L’École des cotes

FC Kairat v Omonoia FC

2026-07-29 15:00 UTC — UEFA Champions League Qualification

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (9 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

FC Kairat (Local)

Prévision 42.78%2.34cote équitable
EV -3.74%
Avantage -1.66%
Kelly -2.99%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.67%42.96%42.82%44.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.152.162.2550.00%46.41%46.30%44.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Omonoia FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.90%3.46cote équitable
EV -4.63%
Avantage -1.40%
Kelly -2.01%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.93%28.78%28.84%29.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.953.163.153.3033.90%31.66%31.75%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.32%3.53cote équitable
EV -2.31%
Avantage -0.668%
Kelly -0.941%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.11%28.27%28.34%29.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.253.253.4533.33%30.79%30.77%28.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.12%EV -3.74%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -6.07%E -1.87%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -6.55%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-24 13:15
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.40%EV -5.02%E -2.26%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.33%EV -7.23%E -2.25%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.27%EV -5.70%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-24 13:33
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 43.20%EV -5.88%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.25%EV -6.07%E -1.87%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.55%EV -2.31%E -0.668%K -0.941%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-24 14:32
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -5.88%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -7.52%E -2.35%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -5.14%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-24 13:30
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.88%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -6.07%E -1.87%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-24 13:12
Marathon Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -5.88%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.33%EV -8.09%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.27%EV -6.55%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-24 13:28
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.88%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -10.41%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 23:14
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.88%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -10.41%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 23:14
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.88%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -10.41%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 23:14
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.88%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -10.41%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 23:14
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.88%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -10.41%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 23:15
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.88%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -10.41%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 23:15
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.88%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -10.41%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 23:15
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.88%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -10.41%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 23:15
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.88%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -10.41%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 23:15
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.88%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -10.41%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 23:15
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -6.74%E -3.09%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.07%E -1.87%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 03:39
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -6.74%E -3.09%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.07%E -1.87%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 03:39
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 42.87%EV -7.59%E -3.51%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.49%EV -9.25%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -5.14%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-24 15:10
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 42.87%EV -7.59%E -3.51%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.49%EV -9.25%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -5.14%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-24 15:10
Virgin Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 41.96%EV -7.59%E -3.51%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -11.85%E -3.89%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-24 23:15
LiveScore Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 41.96%EV -7.59%E -3.51%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -11.85%E -3.89%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-24 23:14
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -8.02%E -3.73%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -4.63%E -1.40%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-24 13:00
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -8.02%E -3.73%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -8.96%E -2.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -6.55%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-25 12:45
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 42.47%EV -8.02%E -3.73%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -8.96%E -2.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-24 13:15
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.02%E -3.73%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -6.07%E -1.87%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -12.22%E -3.94%K -5.82%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-26 03:19
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.02%E -3.73%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -6.07%E -1.87%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -12.22%E -3.94%K -5.82%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-26 03:15
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.02%E -3.73%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -6.07%E -1.87%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -12.22%E -3.94%K -5.82%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-26 03:20
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -8.02%E -3.73%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -10.41%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -10.80%E -3.43%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-26 03:40
PMU (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.85%EV -10.16%E -4.84%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.79%EV -14.74%E -5.00%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.35%EV -12.22%E -3.94%K -5.82%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-24 23:14
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -10.16%E -4.84%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -13.30%E -4.43%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -15.05%E -5.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-24 13:35
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -12.30%E -6.00%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -4.63%E -1.40%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 20:04
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -12.30%E -6.00%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -7.52%E -2.35%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -5.14%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-25 12:50
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -12.30%E -6.00%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -7.52%E -2.35%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -6.55%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-25 12:50
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.45%EV -12.30%E -6.00%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.28%EV -8.96%E -2.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.28%EV -10.80%E -3.43%K -5.02%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-25 12:49
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -14.44%E -7.22%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -7.52%E -2.35%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -6.55%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-25 12:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -14.44%E -7.22%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -7.52%E -2.35%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -6.55%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-25 12:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.90%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.27%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%3.5%2026-07-25 17:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.90%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.27%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%3.5%2026-07-25 17:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.90%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.27%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%3.5%2026-07-25 17:00