La escuela de los momios

FC Kairat v Omonoia FC

2026-07-29 15:00 UTC — UEFA Champions League Qualification

Resultado del partido

37 corredores (9 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FC Kairat (Local)

Predicción 42.78%2.34momio equitativo
EV -3.74%
Ventaja -1.66%
Kelly -2.99%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.67%42.96%42.82%44.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.152.162.2550.00%46.41%46.30%44.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Omonoia FC (Visitante)

Predicción 28.90%3.46momio equitativo
EV -4.63%
Ventaja -1.40%
Kelly -2.01%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.93%28.78%28.84%29.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.953.163.153.3033.90%31.66%31.75%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.32%3.53momio equitativo
EV -2.31%
Ventaja -0.668%
Kelly -0.941%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.11%28.27%28.34%29.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.253.253.4533.33%30.79%30.77%28.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.12%EV -3.74%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -6.07%E -1.87%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -6.55%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-24 13:15
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.40%EV -5.02%E -2.26%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.33%EV -7.23%E -2.25%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.27%EV -5.70%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-24 13:33
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 43.20%EV -5.88%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.25%EV -6.07%E -1.87%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.55%EV -2.31%E -0.668%K -0.941%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-24 14:32
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -5.88%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -7.52%E -2.35%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -5.14%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-24 13:30
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.88%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -6.07%E -1.87%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-24 13:12
Marathon Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -5.88%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.33%EV -8.09%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.27%EV -6.55%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-24 13:28
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.88%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -10.41%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 23:14
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.88%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -10.41%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 23:14
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.88%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -10.41%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 23:14
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.88%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -10.41%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 23:14
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.88%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -10.41%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 23:15
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.88%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -10.41%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 23:15
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.88%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -10.41%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 23:15
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.88%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -10.41%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 23:15
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.88%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -10.41%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 23:15
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.88%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -10.41%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 23:15
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -6.74%E -3.09%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.07%E -1.87%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 03:39
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -6.74%E -3.09%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.07%E -1.87%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 03:39
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 42.87%EV -7.59%E -3.51%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.49%EV -9.25%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -5.14%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-24 15:10
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 42.87%EV -7.59%E -3.51%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.49%EV -9.25%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -5.14%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-24 15:10
Virgin Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 41.96%EV -7.59%E -3.51%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -11.85%E -3.89%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-24 23:15
LiveScore Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 41.96%EV -7.59%E -3.51%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -11.85%E -3.89%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-24 23:14
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -8.02%E -3.73%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -4.63%E -1.40%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-24 13:00
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -8.02%E -3.73%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -8.96%E -2.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -6.55%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-25 12:45
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 42.47%EV -8.02%E -3.73%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -8.96%E -2.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-24 13:15
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.02%E -3.73%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -6.07%E -1.87%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -12.22%E -3.94%K -5.82%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-26 03:19
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.02%E -3.73%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -6.07%E -1.87%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -12.22%E -3.94%K -5.82%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-26 03:15
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.02%E -3.73%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -6.07%E -1.87%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -12.22%E -3.94%K -5.82%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-26 03:20
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -8.02%E -3.73%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -10.41%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -10.80%E -3.43%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-26 03:40
PMU (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.85%EV -10.16%E -4.84%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.79%EV -14.74%E -5.00%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.35%EV -12.22%E -3.94%K -5.82%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-24 23:14
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -10.16%E -4.84%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -13.30%E -4.43%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -15.05%E -5.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-24 13:35
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -12.30%E -6.00%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -4.63%E -1.40%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 20:04
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -12.30%E -6.00%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -7.52%E -2.35%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -5.14%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-25 12:50
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -12.30%E -6.00%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -7.52%E -2.35%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -6.55%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-25 12:50
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.45%EV -12.30%E -6.00%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.28%EV -8.96%E -2.85%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.28%EV -10.80%E -3.43%K -5.02%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-25 12:49
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -14.44%E -7.22%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -7.52%E -2.35%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -6.55%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-25 12:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -14.44%E -7.22%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -7.52%E -2.35%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -6.55%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-25 12:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (3)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.90%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.27%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%3.5%2026-07-25 17:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.90%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.27%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%3.5%2026-07-25 17:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.90%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.27%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%3.5%2026-07-25 17:00