07 15:30 |
| TABtouch | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -7.62%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -10.88%E -5.79%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV +0.771%E +0.223%K +0.315%G +0.002% | 7.5% | 2026-07-07 15:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -7.62%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -10.88%E -5.79%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV +0.771%E +0.223%K +0.315%G +0.002% | 7.5% | 2026-07-07 15:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -7.62%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -10.88%E -5.79%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV +0.771%E +0.223%K +0.315%G +0.002% | 7.5% | 2026-07-07 15:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -7.62%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -10.88%E -5.79%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV +0.771%E +0.223%K +0.315%G +0.002% | 7.5% | 2026-07-07 15:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -7.62%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -10.88%E -5.79%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV +0.771%E +0.223%K +0.315%G +0.002% | 7.5% | 2026-07-07 15:30 |
| betPARX | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -7.62%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -10.88%E -5.79%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV +0.771%E +0.223%K +0.315%G +0.002% | 7.5% | 2026-07-07 15:30 |
| Neds | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -8.79%E -2.25%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -7.56%E -3.88%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -0.690%E -0.203%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-07 17:05 |
| Coolbet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -1.78%E -0.423%K -0.555%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.99%EV -10.88%E -5.79%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -0.690%E -0.203%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-07 16:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -9.96%E -2.59%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.66%EV -13.25%E -7.24%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -0.690%E -0.203%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-07 17:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -9.96%E -2.59%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.66%EV -13.25%E -7.24%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -0.690%E -0.203%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-07 17:20 |
| NordicBet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -16.98%E -4.78%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.54%EV -6.14%E -3.10%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -2.15%E -0.642%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-07 17:05 |
| Betsson | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -16.98%E -4.78%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.54%EV -6.14%E -3.10%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -2.15%E -0.642%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-07 17:05 |
| Bet Right | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -9.96%E -2.59%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.79%EV -10.88%E -5.79%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -2.15%E -0.642%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-07 17:25 |
| Bovada | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.91%EV -6.45%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.66%EV -2.82%E -1.38%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.43%EV -5.07%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-07 17:14 |
| BetUS | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.91%EV -6.45%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.66%EV -2.82%E -1.38%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.43%EV -5.07%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-07 17:15 |
| DraftKings | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -7.62%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -5.19%E -2.60%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -5.07%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-07 17:05 |
| PlayUp | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -18.15%E -5.19%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -7.56%E -3.88%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -5.07%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-07 17:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.41%EV -12.30%E -3.28%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.59%EV -16.09%E -9.09%K -20.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.01%EV -5.07%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-07 15:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -1.78%E -0.423%K -0.555%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -14.67%E -8.15%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-07 17:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.39%EV -15.81%E -4.39%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 47.73%EV -12.78%E -6.94%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%EV -7.99%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-07 17:10 |
| FanDuel | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -4.12%E -1.00%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.51%EV -7.56%E -3.88%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.89%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-07 17:05 |
| SportsBet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -6.45%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.63%EV -8.98%E -4.68%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.50%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-07 17:05 |
| 888sport | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -11.13%E -2.93%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -7.56%E -3.88%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-07 17:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -11.13%E -2.93%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -7.56%E -3.88%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-07 17:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -11.13%E -2.93%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -7.56%E -3.88%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-07 17:15 |
| BoyleSports | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -18.15%E -5.19%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.78%EV -11.35%E -6.07%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.22%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-07-07 17:05 |
| 1xBet | 4.09I 24.45%NM 22.91%EV -4.35%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.38%EV -4.24%E -2.10%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-07 17:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -4.12%E -1.00%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.19%E -2.60%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.59%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-07 17:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -4.12%E -1.00%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.78%EV -5.66%E -2.85%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-07 17:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -4.12%E -1.00%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.78%EV -5.66%E -2.85%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-07 17:05 |
| Paddy Power | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -11.13%E -2.93%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.27%EV -11.35%E -6.07%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.47%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-07-07 17:05 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.37% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.25% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.38% | 1.6% | 2026-07-07 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.37% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.25% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.38% | 1.6% | 2026-07-07 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.37% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.25% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.38% | 1.6% | 2026-07-07 17:25 |