The School of Odds

FC Vitebsk v Universitatea Craiova

2026-07-08 17:00 — UEFA Champions League Qualification

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Option 1: FC Vitebsk (Local)

Odds
4.1024.39%Min
4.2923.28%Mean
4.3323.09%Median
4.5022.22%Max
Consensus probabilities
20.73%4.824Min
22.92%4.364Max
21.08%4.743Mean
21.08%4.743Median
21.08%4.743IQM
21.08%4.744Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.50 under the IQM model: 21.08%

EV -5.13%Edge -1.14%Kelly -1.47%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Universitatea Craiova (Visit)

Odds
1.7557.14%Min
1.8155.17%Mean
1.8055.56%Median
1.8853.19%Max
Consensus probabilities
49.84%2.006Min
52.38%1.909Max
52.10%1.919Mean
52.10%1.919Median
52.10%1.919IQM
52.10%1.919Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.88 under the IQM model: 52.10%

EV -2.05%Edge -1.09%Kelly -2.32%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds
3.3030.30%Min
3.4229.28%Mean
3.4029.41%Median
3.5628.09%Max
Consensus probabilities
26.19%3.818Min
27.79%3.598Max
26.81%3.729Mean
26.81%3.729Median
26.81%3.729IQM
26.82%3.729Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.56 under the IQM model: 26.81%

EV -4.54%Edge -1.28%Kelly -1.77%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

BookmakerFC Vitebsk (Local) ▼Universitatea Craiova (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
FanDuel4.50I 22.22% NM 20.73%EV -5.13% E -1.14% K -1.47% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 51.83%EV -6.21% E -3.45% K -7.77% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.44%EV -8.83% E -2.60% K -3.68% G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-08 00:45
SportsBet4.40I 22.73% NM 20.81%EV -7.24% E -1.64% K -2.13% G +0.000%1.78I 56.18% NM 51.44%EV -7.26% E -4.08% K -9.30% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 27.75%EV -11.51% E -3.49% K -5.01% G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-08 00:39
Marathon Bet4.35I 22.99% NM 21.43%EV -8.29% E -1.91% K -2.48% G +0.000%1.78I 56.18% NM 52.38%EV -7.26% E -4.08% K -9.30% G +0.000%3.56I 28.09% NM 26.19%EV -4.54% E -1.28% K -1.77% G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-08 01:09
1xBet4.33I 23.09% NM 21.64%EV -8.71% E -2.01% K -2.62% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 52.05%EV -6.21% E -3.45% K -7.77% G +0.000%3.56I 28.09% NM 26.32%EV -4.54% E -1.28% K -1.77% G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-08 00:19
Paddy Power4.33I 23.09% NM 20.89%EV -8.71% E -2.01% K -2.62% G +0.000%1.75I 57.14% NM 51.69%EV -8.82% E -5.04% K -11.76% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 27.41%EV -11.51% E -3.49% K -5.01% G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-08 00:45
Betr (AU)4.25I 23.53% NM 22.17%EV -10.40% E -2.45% K -3.20% G +0.000%1.88I 53.19% NM 50.12%EV -2.05% E -1.09% K -2.32% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.71%EV -8.83% E -2.60% K -3.68% G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-07 16:45
Neds4.10I 24.39% NM 22.92%EV -13.56% E -3.31% K -4.38% G +0.000%1.87I 53.48% NM 50.24%EV -2.57% E -1.37% K -2.95% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.84%EV -6.15% E -1.76% K -2.46% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-07 21:05
Bet Right4.10I 24.39% NM 22.37%EV -13.56% E -3.31% K -4.38% G +0.000%1.84I 54.35% NM 49.84%EV -4.13% E -2.24% K -4.92% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 27.79%EV -11.51% E -3.49% K -5.01% G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-07 16:45
Unibet3.35I 29.85% NM 27.70%EV -29.37% E -8.77% K -12.50% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 44.18%EV +9.42% E +4.48% K +8.56% G +0.806%3.30I 30.30% NM 28.12%EV -11.51% E -3.49% K -5.01% G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-06 20:55
Unibet (NL)3.35I 29.85% NM 27.70%EV -29.37% E -8.77% K -12.50% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 44.18%EV +9.42% E +4.48% K +8.56% G +0.806%3.30I 30.30% NM 28.12%EV -11.51% E -3.49% K -5.01% G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-06 20:54
Casumo3.35I 29.85% NM 27.70%EV -29.37% E -8.77% K -12.50% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 44.18%EV +9.42% E +4.48% K +8.56% G +0.806%3.30I 30.30% NM 28.12%EV -11.51% E -3.49% K -5.01% G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-06 20:54
TABtouch3.35I 29.85% NM 27.70%EV -29.37% E -8.77% K -12.50% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 44.18%EV +9.42% E +4.48% K +8.56% G +0.806%3.30I 30.30% NM 28.12%EV -11.51% E -3.49% K -5.01% G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-06 20:54
LeoVegas (SE)3.35I 29.85% NM 27.70%EV -29.37% E -8.77% K -12.50% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 44.18%EV +9.42% E +4.48% K +8.56% G +0.806%3.30I 30.30% NM 28.12%EV -11.51% E -3.49% K -5.01% G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-06 20:55
Unibet (SE)3.35I 29.85% NM 27.70%EV -29.37% E -8.77% K -12.50% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 44.18%EV +9.42% E +4.48% K +8.56% G +0.806%3.30I 30.30% NM 28.12%EV -11.51% E -3.49% K -5.01% G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-06 20:55
Grosvenor3.35I 29.85% NM 27.70%EV -29.37% E -8.77% K -12.50% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 44.18%EV +9.42% E +4.48% K +8.56% G +0.806%3.30I 30.30% NM 28.12%EV -11.51% E -3.49% K -5.01% G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-06 20:55
ATG (SE)3.35I 29.85% NM 27.70%EV -29.37% E -8.77% K -12.50% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 44.18%EV +9.42% E +4.48% K +8.56% G +0.806%3.30I 30.30% NM 28.12%EV -11.51% E -3.49% K -5.01% G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-06 20:54
betPARX3.35I 29.85% NM 27.70%EV -29.37% E -8.77% K -12.50% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 44.18%EV +9.42% E +4.48% K +8.56% G +0.806%3.30I 30.30% NM 28.12%EV -11.51% E -3.49% K -5.01% G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-06 20:55
LiveScore Bet3.25I 30.77% NM 27.95%EV -31.48% E -9.69% K -13.99% G +0.000%2.06I 48.54% NM 44.10%EV +7.33% E +3.56% K +6.92% G +0.507%3.25I 30.77% NM 27.95%EV -12.85% E -3.96% K -5.71% G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-06 20:55
Virgin Bet3.25I 30.77% NM 27.95%EV -31.48% E -9.69% K -13.99% G +0.000%2.06I 48.54% NM 44.10%EV +7.33% E +3.56% K +6.92% G +0.507%3.25I 30.77% NM 27.95%EV -12.85% E -3.96% K -5.71% G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-06 20:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerFC Vitebsk (Local)Universitatea Craiova (Visit)DrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.70I 21.28% NM 20.81%1.88I 53.19% NM 52.02%3.60I 27.78% NM 27.17%2.2%2026-07-08 01:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.70I 21.28% NM 20.81%1.88I 53.19% NM 52.02%3.60I 27.78% NM 27.17%2.2%2026-07-08 01:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.70I 21.28% NM 20.81%1.88I 53.19% NM 52.02%3.60I 27.78% NM 27.17%2.2%2026-07-08 01:00