Language:English
FC Vitebsk v Universitatea Craiova
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
FC Vitebsk (Local)
Prediction 17.92%5.58fair odd
EV -3.22%
Edge -0.596%
Kelly -0.731%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.31%17.89%17.92%19.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.605.004.905.4021.74%20.00%20.41%18.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Universitatea Craiova (Visit)
Prediction 55.89%1.79fair odd
EV -3.88%
Edge -2.25%
Kelly -5.38%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.72
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.78%55.86%55.89%56.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.671.671.7261.73%60.05%59.88%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.19%3.82fair odd
EV -3.09%
Edge -0.835%
Kelly -1.14%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.10%26.25%26.19%26.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.613.603.7029.41%27.70%27.78%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Vitebsk (Local): 17.92%; Universitatea Craiova (Visit): 55.89%; Draw: 26.19%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.82. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.70, with an expected value of -3.09%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -3.22%E -0.596%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.98%EV -6.67%E -3.99%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-08 16:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.46%EV -5.01%E -0.945%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.09%EV -7.79%E -4.72%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-08 16:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.27I 18.98%NM 18.12%EV -5.55%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.51%EV -3.88%E -2.25%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.37%EV -5.19%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-08 16:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -5.91%E -1.13%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.97%EV -6.11%E -3.64%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-08 16:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -5.91%E -1.13%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.12%EV -6.67%E -3.99%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-08 16:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.12I 19.53%NM 18.10%EV -8.24%E -1.61%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.16%EV -7.79%E -4.72%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-08 16:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.12I 19.53%NM 18.10%EV -8.24%E -1.61%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.16%EV -7.79%E -4.72%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-08 16:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.29%EV -8.59%E -1.69%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.20%EV -5.55%E -3.29%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.50%EV -7.80%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-08 16:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -10.39%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -4.99%E -2.94%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-08 16:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.39%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -7.79%E -4.72%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-08 16:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -10.39%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -9.47%E -5.84%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-08 16:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -12.18%E -2.49%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.80%EV -6.67%E -3.99%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -3.09%E -0.835%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-08 16:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -12.18%E -2.49%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.80%EV -6.67%E -3.99%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -3.09%E -0.835%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-08 16:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -12.18%E -2.49%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.80%EV -6.67%E -3.99%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -3.09%E -0.835%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-08 16:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -12.18%E -2.49%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.80%EV -6.67%E -3.99%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -3.09%E -0.835%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-08 16:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -12.18%E -2.49%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.80%EV -6.67%E -3.99%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -3.09%E -0.835%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-08 16:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -12.18%E -2.49%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.80%EV -6.67%E -3.99%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -3.09%E -0.835%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-08 16:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -12.18%E -2.49%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.80%EV -6.67%E -3.99%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -3.09%E -0.835%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-08 16:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -12.18%E -2.49%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.80%EV -6.67%E -3.99%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -3.09%E -0.835%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-08 16:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -12.18%E -2.49%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.95%EV -7.23%E -4.36%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -3.09%E -0.835%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-08 16:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -12.18%E -2.49%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.95%EV -7.23%E -4.36%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -3.09%E -0.835%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-08 16:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -13.97%E -2.91%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.79%EV -8.91%E -5.46%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-08 16:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -13.97%E -2.91%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.79%EV -8.91%E -5.46%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-08 16:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.64%EV -17.56%E -3.82%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.78%EV -6.11%E -3.64%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-08 16:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.12% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.75% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.13% | 0.7% | 2026-07-08 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.12% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.75% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.13% | 0.7% | 2026-07-08 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.37% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.05% | 1.0% | 2026-07-08 16:55 |
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