The School of Odds
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FC Iberia 1999 v ŠK Slovan Bratislava

Kickoff: 2026-07-21 16:00 UTC

Final: FC Iberia 1999 0–2 ŠK Slovan Bratislava

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Iberia 1999 (Local)

Prediction 24.02%4.16fair odd
EV -1.98%
Edge -0.485%
Kelly -0.643%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.02%24.45%24.02%26.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.753.704.0830.77%26.68%27.03%24.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

ŠK Slovan Bratislava (Visit)

Prediction 49.25%2.03fair odd
EV -2.48%
Edge -1.25%
Kelly -2.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.98

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.23%49.00%49.22%50.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.871.851.9857.14%53.54%54.05%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.72%3.74fair odd
EV +0.207%
Edge +0.055%
Kelly +0.075%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.27%26.56%26.76%29.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.533.553.7531.25%28.32%28.17%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Iberia 1999 (Local): 24.02%; ŠK Slovan Bratislava (Visit): 49.25%; Draw: 26.72%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.74. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.207%.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Betr (AU)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -11.11%E -3.00%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.50%EV -6.42%E -3.38%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV +0.207%E +0.055%K +0.075%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-21 15:40
Coolbet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -13.51%E -3.75%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -6.42%E -3.38%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV +0.207%E +0.055%K +0.075%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-21 15:40
BoyleSports🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 26.85%EV -21.92%E -6.74%K -9.74%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 49.87%EV -13.81%E -7.89%K -18.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.27%EV +0.207%E +0.055%K +0.075%G +0.000%14.6%2026-07-21 15:10
Neds🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -9.91%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.50%EV -6.42%E -3.38%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -1.13%E -0.305%K -0.418%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-21 15:20
Grosvenor🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -11.11%E -3.00%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.88%E -4.80%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -1.13%E -0.305%K -0.418%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-21 15:45
Unibet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -11.11%E -3.00%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.88%E -4.80%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -1.13%E -0.305%K -0.418%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-21 15:45
Unibet (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -11.11%E -3.00%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.88%E -4.80%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -1.13%E -0.305%K -0.418%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-21 15:45
TABtouch🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -11.11%E -3.00%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.88%E -4.80%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -1.13%E -0.305%K -0.418%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-21 15:45
Unibet (NL)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -11.11%E -3.00%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.88%E -4.80%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -1.13%E -0.305%K -0.418%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-21 15:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -11.11%E -3.00%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.88%E -4.80%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -1.13%E -0.305%K -0.418%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-21 15:45
Svenska Spel🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -11.11%E -3.00%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.88%E -4.80%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -1.13%E -0.305%K -0.418%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-21 15:45
ATG (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -11.11%E -3.00%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.88%E -4.80%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -1.13%E -0.305%K -0.418%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-21 15:45
betPARX🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -11.11%E -3.00%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.88%E -4.80%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -1.13%E -0.305%K -0.418%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-21 15:45
LiveScore Bet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -12.31%E -3.37%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.07%EV -10.36%E -5.69%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -2.47%E -0.675%K -0.930%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-21 15:45
Virgin Bet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -12.31%E -3.37%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.07%EV -10.36%E -5.69%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -2.47%E -0.675%K -0.930%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-21 15:45
Bet Right🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -14.71%E -4.14%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -7.40%E -3.94%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -3.80%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-21 15:40
PlayUp🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -9.91%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.33%EV -11.34%E -6.30%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -5.14%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-21 15:45
PMU (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -15.91%E -4.55%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.03%EV -13.31%E -7.56%K -17.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.81%EV -5.14%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-21 15:45
Bovada🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -5.10%E -1.29%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.76%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.17%EV -6.47%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-21 15:45
DraftKings🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.47%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-21 15:45
FanDuel🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -3.90%E -0.976%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -7.90%E -4.22%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.47%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 15:35
Tipico (DE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -9.87%E -5.39%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.47%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-21 15:35
SportsBet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.47%EV -7.90%E -4.22%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -7.81%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-21 15:35
888sport🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -11.11%E -3.00%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -8.88%E -4.80%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-21 15:45
888sport (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -11.11%E -3.00%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -8.88%E -4.80%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-21 15:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -11.11%E -3.00%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -8.88%E -4.80%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-21 15:45
Unibet (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.44%EV -15.91%E -4.55%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 48.38%EV -9.37%E -5.09%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.18%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-21 15:45
Paddy Power🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -8.71%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.11%EV -9.87%E -5.39%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.82%E -3.58%K -5.14%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-21 15:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -9.91%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -11.34%E -6.30%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -11.82%E -3.58%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-21 15:45
Marathon Bet🎯3.96I 25.25%NM 23.54%EV -4.86%E -1.23%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.05%EV -4.45%E -2.29%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -12.35%E -3.77%K -5.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-21 15:45
1xBet🎯4.08I 24.51%NM 23.02%EV -1.98%E -0.485%K -0.643%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.17%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.81%EV -12.89%E -3.95%K -5.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-21 15:40
BetUS🎯3.97I 25.19%NM 23.55%EV -4.62%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.23%EV -2.48%E -1.25%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -14.49%E -4.53%K -6.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-21 15:35
BetOnline.ag🎯3.97I 25.19%NM 23.55%EV -4.62%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.23%EV -2.48%E -1.25%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -14.49%E -4.53%K -6.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-21 15:35
LowVig.ag🎯3.97I 25.19%NM 23.55%EV -4.62%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.23%EV -2.48%E -1.25%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -14.49%E -4.53%K -6.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-21 15:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.32%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.08%0.9%2026-07-21 15:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.32%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.08%0.9%2026-07-21 15:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.32%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.08%0.9%2026-07-21 15:45