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FC Kairat v Omonoia FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
FC Kairat (Local)
Predicción 39.83%2.51momio equitativo
EV -4.41%
Ventaja -1.84%
Kelly -3.15%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.94%39.86%39.70%42.68%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.072.272.262.4048.31%44.13%44.25%41.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Omonoia FC (Visitante)
Predicción 29.98%3.34momio equitativo
EV +5.82%
Ventaja +1.65%
Kelly +2.30%
Crecimiento +0.134%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.53
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.91%30.00%30.07%32.12%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.913.183.153.5334.36%31.44%31.75%28.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 30.19%3.31momio equitativo
EV -1.87%
Ventaja -0.576%
Kelly -0.832%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.94%30.14%30.23%31.18%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.883.073.103.2534.72%32.52%32.26%30.77%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: FC Kairat (Local): 39.83%; Omonoia FC (Visitante): 29.98%; Empate: 30.19%. Para Omonoia FC (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.34. 11 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.53, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +5.82%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.04%EV -9.98%E -4.42%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.91%EV +5.82%E +1.65%K +2.30%G +0.134% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.05%EV -7.61%E -2.49%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 14:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -12.37%E -5.62%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV +0.420%E +0.125%K +0.179%G +0.001% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -4.89%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-29 14:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -12.37%E -5.62%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV +0.420%E +0.125%K +0.179%G +0.001% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -4.89%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-29 14:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -12.37%E -5.62%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV +0.420%E +0.125%K +0.179%G +0.001% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -4.89%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-29 14:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -12.37%E -5.62%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV +0.420%E +0.125%K +0.179%G +0.001% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -4.89%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-29 14:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -12.37%E -5.62%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV +0.420%E +0.125%K +0.179%G +0.001% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -4.89%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-29 14:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -12.37%E -5.62%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV +0.420%E +0.125%K +0.179%G +0.001% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -4.89%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-29 14:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -12.37%E -5.62%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV +0.420%E +0.125%K +0.179%G +0.001% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -4.89%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-29 14:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -13.17%E -6.04%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV +0.420%E +0.125%K +0.179%G +0.001% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -4.89%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-29 14:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -13.17%E -6.04%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV +0.420%E +0.125%K +0.179%G +0.001% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -4.89%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-29 14:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.59%EV -13.57%E -6.25%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV +0.420%E +0.125%K +0.179%G +0.001% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -6.40%E -2.06%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-29 14:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.55%EV -14.76%E -6.90%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -1.08%E -0.327%K -0.469%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -7.91%E -2.59%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-29 14:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.55%EV -14.76%E -6.90%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -1.08%E -0.327%K -0.469%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -7.91%E -2.59%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-29 14:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.50%EV -6.40%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.28%EV -2.58%E -0.793%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -4.89%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 14:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -9.19%E -4.03%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -2.58%E -0.793%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -7.91%E -2.59%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-29 14:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.23%EV -7.59%E -3.27%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -4.08%E -1.27%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.60%EV -7.91%E -2.59%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-29 14:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.58%EV -17.55%E -8.48%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.54%EV -4.08%E -1.27%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.88%EV -10.93%E -3.70%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-07-29 14:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.43%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.04%EV -5.58%E -1.77%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -6.40%E -2.06%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-29 14:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -6.40%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -5.58%E -1.77%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.89%E -1.55%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-29 14:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30%EV -6.40%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -7.07%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -1.87%E -0.576%K -0.832%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 14:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -7.07%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -6.40%E -2.06%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-29 14:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.40%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -7.07%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -6.40%E -2.06%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-29 14:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.56%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -7.07%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.34%EV -3.99%E -1.25%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-29 14:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -6.40%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -7.07%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-29 14:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -6.40%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -7.07%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -10.93%E -3.70%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-29 14:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -7.07%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-29 14:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -10.38%E -4.61%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.07%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-29 14:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -12.37%E -5.62%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -7.07%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-29 14:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -12.37%E -5.62%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -7.07%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -13.04%E -4.53%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-29 14:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.16%EV -6.40%E -2.72%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -8.57%E -2.81%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-29 14:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.07%E -3.36%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-29 14:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.07%E -3.36%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-29 14:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.39%E -3.65%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.07%E -3.36%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.42%E -3.14%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-29 14:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -10.38%E -4.61%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -10.07%E -3.36%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.44%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-29 14:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -10.38%E -4.61%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -10.07%E -3.36%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -13.04%E -4.53%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-29 14:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.94%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.12%EV -12.77%E -4.39%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.94%EV -2.48%E -0.766%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-29 14:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.94%EV -4.41%E -1.84%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.12%EV -12.77%E -4.39%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.94%EV -2.48%E -0.766%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-29 14:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48% | 0.9% | 2026-07-29 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48% | 0.9% | 2026-07-29 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48% | 0.9% | 2026-07-29 14:55 |